2020 Matt

8-5 (0.615), 1,357.11 points

2nd place (regular season)

2nd place (playoffs)

7.25 expected wins (0.558)

95-74 all-play record (0.562)

+14.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 115.88 103.72 Schertz 12.16
2 L 82.27 128.02 Pat -45.75 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 135.99 74.49 Dave 61.50
4 L 96.72 124.84 Kevin -28.12
5 W 99.87 76.77 Rabbit 23.10
6 L 76.10 118.67 Pulley -42.57
7 L 78.06 106.74 Scott -28.68
8 W 138.99 100.53 Richie 38.46 Team Blangums
9 W 115.69 102.33 Derrek 13.36
10 W 105.98 95.10 Babel 10.88
11 W 117.67 113.78 Rob 3.89
12 L 74.48 99.54 Ed -25.06
13 W 119.41 109.39 Mike R. 10.02
15 W 142.99 118.78 Babel 24.21 Semifinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923724.5%323.219780219780278.5877404727301980.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2306622953149100.0%65.52747252747253141.2255425070172210.0%102.34065934065934141.1302730398210820.4%139.15384615384613140.2287525156508532.3%175.96703296703296135.3946605679777248.2%212.7802197802198120.21031246309664518.7%249.593406593406693.318707000291627.0%286.406593406593471.9999999999999970.0%323.219780219780215.944711714691152813.5%360.032967032967106.5579397652645694.4%396.8461538461538129.8703586868744100.8%433.6593406593406139.11174242627476110.1%470.4725274725274141.0241705837727120.0%507.2857142857143141.2226262404254313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.816568047337284111th60.68846153846153230.69822485207126th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124136th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124149th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071611th305.4230.698224852071710th354.3423076923077208.213017751479388th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958595th452.22692307692395.7869822485207105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207124th599.05384615384673.30177514792899133rd11.74615384615384550.816568047337284110th60.68846153846153208.213017751479326th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124136th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124145th207.515384615384695.786982248520758th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585611th305.4230.69822485207177th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041586th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124194th452.22692307692373.30177514792899102nd501.1692307692307528.331360946745576113rd550.111538461538450.816568047337284122nd599.05384615384628.331360946745576133rd11.74615384615384550.816568047337284111th60.68846153846153230.69822485207126th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124136th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124147th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041559th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876610th305.4208.213017751479378th354.3423076923077163.2426035502958586th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124195th452.22692307692395.7869822485207105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207124th599.05384615384673.3017751479289913Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 DeAndre Hopkins WR
2.02 16 Dalvin Cook K RB
3.13 41 Robert Woods WR
4.02 44 Michael Gallup WR
5.13 69 Jared Cook TE
6.02 72 Lamar Jackson K QB
7.13 97 Marlon Mack RB
8.02 100 Alexander Mattison RB
9.13 125 Boston Scott RB
10.02 128 Brandon Aiyuk WR
11.13 153 Dallas Goedert TE
12.02 156 Jared Goff QB
13.13 181 Miles Boykin WR
14.02 184 James Washington WR
15.13 209 Dan Bailey K
16.02 212 Tennessee DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.77124.6437869822485287.8658737343266810.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.92989.4958579881656876.8880465713386630.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.502154.34792899408282106.48045022808950.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.943251.6260355029585375.9334529049918880.768284.052071005917188.0704295199724490.614316.478106508875798.69596616323724100.791348.904142011834386.44534744512016110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.815413.7562130177514684.77480852901328130.00024.6437869822485234.5009782378841410.22457.069822485207105125.7200582891021820.00089.4958579881656812.54532391190809930.453121.92189349112428109.8897133221846640.000154.3479289940828271.7301312254087750.144186.7739644970414131.2771571324781260.167219.2129.663439267939570.000251.6260355029585310.63613657921453680.000284.052071005917134.9100898091756390.000316.478106508875756.16116309570525100.000348.904142011834331.6599256594711110.126381.33017751479287132.48176342572523120.000413.7562130177514628.31884782725734313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131125.65562130177514582.65088757396451059.413017751479295141.2307692307692321293.1704142011834277.3254437869822530126.92781065088758141.2307692307692347160.6852071005917103.9526627218934950194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.23076923076923713261.957396449704172.0810295.714792899408387.97633136094674911329.4721893491123482.65088757396451011363.229585798816582.6508875739645110396.9869822485207141.230769230769231210430.7443786982248687.9763313609467413025.65562130177514524.0710059171597521059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.1704142011834213.4201183431952736126.92781065088758109.2781065088757440160.685207100591766.6745562130177551194.44260355029584135.9053254437869862228.2130.5798816568047370261.95739644970412.769230769230773680295.714792899408334.7218934911242590329.4721893491123424.071005917159752100363.229585798816524.071005917159752111396.9869822485207135.90532544378698120430.7443786982248634.7218934911242513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2020 Matt 9-5 2nd 107.15 0.586 22.68 2nd place
1 991 2022 Scott 6-8 10th 103.95 0.555 22.32
2 987 2011 Matt 7-6 6th 105.29 0.560 18.74 2nd place
3 986 2020 Babel 8-5 3rd 104.19 0.555 17.75 3rd place
4 984 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.555 16.72
5 982 2020 Pulley 8-5 4th 104.06 0.553 17.06 4th place
6 980 2014 Rob 8-5 3rd 102.85 0.560 17.29 5th place
7 980 2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.563 18.34
8 977 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.564 20.22 6th place
9 975 2012 Ed 8-5 4th 102.07 0.552 23.72 4th place
10 970 2009 Kevin 6-7 6th 103.07 0.561 12.42 5th place