2016 Matt (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 630.39 points

7th place

3.11 expected wins (0.519)

42-36 all-play record (0.538)

+0.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 Babel
8 Rabbit
9 Allen
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.23076923076923245.1%268.072.030.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692360.1%47.120879120879124141.1248182086639502.2%120.74725274725276137.80184465482657120.8%194.3736263736264109.2582205021768720.0%268.02.7692307692307736327.0%341.626373626373699.6885688502798144.6%415.2527472527472134.2212428565126750.2%488.8791208791208140.908222174565886Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th129.2076923076923163.24260355029585211th246.66923076923075230.69822485207139th364.1307692307692185.727810650887647th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041557th599.053846153846140.75739644970415613th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415210th246.66923076923075208.213017751479338th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958547th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041557th599.053846153846140.75739644970415613th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415211th246.66923076923075230.69822485207136th364.1307692307692118.2721893491124147th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041557th599.053846153846140.757396449704156Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.933113.815384615384676.6190103396275520.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.940254.3282051282051376.1644419270814640.657324.5846153846153595.744976297504250.000394.8410256410256141.2307692307692360.13743.55897435897436131.7354303608407210.000113.815384615384612.00725144848587420.071184.07179487179485136.3265713275562230.000254.3282051282051311.09811462339368440.000324.5846153846153550.2591833642391850.375394.8410256410256115.268689616358696Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.23076923076923113118.4884615384615272.020191.62948717948714141.23076923076923313264.770512820512872.048337.911538461538498.6272189349112450411.05256410256413141.230769230769236145.347435897435886135.9053254437869810118.488461538461522.769230769230773621191.62948717948714135.9053254437869830264.77051282051282.769230769230773640337.911538461538456.0236686390532456411.05256410256413109.278106508875746All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 3-3 7th 105.07 0.519 28.24 5-8 10th
1 981 2012 Allen 3-3 6th 104.50 0.525 25.53 6-7 8th
2 978 2010 Matt 2-4 8th 101.71 0.516 29.78 5-8 9th
3 976 2009 Pat 3-3 5th 104.20 0.529 27.81 6-7 8th
4 962 2011 Dave 2-4 10th 105.33 0.511 17.53 3-10 12th
5 962 2013 Mike R. 4-2 4th 99.16 0.516 23.53 7-6 6th 5th place
6 955 2019 Scott 2-4 12th 101.33 0.512 20.31 4-9 14th
7 954 2024 Babel 4-2 6th 101.52 0.508 22.92 9-5 4th
8 951 2011 Babel 4-2 2nd 105.10 0.528 12.97 7-6 7th
9 947 2022 Derrek 3-3 7th 99.84 0.509 21.89 8-6 4th 4th place
10 943 2024 Ed 4-2 5th 102.37 0.531 17.37 6-8 9th