2017 Matt (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 533.94 points

8th place

2.62 expected wins (0.437)

35-43 all-play record (0.449)

-2.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 Ed
8 Derrek
9 Rabbit
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.23076923076923233.2%268.072.030.0%341.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692361.1%47.120879120879124138.93830630291592013.1%120.74725274725276113.83105264338694132.6%194.373626373626473.3074929429610620.0%268.02.7692307692307736316.0%341.6263736263736107.8518086306833543.6%415.2527472527472133.6474433876442750.3%488.8791208791208140.576763909701366Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272214th246.66923076923075298.1538461538461339th364.1307692307692185.727810650887649th481.59230769230766185.727810650887659th599.053846153846185.7278106508876612th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544214th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613312th364.1307692307692253.1834319526627248th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958558th599.053846153846163.24260355029585611th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th129.2076923076923253.18343195266272213th246.66923076923075275.668639053254439th364.1307692307692185.727810650887648th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958558th599.053846153846163.242603550295856Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692320.000184.07179487179485141.2307692307692330.900254.3282051282051378.9101163117906340.515324.58461538461535105.5819179179323750.474394.8410256410256108.4456989169727260.25543.55897435897436123.5828270547574410.267113.8153846153846122.7418754915471920.210184.07179487179485126.6966206806981630.000254.3282051282051316.58946339281203640.000324.5846153846153569.933066605095550.000394.841025641025675.66062860317626Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456045.347435897435886141.2307692307692310118.48846153846152141.2307692307692320191.62948717948714141.23076923076923312264.770512820512877.3254437869822548337.911538461538498.6272189349112455411.05256410256413114.603550295857996345.347435897435886125.2544378698224813118.48846153846152125.2544378698224824191.62948717948714119.9289940828402330264.770512820512813.4201183431952740337.911538461538456.0236686390532450411.0525641025641387.976331360946746All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 3-3 8th 88.99 0.437 15.40 5-8 11th
1 980 2022 Kevin 3-3 8th 92.02 0.433 14.57 6-8 12th
2 974 2012 Pulley 1-5 12th 93.67 0.436 12.50 4-9 12th
3 973 2012 Pat 3-3 8th 91.81 0.433 19.17 5-8 11th
4 970 2009 Allen 2-4 11th 92.45 0.430 14.45 6-7 7th
5 969 2015 Schertz 4-2 4th 92.82 0.429 15.49 9-4 2nd 2nd place
6 968 2017 Rabbit 3-3 9th 86.39 0.428 17.80 6-7 9th
7 966 2014 Ed 3-3 7th 93.80 0.430 16.49 6-7 8th
8 962 2014 Kevin 2-4 11th 93.32 0.432 20.46 4-9 14th
9 960 2017 Ed 1-5 13th 89.51 0.454 13.03 4-9 13th
10 954 2023 Richie 1-5 12th 95.36 0.431 10.33 4-10 13th