2021 Matt

11-3 (0.786), 1,465.11 points

2nd place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

7.30 expected wins (0.522)

100-82 all-play record (0.549)

-25.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 W 172.33 87.89 Rob 84.44 Team Blangums
6 W 90.72 46.10 Scott 44.62
7 W 89.05 52.19 Derrek 36.86
8 W 104.54 102.26 Kevin 2.28
9 W 101.27 91.70 Pat 9.57
10 W 100.77 98.77 Richie 2.00
11 W 92.08 72.46 Schertz 19.62
12 W 112.51 74.27 Dave 38.24
13 L 90.60 97.03 Rabbit -6.43
14 W 136.08 118.37 Mike R. 17.71

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.2307692307692350.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923102.0%405.4358974358974135.48732351169377110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.230645880090200.0%61.84615384615385141.2199697826394210.1%96.2051282051282141.0028820159325820.7%130.56410256410257139.2490693707515633.2%164.92307692307696131.8783910658633849.3%199.28205128205127113.9966615518808518.0%233.641025641025788.82238797081844623.7%268.072.0721.9%302.358974358974377.25295792579854814.2%336.7179487179487399.6898258765202596.4%371.0769230769231122.46211653206018100.0%405.4358974358974129.74387779261832110.4%439.7948717948718140.1033249217612120.0%474.15384615384613141.10365170700248130.0%508.5128205128205141.224563575571914Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th56.92366863905325163.2426035502958527th102.10118343195265140.75739644970415311th147.27869822485206230.69822485207148th192.45621301775148163.24260355029585510th237.6337278106509208.2130177514793610th282.8112426035503208.2130177514793710th327.98875739644967208.213017751479389th373.16627218934906185.727810650887699th418.3437869822485185.7278106508876109th463.5213017751479185.7278106508876118th508.6988165680473163.24260355029585127th553.8763313609467140.75739644970415137th599.053846153846140.757396449704151413th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th56.92366863905325140.7573964497041527th102.10118343195265140.7573964497041537th147.27869822485206140.7573964497041547th192.45621301775148140.7573964497041556th237.6337278106509118.2721893491124167th282.8112426035503140.7573964497041576th327.98875739644967118.2721893491124185th373.1662721893490695.786982248520794th418.343786982248573.30177514792899104th463.521301775147973.30177514792899112nd508.698816568047328.331360946745576122nd553.876331360946728.331360946745576132nd599.05384615384628.3313609467455761413th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th56.92366863905325163.2426035502958528th102.10118343195265163.24260355029585311th147.27869822485206230.69822485207148th192.45621301775148163.2426035502958558th237.6337278106509163.2426035502958569th282.8112426035503185.727810650887679th327.98875739644967185.727810650887688th373.16627218934906163.2426035502958597th418.3437869822485140.75739644970415107th463.5213017751479140.75739644970415115th508.698816568047395.7869822485207126th553.8763313609467118.27218934911241135th599.05384615384695.786982248520714Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.00023.485714285714284141.2307692307692310.75453.595604395604488.9963361373641820.51083.70549450549449105.9062810840786630.000113.81538461538459141.2307692307692340.984143.925274725274773.1091701188784150.349174.03516483516484117.1000282430260960.326204.1450549450549118.6455608456827870.585234.25494505494504100.7014727604259680.528264.36483516483514104.6789463702042290.517294.4747252747253105.40625583027796100.373324.58461538461535115.3840324856646110.718354.6945054945054591.50782661668131120.000384.80439560439555141.23076923076923130.930414.9142857142856576.85935952238363140.21623.485714285714284126.2482175455161110.00053.595604395604436.7619030439591420.00083.7054945054944970.5817929373880930.165113.81538461538459129.816579584002940.000143.92527472527474.98757100698759450.000174.0351648351648492.9692872552829460.000204.145054945054996.0603524605963370.000234.2549450549450460.17217629008267580.000264.3648351648351468.1271235096392290.000294.474725274725369.5817424297867100.000324.5846153846153589.53729574055998110.000354.6945054945054541.784884002593415120.347384.80439560439555117.20230613584894130.000414.9142857142856512.48794981399802914Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314024.449999999999996141.2307692307692311055.7961538461538487.976331360946742687.14230769230768109.2781065088757430118.48846153846152141.23076923076923413149.8346153846153872.052181.18076923076924130.5798816568047364212.52692307692305119.9289940828402379243.8730769230769293.30177514792899810275.2192307692307687.9763313609467499306.5653846153846393.30177514792899105337.91153846153844114.603550295857991112369.257692307692377.32544378698225120400.6038461538461141.230769230769231312431.9577.3254437869822514124.449999999999996135.905325443786981055.7961538461538434.721893491124252087.1423076923076877.3254437869822532118.48846153846152130.5798816568047340149.834615384615382.769230769230773650181.18076923076924119.9289940828402360212.5269230769230598.6272189349112470243.8730769230769245.37278106508874580275.2192307692307634.7218934911242590306.5653846153846345.372781065088745100337.9115384615384487.97633136094674110369.257692307692313.42011834319527125400.6038461538461114.60355029585799130431.9513.4201183431952714All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 11-3 2nd 104.65 0.522 23.60 4th place
1 989 2019 Mike R. 8-5 4th 102.54 0.522 22.23 4th place
2 975 2011 Babel 7-6 7th 102.34 0.523 17.34
3 974 2021 Schertz 9-5 7th 101.81 0.525 28.10
4 973 2013 Rabbit 5-8 11th 101.31 0.519 27.66
5 970 2011 Kevin 6-7 8th 103.99 0.509 24.96
6 967 2024 Matt 8-6 6th 101.70 0.529 20.21
7 965 2022 Rabbit 8-6 5th 101.88 0.529 27.75 5th place
8 965 2023 Ed 11-3 1st 102.55 0.530 18.47 2nd place
9 963 2024 Rabbit 6-8 8th 103.28 0.532 18.31
10 963 2013 Pulley 8-5 3rd 99.08 0.529 23.01 3rd place