2017 Matt

5-8 (0.385), 1,128.33 points (86.79 average)

11th place

4.95 expected wins (0.381)

63-106 all-play record (0.373)

-6.8% strength of schedule

Blingapower Ranking: 6th

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 83.86 104.24 Derrek -20.38
9 L 66.68 92.41 Rabbit -25.73
10 W 106.80 65.23 Schertz 41.57
11 L 72.46 119.39 Dave -46.93
12 L 88.80 122.00 Pat -33.20
13 W 110.55 64.62 Mike R. 45.93

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923425.8%212.780219780219871.9999999999999950.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.1093265982822800.7%65.52747252747253139.4227611613712813.9%102.34065934065934130.6445783405058212.1%139.15384615384613108.63689091784366322.2%175.9670329670329681.6896135174107240.0%212.78021978021982.769230769230745519.9%249.593406593406687.7691274079295610.5%286.4065934065934113.1542445079172773.8%323.2197802197802131.113338259030580.9%360.032967032967138.7425354047064790.2%396.8461538461538140.82255669646278100.0%433.6593406593406141.18828064727848110.0%470.4725274725274141.22824588838057120.0%507.2857142857143141.23070445936713Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th60.68846153846153253.18343195266272214th109.6307692307692298.1538461538461339th158.5730769230769185.727810650887649th207.5153846153846185.727810650887659th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876611th305.4230.698224852071712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441212th599.053846153846253.183431952662721312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613312th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627248th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958558th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585610th305.4208.2130177514793711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441211th599.053846153846230.6982248520711311th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th60.68846153846153253.18343195266272213th109.6307692307692275.668639053254439th158.5730769230769185.727810650887648th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958558th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585611th305.4230.698224852071712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441212th599.053846153846253.1834319526627213Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.848121.9218934911242882.5522882597701740.475154.34792899408282108.3710698250439250.435186.7739644970414111.0858073971045260.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.697316.478106508875793.00963400404638100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.748413.7562130177514689.47432334277009130.22824.64378698224852125.4378986292209810.24357.069822485207105124.3990352381583220.18489.49585798816568128.4823041685027630.000121.9218934911242823.87380728877110440.000154.3479289940828275.5113704193186250.000186.773964497041480.9408455634398160.102219.2134.145945272787170.308251.62603550295853119.8826585043765680.118284.0520710059171133.0683849645788390.000316.478106508875744.788498777323525100.178348.9041420118343128.91665225774602110.391381.33017751479287114.13839882270557120.000413.7562130177514637.7178774547709613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.23076923076923312126.9278106508875877.3254437869822548160.685207100591798.6272189349112455194.44260355029584114.6035502958579960228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692399329.4721893491123493.30177514792899100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923129430.7443786982248693.3017751479289913325.655621301775145125.254437869822481359.413017751479295125.254437869822482493.17041420118342119.9289940828402330126.9278106508875813.4201183431952740160.685207100591756.0236686390532450194.4426035502958487.9763313609467460228.2141.2307692307692373261.9573964497041125.2544378698224881295.7147928994083135.9053254437869890329.4721893491123445.372781065088745103363.2295857988165125.25443786982248113396.9869822485207125.25443786982248120430.7443786982248645.37278106508874513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.381 16.42
1 986 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.375 16.65
2 981 2012 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.56 0.384 13.78
3 979 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.378 21.90
4 977 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.377 15.90
5 972 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.388 22.32
6 969 2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.375 22.29 4th place
7 967 2022 Pat 8-6 6th 90.52 0.389 15.47 6th place
8 967 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
9 962 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.365 16.78
10 961 2015 Derrek 7-6 7th 89.66 0.383 27.98