2021 Matt (through 13 weeks)

10-3 (0.769), 1,329.03 points (102.23 average)

2nd place

6.47 expected wins (0.498)

88-81 all-play record (0.521)

-31.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 W 172.33 87.89 Rob 84.44 Team Blangums
6 W 90.72 46.10 Scott 44.62
7 W 89.05 52.19 Derrek 36.86
8 W 104.54 102.26 Kevin 2.28
9 W 101.27 91.70 Pat 9.57
10 W 100.77 98.77 Richie 2.00
11 W 92.08 72.46 Schertz 19.62
12 W 112.51 74.27 Dave 38.24
13 L 90.60 97.03 Rabbit -6.43
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692392.4%396.8461538461538134.2736265296114100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.1361883494117810.4%102.34065934065934139.9760559873209322.4%139.15384615384613134.048672308618538.0%175.96703296703296117.72509913482665416.7%212.780219780219892.10546919737317523.5%249.593406593406671.99999999999999623.0%286.406593406593473.66031955955971715.6%323.219780219780295.16634417411887.4%360.032967032967119.4558816521946890.0%396.8461538461538127.31648382845356100.5%433.6593406593406139.80648608799817110.1%470.4725274725274141.06337396864495120.0%507.2857142857143141.2222500075857613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th60.68846153846153163.2426035502958528th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585311th158.5730769230769230.69822485207148th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585510th256.4576923076923208.2130177514793610th305.4208.2130177514793710th354.3423076923077208.213017751479389th403.28461538461534185.727810650887699th452.226923076923185.7278106508876109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585127th599.053846153846140.757396449704151313th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th60.68846153846153140.7573964497041527th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041537th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041547th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041556th256.4576923076923118.2721893491124167th305.4140.7573964497041576th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124185th403.2846153846153495.786982248520794th452.22692307692373.30177514792899104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899112nd550.111538461538428.331360946745576122nd599.05384615384628.3313609467455761313th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th60.68846153846153163.2426035502958528th109.6307692307692163.24260355029585311th158.5730769230769230.69822485207148th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958558th256.4576923076923163.2426035502958569th305.4185.727810650887679th354.3423076923077185.727810650887688th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958597th452.226923076923140.75739644970415107th501.16923076923075140.75739644970415115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207126th599.053846153846118.2721893491124113Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.75957.06982248520710588.7960440298400320.51289.49585798816568105.8445866747196130.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692341.003154.3479289940828272.050.357186.7739644970414116.5955754603378360.337219.2117.9653946374140270.590251.62603550295853100.5238445485777380.528284.0520710059171104.7657721898291690.523316.4781065088757105.08508114987737100.386348.9041420118343114.60864653852738110.728381.3301775147928790.98292841361206120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.22224.64378698224852125.8991346129903810.00057.06982248520710536.36131882891082520.00089.4958579881656870.4584041186699730.172121.92189349112428129.3610150412327540.000154.347928994082822.769230769230773650.000186.773964497041491.9603816899064360.000219.294.7000200440588270.000251.6260355029585359.8169198663862480.000284.052071005917168.3007751488891290.000316.478106508875768.93939306898552100.000348.904142011834387.98652384628554110.000381.3301775147928740.735087596454875120.354413.75621301775146116.7566566595549913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311059.41301775147929587.976331360946742693.17041420118342109.2781065088757430126.92781065088758141.23076923076923413160.685207100591772.052194.44260355029584130.5798816568047364228.2119.9289940828402379261.957396449704193.30177514792899810295.714792899408387.9763313609467499329.4721893491123493.30177514792899105363.2295857988165114.603550295857991112396.986982248520777.32544378698225120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313125.655621301775145135.905325443786981059.41301775147929534.721893491124252093.1704142011834277.3254437869822532126.92781065088758130.5798816568047340160.68520710059172.769230769230773650194.44260355029584119.9289940828402360228.298.6272189349112470261.957396449704145.37278106508874580295.714792899408334.7218934911242590329.4721893491123445.372781065088745100363.229585798816587.97633136094674110396.986982248520713.42011834319527125430.74437869822486114.6035502958579913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 10-3 2nd 102.23 0.498 22.76 11-3 2nd 4th place
1 985 2020 Richie 7-6 7th 101.92 0.495 27.21 7-6 7th
2 980 2022 Matt 6-7 11th 99.75 0.501 21.03 6-8 11th
3 980 2009 Ed 7-6 4th 101.77 0.491 25.43 7-6 4th 6th place
4 975 2011 Kevin 6-7 8th 103.99 0.505 24.96 6-7 8th
5 974 2011 Mike R. 6-7 9th 102.67 0.505 17.48 6-7 9th
6 974 2011 Ed 9-4 1st 102.13 0.506 17.79 9-4 1st 3rd place
7 973 2022 Rabbit 8-5 2nd 101.02 0.503 28.62 8-6 5th 5th place
8 971 2024 Ed 6-7 7th 100.66 0.494 15.17 6-8 9th
9 971 2024 Kevin 4-9 12th 102.25 0.508 18.48 5-9 11th
10 970 2016 Ed 6-7 9th 98.03 0.496 17.88 6-7 9th