2016 Matt

5-8 (0.385), 1,249.39 points

10th place

5.98 expected wins (0.460)

77-92 all-play record (0.456)

-0.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 L 45.78 86.58 Rabbit -40.80 Slapped Heartbeat
9 W 110.71 99.08 Allen 11.63
10 L 80.47 130.23 Kevin -49.76
11 L 69.74 87.78 Rob -18.04
12 W 111.80 79.34 Derrek 32.46
13 L 70.67 77.27 Mike R. -6.60 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923423.5%212.780219780219889.9719982724424850.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.230503341373500.0%65.52747252747253141.2133496688384210.2%102.34065934065934140.8245966148221621.9%139.15384615384613137.0703690467770539.3%175.96703296703296120.9615257295414940.0%212.780219780219838.71322731411574531.7%249.593406593406671.99999999999999622.6%286.406593406593491.7717009605863978.7%323.2197802197802122.2136701058900581.9%360.032967032967137.1627884099273790.2%396.8461538461538140.74605101613975100.0%433.6593406593406141.20050727156098110.0%470.4725274725274141.22997366648576120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307672322541213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th60.68846153846153163.24260355029585211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207139th158.5730769230769185.727810650887647th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041557th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041566th305.4118.2721893491124178th354.3423076923077163.2426035502958588th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958598th452.226923076923163.24260355029585108th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585129th599.053846153846185.72781065088761313th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th60.68846153846153140.75739644970415210th109.6307692307692208.213017751479338th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958547th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041557th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041568th305.4163.24260355029585711th354.3423076923077230.69822485207189th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876910th452.226923076923208.21301775147931012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931210th599.053846153846208.21301775147931313th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th60.68846153846153140.75739644970415211th109.6307692307692230.69822485207136th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124147th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041557th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041565th305.495.786982248520777th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041588th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958598th452.226923076923163.24260355029585109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876118th550.1115384615384163.242603550295851210th599.053846153846208.213017751479313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.95657.06982248520710575.0570974558044720.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.962121.9218934911242874.6025290432583940.680154.3479289940828294.1830634136811150.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.704284.052071005917192.4784318666332990.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.719381.3301775147928791.4783813590319120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.16024.64378698224852130.1735174770176410.00057.0698224852071058.88342568083970720.09389.49585798816568134.7646584437331430.000121.921893491124287.97428885574754540.000154.3479289940828247.1353575965930150.398186.7739644970414113.7067767325356260.907219.278.4209037086455370.003251.62603550295853141.0377025368691880.000284.052071005917143.7260945024973690.205316.4781065088757127.01426700982233100.092348.9041420118343134.85557212624235110.000381.3301775147928741.72599348729457120.102413.75621301775146134.1737195074232413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311359.41301775147929572.02093.17041420118342141.23076923076923313126.9278106508875872.048160.685207100591798.6272189349112450194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.23076923076923810295.714792899408387.9763313609467490329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231111396.986982248520782.6508875739645120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313125.655621301775145135.905325443786981059.4130177514792952.76923076923077362193.17041420118342135.9053254437869830126.927810650887582.769230769230773640160.685207100591756.0236686390532456194.44260355029584109.27810650887574612228.277.3254437869822570261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.714792899408334.7218934911242591329.47218934911234135.90532544378698101363.2295857988165135.90532544378698110396.986982248520724.071005917159752120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 5-8 10th 96.11 0.460 29.06
1 977 2016 Allen 4-9 13th 96.47 0.458 20.34
2 971 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.452 24.14
3 970 2016 Babel 7-6 6th 96.71 0.462 17.09 6th place
4 970 2021 Mike R. 4-10 11th 96.70 0.466 20.66
5 968 2019 Ed 5-8 11th 97.34 0.450 26.02
6 962 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.454 18.15
7 960 2015 Mike R. 8-5 4th 93.10 0.462 16.62 6th place
8 959 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01
9 959 2010 Rob 6-7 7th 92.49 0.455 20.45
10 955 2019 Kevin 6-7 8th 101.02 0.448 29.55