2021 Matt (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 375.16 points

7th place

1.57 expected wins (0.392)

19-33 all-play record (0.365)

-3.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 81.96 102.07 Kevin -20.11
2 W 114.85 106.49 Pulley 8.36
3 W 100.35 80.16 Ed 20.19
4 L 78.00 108.67 Babel -30.67
5 Rob
6 Scott
7 Derrek
8 Kevin
9 Pat
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Dave
13 Rabbit
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923139.5%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692349.3%61.846153846153854125.00169671859172038.5%164.9230769230769373.8445631606036410.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736211.7%371.0769230769231120.6921777710008631.0%474.1538461538462139.42226282385724Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek13th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958527th403.28461538461534140.75739644970415311th599.053846153846230.698224852071413th11.746153846153845275.668639053254417th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041527th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041537th599.053846153846140.75739644970415413th11.746153846153845275.668639053254418th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958528th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585311th599.053846153846230.6982248520714Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Dalvin Cook K RB
2.02 16 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3.13 41 Mark Andrews TE
4.02 44 Lamar Jackson K QB
5.13 69 Mike Williams WR
6.02 72 Michael Gallup WR
7.13 97 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.02 100 Leonard Fournette RB
9.13 125 Irv Smith, Jr. TE
10.02 128 Marquez Callaway WR
11.13 153 Matt Ryan QB
12.02 156 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
13.13 181 James White RB
14.02 184 San Francisco DEF
15.13 209 Jason Myers K
16.02 212 Joshua Palmer WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.735166.507692307692390.3473146190644520.491271.89230769230767107.2572595657789430.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.19761.12307692307692127.5991960272163810.000166.507692307692339.4638600073596720.000271.8923076923076773.2837499007886530.145377.276923076923131.16755806570324Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.23076923076923110173.3442307692307687.9763313609467426283.0557692307692109.2781065088757430392.76730769230767141.230769230769234163.6326923076923135.9053254437869810173.3442307692307634.7218934911242520283.055769230769277.3254437869822532392.76730769230767130.579881656804734All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Matt 2-2 7th 93.79 0.392 14.80 11-3 2nd 4th place
1 978 2013 Allen 2-2 9th 91.46 0.388 17.45 4-9 14th
2 969 2024 Richie 2-2 10th 89.10 0.387 13.12 8-6 5th
3 967 2024 Dave 2-2 9th 90.62 0.391 24.46 9-5 3rd
4 967 2016 Pat 2-2 10th 92.57 0.385 21.77 7-6 7th
5 962 2021 Rob 1-3 12th 94.63 0.408 13.05 2-12 14th
6 961 2013 Richie 3-1 4th 96.45 0.400 21.26 6-7 10th
7 958 2019 Ed 2-2 10th 94.40 0.400 26.99 5-8 11th
8 949 2012 Babel 1-3 11th 89.85 0.378 11.07 6-7 6th 2nd place
9 947 2023 Ed 3-1 7th 91.27 0.373 11.75 11-3 1st 2nd place
10 943 2013 Babel 0-4 14th 92.05 0.368 13.89 4-9 13th