2017 Matt

5-8 (0.385), 1,128.33 points

11th place

4.92 expected wins (0.379)

63-106 all-play record (0.373)

-6.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 83.86 104.24 Derrek -20.38
9 L 66.68 92.41 Rabbit -25.73
10 W 106.80 65.23 Schertz 41.57
11 L 72.46 119.39 Dave -46.93
12 L 88.80 122.00 Pat -33.20
13 W 110.55 64.62 Mike R. 45.93

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923425.9%212.780219780219871.9999999999999950.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.1154349057277400.7%65.52747252747253139.435895101006414.0%102.34065934065934130.5109637247269212.4%139.15384615384613108.06329601271865322.6%175.9670329670329680.9522688725865340.0%212.78021978021982.769230769230745519.7%249.593406593406688.7088173135476610.1%286.4065934065934114.2442777526669273.6%323.2197802197802131.7442307564965680.9%360.032967032967138.9585610733565890.1%396.8461538461538140.8678157209166100.0%433.6593406593406141.1939409959216110.0%470.4725274725274141.22863111376813120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307153561009413Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th60.68846153846153253.18343195266272214th109.6307692307692298.1538461538461339th158.5730769230769185.727810650887649th207.5153846153846185.727810650887659th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876611th305.4230.698224852071712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441212th599.053846153846253.183431952662721312th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613312th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627248th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958558th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585610th305.4208.2130177514793711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441211th599.053846153846230.6982248520711311th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th60.68846153846153253.18343195266272213th109.6307692307692275.668639053254439th158.5730769230769185.727810650887648th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958558th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585611th305.4230.698224852071712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272812th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441212th599.053846153846253.1834319526627213Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.863121.9218934911242881.459643593943340.478154.34792899408282108.1314452000850450.437186.7739644970414110.9952261991253860.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.691316.478106508875793.40342863359177100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.751413.7562130177514689.25549186910871130.21824.64378698224852126.1323543369101310.23057.069822485207105125.2914027736998620.17389.49585798816568129.2461479628508430.000121.9218934911242821.6885179571173740.000154.3479289940828275.0321211694008450.000186.773964497041480.7596831674815460.107219.2133.791832088311770.307251.62603550295853119.9843165572242880.118284.0520710059171133.0872510488652690.000316.478106508875745.57608803641432100.167348.9041420118343129.66662374445596110.383381.33017751479287114.699958761376120.000413.7562130177514637.2802145074482113Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.23076923076923312126.9278106508875877.3254437869822548160.685207100591798.6272189349112455194.44260355029584114.6035502958579960228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692399329.4721893491123493.30177514792899100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923129430.7443786982248693.3017751479289913325.655621301775145125.254437869822481359.413017751479295125.254437869822482493.17041420118342119.9289940828402330126.9278106508875813.4201183431952740160.685207100591756.0236686390532450194.4426035502958487.9763313609467460228.2141.2307692307692373261.9573964497041125.2544378698224881295.7147928994083135.9053254437869890329.4721893491123445.372781065088745103363.2295857988165125.25443786982248113396.9869822485207125.25443786982248120430.7443786982248645.37278106508874513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.379 16.42
1 988 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.374 16.65
2 980 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.376 15.90
3 979 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.376 21.90
4 978 2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.377 22.29 4th place
5 976 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.384 22.32
6 975 2012 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.56 0.385 13.78
7 975 2008 Matt 3-10 12th 83.56 0.376 19.42
8 970 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
9 962 2023 Dave 6-8 10th 92.75 0.380 21.93
10 962 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78