2015 Matt (through 11 weeks)

7-4 (0.636), 1,174.89 points

4th place

7.02 expected wins (0.639)

94-49 all-play record (0.657)

-9.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 104.98 76.98 Pat 28.00
2 W 100.45 74.96 Babel 25.49
3 W 160.19 83.61 Rabbit 76.58 Team Blangums
4 W 58.24 57.50 Pulley 0.74
5 L 87.72 104.65 Ed -16.93
6 L 107.96 129.08 Dave -21.12
7 W 132.49 56.75 Allen 75.74 Team Blangums
8 L 105.99 120.65 Derrek -14.66
9 W 115.65 92.99 Rob 22.66
10 L 77.09 120.42 Richie -43.33
11 W 124.13 82.45 Schertz 41.68
12 Kevin
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.23076923076923630.9%332.4230769230769672.070.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.230180675146710.0%117.67948717948717141.1964491454667220.3%160.62820512820514140.6122675755221432.2%203.57692307692307136.2592238429889749.4%246.52564102564102120.23102620017269522.4%289.47435897435991.0039625602497360.0%332.423076923076962.7692307692307736723.8%375.371794871794987.9424385488238789.4%418.3205128205129120.2817161185915691.6%461.26923076923083137.68311496198424100.1%504.21794871794873141.0574400655424411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520715th70.4769230769230995.786982248520723rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728436th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124147th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041557th305.4140.7573964497041564th364.130769230769273.3017751479289974th422.8615384615384373.3017751479289983rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728495th540.323076923076995.7869822485207103rd599.05384615384650.816568047337284115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd70.4769230769230950.81656804733728422nd129.207692307692328.33136094674557631st187.938461538461525.84615384615381143rd246.6692307692307550.81656804733728452nd305.428.33136094674557662nd364.130769230769228.33136094674557674th422.8615384615384373.3017751479289983rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728495th540.323076923076995.7869822485207104th599.05384615384673.30177514792899115th11.74615384615384595.786982248520715th70.4769230769230995.786982248520722nd129.207692307692328.33136094674557636th187.93846153846152118.2721893491124147th246.66923076923075140.7573964497041556th305.4118.2721893491124164th364.130769230769273.3017751479289974th422.8615384615384373.3017751479289984th481.5923076923076673.3017751479289995th540.323076923076995.7869822485207103rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728411Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Julio Jones WR
2.04 18 Lamar Miller RB
3.11 39 Ameer Abdullah RB
4.04 46 Cam Newton QB
5.11 67 John Brown WR
6.04 74 Brandin Cooks K WR
7.11 95 Andre Ellington K RB
8.04 102 Pierre Garcon WR
9.11 123 Kendall Wright WR
10.04 130 Roy Helu, Jr. RB
11.11 151 Kyle Rudolph TE
12.04 158 Jameis Winston QB
13.11 179 Chris Johnson RB
14.04 186 Mason Crosby K
15.11 207 Philadelphia DEF
16.04 214 Markus Wheaton WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.65527.5916083916083997.576945177263710.57365.91328671328671103.0686588124161221.039104.2349650349650372.030.073142.55664335664335136.3471306812082840.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.971257.521678321678376.5071434615195570.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.827334.16503496503586.101232820142490.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.918410.808391608391680.07347542378983110.00027.5916083916083953.9231211237581510.00065.9132867132867164.90654839406320.000104.234965034965032.769230769230773630.000142.55664335664335131.463492131647340.368180.87832167832164116.6994858829338750.708219.1999999999999694.0215528835893260.000257.521678321678311.78351769226986870.675295.843356643356796.2423056085613180.000334.16503496503530.9716964095155690.217372.4867132867133126.77492065977725100.000410.808391608391618.91618161681043411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011928.72447552447552393.301775147928991868.6195804195804298.62721893491124213108.514685314685372.031148.40979020979017135.9053254437869840188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.23076923076923613268.0951048951048472.070307.9902097902098141.2307692307692389347.885314685314793.3017751479289990387.7804195804196141.230769230769231012427.6755244755244777.3254437869822511028.72447552447552345.3727810650887451068.6195804195804256.0236686390532420108.51468531468532.769230769230773630148.40979020979017130.5798816568047345188.30489510489508114.6035502958579958228.298.6272189349112460268.095104895104842.769230769230773679307.990209790209893.3017751479289980347.885314685314745.37278106508874597387.7804195804196103.95266272189349100427.6755244755244713.4201183431952711All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Matt 7-4 4th 106.81 0.639 26.18 8-5 3rd 5th place
1 983 2023 Rabbit 7-4 5th 108.55 0.636 24.09 8-6 6th 4th place
2 979 2017 Pulley 9-2 1st 105.88 0.644 23.12 11-2 1st 3rd place
3 977 2022 Dave 6-5 2nd 108.36 0.636 20.89 8-6 3rd 3rd place
4 974 2022 Schertz 5-6 9th 111.92 0.636 26.60 6-8 9th
5 971 2013 Ed 6-5 5th 106.20 0.637 14.46 7-6 4th 6th place
6 970 2015 Richie 6-5 6th 106.16 0.631 20.04 7-6 6th 4th place
7 968 2010 Ed 9-2 2nd 107.04 0.624 25.07 9-4 2nd 2nd place
8 966 2024 Mike R. 6-5 6th 112.02 0.639 20.46 9-5 2nd
9 962 2010 Dave 5-6 6th 107.95 0.652 22.81 5-8 8th
10 955 2016 Pulley 8-3 2nd 109.55 0.627 20.95 8-5 3rd 3rd place