2016 Matt (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 916.71 points

9th place

4.79 expected wins (0.533)

64-53 all-play record (0.547)

+6.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.63 119.84 Pulley -43.21
2 W 139.75 75.70 Richie 64.05 Team Blangums
3 L 69.92 135.90 Dave -65.98
4 W 142.08 109.53 Schertz 32.55 Team Blangums
5 W 109.18 71.45 Pat 37.73
6 L 92.83 94.89 Ed -2.06
7 L 129.83 133.02 Babel -3.19
8 L 45.78 86.58 Rabbit -40.80 Slapped Heartbeat
9 W 110.71 99.08 Allen 11.63
10 Kevin
11 Rob
12 Derrek
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923327.7%242.2307692307692591.1071063989404740.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.2287744889410400.1%87.61538461538464141.1236090608355211.1%139.15384615384616139.2242528621969828.6%190.6923076923077125.6369323046939130.0%242.2307692307692540.98344356711172438.2%293.769230769230872.0520.5%345.3076923076923104.1482762789432963.7%396.8461538461538134.5699187833792570.2%448.3846153846154140.8787277466723380.0%499.9230769230769141.230769230769239Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585211th158.5730769230769230.69822485207139th231.98653846153846185.727810650887647th305.4140.7573964497041557th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041566th452.226923076923118.2721893491124178th525.6403846153845163.2426035502958588th599.053846153846163.24260355029585913th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th85.15961538461536140.75739644970415210th158.5730769230769208.213017751479338th231.98653846153846163.2426035502958547th305.4140.7573964497041557th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041568th452.226923076923163.24260355029585711th525.6403846153845230.69822485207189th599.053846153846185.7278106508876913th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th85.15961538461536140.75739644970415211th158.5730769230769230.69822485207136th231.98653846153846118.2721893491124147th305.4140.7573964497041557th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041565th452.22692307692395.786982248520777th525.6403846153845140.7573964497041588th599.053846153846163.242603550295859Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Julio Jones K WR
2.05 19 Mark Ingram II RB
3.10 38 Greg Olsen TE
4.05 47 Cam Newton K QB
5.10 66 Giovani Bernard RB
6.05 75 Torrey Smith WR
7.10 94 Tavon Austin WR
8.05 103 Michael Thomas WR
9.10 122 Derrick Henry RB
10.05 131 C.J. Prosise RB
11.10 150 Robert Woods WR
12.05 159 Marcus Mariota QB
13.10 178 Will Tye TE
14.05 187 Will Fuller V WR
15.10 206 Pittsburgh DEF
16.05 215 Chris Boswell K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265140.5747678232566210.94878.6871794871794875.2347655611828320.000125.5247863247863140.5747678232566230.955172.3623931623931874.7823507973810340.672219.294.2701167481432150.000266.03760683760686140.5747678232566260.000312.8752136752136140.5747678232566270.000359.7128205128205140.5747678232566280.697406.550427350427392.573561383886590.15231.84957264957265130.090055672150110.00078.687179487179489.8947632991090320.086125.5247863247863134.659444786548230.000172.362393162393188.98993377150543440.000219.247.9654656730298150.390266.03760683760686113.7013308534301960.900312.875213675213678.582634813316087-0.005359.7128205128205140.9027685270129480.000406.550427350427344.572354944516369Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.2307692307692311381.917948717948772.020130.67863247863247141.23076923076923313179.439316239316272.048228.298.6272189349112450276.96068376068376141.2307692307692360325.7213675213675141.2307692307692370374.4820512820512141.23076923076923810423.24273504273587.976331360946749133.15726495726496135.905325443786981081.91794871794872.769230769230773621130.67863247863247135.9053254437869830179.43931623931622.769230769230773640228.256.0236686390532456276.96068376068376109.27810650887574612325.721367521367577.3254437869822570374.4820512820512141.2307692307692380423.24273504273534.721893491124259All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Matt 4-5 9th 101.86 0.533 31.36 5-8 10th
1 981 2013 Rabbit 3-6 13th 104.62 0.530 32.12 5-8 11th
2 970 2013 Kevin 4-5 9th 97.78 0.530 35.53 6-7 8th
3 968 2020 Matt 5-4 6th 104.40 0.531 22.40 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 959 2011 Mike R. 5-4 4th 104.45 0.530 19.07 6-7 9th
5 956 2024 Richie 5-4 4th 107.77 0.539 27.81 8-6 5th
6 953 2021 Ed 3-6 9th 103.10 0.536 13.80 6-8 8th
7 952 2018 Rob 7-2 3rd 106.49 0.530 19.11 8-5 5th 5th place
8 952 2024 Babel 7-2 2nd 103.81 0.541 19.04 9-5 4th
9 952 2013 Mike R. 5-4 4th 99.89 0.545 23.33 7-6 6th 5th place
10 951 2020 Mike R. 4-5 8th 102.34 0.532 8.24 6-7 11th