2018 Matt

8-5 (0.615), 1,456.67 points

4th place (regular season)

2nd place (playoffs)

7.32 expected wins (0.563)

101-68 all-play record (0.598)

-0.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 147.40 84.03 Scott 63.37
2 W 130.28 92.06 Rabbit 38.22
3 W 95.79 87.66 Derrek 8.13
4 L 106.41 114.02 Rob -7.61
5 L 103.24 136.04 Dave -32.80
6 W 113.47 96.10 Richie 17.37
7 W 115.38 82.07 Schertz 33.31
8 L 66.27 107.18 Kevin -40.91 Slapped Heartbeat
9 W 103.74 92.60 Ed 11.14
10 W 143.91 103.04 Babel 40.87 Team Blangums
11 L 97.23 143.95 Pulley -46.72
12 W 139.96 114.90 Pat 25.06
13 L 93.59 140.81 Mike R. -47.22
14 W 95.56 87.84 Rob 7.72 Quarterfinals
15 W 80.92 75.27 Mike R. 5.65 Semifinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923723.9%323.219780219780274.6895616722475580.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2304063269098700.0%65.52747252747253141.2183640029060410.1%102.34065934065934141.051274697076920.5%139.15384615384613139.7883419181932332.6%175.96703296703296134.101611608804148.2%212.7802197802198118.44406401023738517.4%249.593406593406692.818716431435624.8%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.21978021978028.148354113725873815.1%360.03296703296799.0455331348798396.0%396.8461538461538124.38598974609143101.4%433.6593406593406137.4058113094148110.1%470.4725274725274140.8553355370976120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st60.688461538461535.84615384615381121st109.63076923076925.84615384615381135th158.573076923076995.786982248520743rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728454th256.457692307692373.3017751479289963rd305.450.81656804733728477th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041586th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124196th452.226923076923118.27218934911241106th501.16923076923075118.27218934911241116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241126th599.053846153846118.27218934911241132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st60.688461538461535.84615384615381121st109.63076923076925.84615384615381133rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728444th207.515384615384673.3017751479289954th256.457692307692373.3017751479289963rd305.450.81656804733728476th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124185th403.2846153846153495.786982248520794th452.22692307692373.30177514792899104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899114th550.111538461538473.30177514792899124th599.05384615384673.30177514792899132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st60.688461538461535.84615384615381121st109.63076923076925.84615384615381132nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557643rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728453rd256.457692307692350.81656804733728463rd305.450.81656804733728477th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041586th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124196th452.226923076923118.27218934911241106th501.16923076923075118.27218934911241115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207125th599.05384615384695.786982248520713Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Melvin Gordon III RB
2.09 23 Rob Gronkowski TE
3.06 34 Brandin Cooks WR
4.09 51 Russell Wilson QB
5.06 62 Rashaad Penny RB
6.09 79 Michael Thomas K WR
7.06 90 Kenny Golladay WR
8.09 107 Keelan Cole WR
9.06 118 Giovani Bernard RB
10.09 135 Chris Godwin WR
11.06 146 Evan Engram K TE
12.09 163 Austin Ekeler RB
13.06 174 Mitchell Trubisky QB
14.09 191 John Kelly RB
15.06 202 Pittsburgh DEF
16.09 219 Josh Lambo K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.88324.6437869822485277.9690022449554510.81857.06982248520710582.3683779736448120.35789.49585798816568113.3850822316909930.000121.92189349112428137.4476073480029240.000154.34792899408282137.4476073480029250.655186.773964497041493.3336561717851560.683219.291.4324184196882570.000251.62603550295853137.4476073480029280.491284.0520710059171104.4094714485357890.875316.478106508875778.54379505372893100.000348.9041420118343137.44760734800292110.865381.3301775147928779.2291249411127120.000413.75621301775146137.44760734800292130.00024.6437869822485218.49039714190796210.00057.06982248520710527.28914859928670520.00089.4958579881656889.3225571153790630.541121.92189349112428101.0270368430610440.481154.34792899408282105.0616402123364750.000186.773964497041449.2197049955673860.000219.245.417229491373567-0.028251.62603550295853139.3391882893860780.000284.052071005917171.3713355490686390.000316.478106508875719.639982759454938100.378348.9041420118343111.97020762547933110.000381.3301775147928721.01064253422247120.319413.75621301775146115.9716498711716613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131225.65562130177514577.3254437869822511159.41301775147929582.65088757396452593.17041420118342114.6035502958579930126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692359194.4426035502958493.3017751479289968228.298.6272189349112470261.9573964497041141.2307692307692387295.7147928994083103.95266272189349913329.4721893491123472.0100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231112396.986982248520777.32544378698225120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514513.420118343195271059.41301775147929524.0710059171597522093.1704142011834287.9763313609467434126.92781065088758119.9289940828402348160.685207100591798.6272189349112450194.4426035502958445.37278106508874560228.256.0236686390532470261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.714792899408366.6745562130177590329.472189349112342.7692307692307736105363.2295857988165114.60355029585799110396.986982248520713.42011834319527127430.74437869822486103.9526627218934913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2018 Matt 10-5 4th 108.88 0.519 22.48 2nd place
1 962 2019 Pulley 8-5 3rd 109.35 0.576 21.97 6th place
2 960 2011 Matt 7-6 6th 105.29 0.560 18.74 2nd place
3 959 2020 Rob 7-6 6th 110.57 0.572 30.64 6th place
4 956 2020 Matt 8-5 2nd 104.39 0.558 21.15 2nd place
5 956 2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.563 18.34
6 954 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.564 20.22 6th place
7 952 2022 Scott 6-8 10th 103.95 0.555 22.32
8 950 2011 Allen 7-6 5th 105.44 0.568 15.17 5th place
9 948 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.560 17.29 5th place
10 945 2016 Dave 6-7 8th 104.86 0.573 18.85