2023 Matt (through 6 weeks)

3-3 (0.500), 704.36 points (117.39 average)

6th place

4.56 expected wins (0.761)

61-17 all-play record (0.782)

+16.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 114.96 60.67 Kevin 54.29
2 L 110.49 112.33 Rabbit -1.84
3 L 125.95 132.84 Pat -6.89
4 L 114.19 126.51 Babel -12.32
5 W 131.31 120.55 Ed 10.76
6 W 107.46 78.28 Scott 29.18
7 Derrek
8 Richie
9 Rob
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Pulley
13 Kevin
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%64.7032967032967141.2307692307692300.0%165.80219780219778141.2307692307692310.0%266.90109890109886141.23076923076923211.9%368.0119.1039442511499830.0%469.09890109890114141.2307692307692340.0%570.1978021978022141.2307692307692350.0%671.2967032967032141.2307692307692360.0%64.7032967032967141.2126852257326800.3%165.80219780219778140.759826177567412.5%266.90109890109886136.6061329769017620.0%368.096.97711927153075329.7%469.0989010989011485.94995585253645437.2%570.197802197802271.99999999999999518.4%671.2967032967032106.975407886232036Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728413rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728423rd246.6692307692307550.81656804733728433rd364.130769230769250.81656804733728442nd481.5923076923076628.33136094674557651st599.0538461538465.84615384615381163rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th129.207692307692395.7869822485207210th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793310th364.1307692307692208.213017751479348th481.59230769230766163.2426035502958556th599.053846153846118.2721893491124163rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728413rd129.207692307692350.81656804733728423rd246.6692307692307550.81656804733728433rd364.130769230769250.81656804733728443rd481.5923076923076650.81656804733728453rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372846Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Tyreek Hill WR
2.11 25 Mark Andrews TE
3.04 32 Cam Akers RB
4.11 53 Jalen Hurts K QB
5.04 60 Tyler Lockett WR
6.11 81 Kenneth Walker III K RB
7.04 88 Brandin Cooks WR
8.11 109 Anthony Richardson, Sr. QB
9.04 116 Jaylen Warren RB
10.11 137 Zay Jones WR
11.04 144 Tyjae Spears RB
12.11 165 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
13.04 172 Marvin Mims, Jr. WR
14.11 193 New Orleans DEF
15.04 200 Jake Elliott K
16.11 221 Zach Evans RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.74563.43076923076923689.6237729795402510.000165.73846153846154141.2307692307692320.000268.04615384615386141.2307692307692330.000370.3538461538461141.2307692307692340.910472.6615384615384478.2394675668011750.626574.969230769230897.862932044457460.00063.43076923076923638.0167767283112710.677165.7384615384615494.3413803338373820.865268.0461538461538681.360862969946730.740370.353846153846189.997376195851540.000472.6615384615384415.24816590283310850.000574.969230769230854.495094858145566Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234561165.2192307692307682.650887573964510170.41153846153844141.2307692307692320275.6038461538461141.2307692307692330380.79615384615386141.23076923076923412485.988461538461577.3254437869822559591.180769230769293.301775147928996065.2192307692307624.071005917159752110170.4115384615384487.97633136094674210275.603846153846187.9763313609467439380.7961538461538693.3017751479289940485.988461538461513.4201183431952750591.180769230769245.3727810650887456All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Matt 3-3 6th 117.39 0.761 8.46 9-5 2nd 3rd place
1 979 2012 Rabbit 6-0 1st 116.47 0.756 12.18 12-1 1st 3rd place
2 956 2014 Dave 4-2 4th 119.24 0.752 17.57 7-6 4th 6th place
3 955 2025 Rabbit 5-1 1st 120.68 0.751 14.91
4 950 2015 Rob 3-3 5th 117.49 0.747 19.73 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 947 2014 Pulley 5-1 1st 123.81 0.762 20.70 9-4 2nd 3rd place
6 933 2012 Mike R. 5-1 2nd 114.84 0.736 12.43 11-2 3rd 6th place
7 921 2019 Pulley 5-1 1st 126.01 0.770 21.66 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 914 2023 Pulley 4-2 3rd 121.16 0.739 21.78 8-6 4th 6th place
9 913 2019 Schertz 3-3 4th 126.08 0.749 22.71 9-4 1st Blingabowl XII champion
10 901 2025 Scott 4-2 2nd 120.96 0.730 20.30