2023 Matt (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 1,012.10 points (112.46 average)

5th place

6.22 expected wins (0.691)

82-35 all-play record (0.701)

+24.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 114.96 60.67 Kevin 54.29
2 L 110.49 112.33 Rabbit -1.84
3 L 125.95 132.84 Pat -6.89
4 L 114.19 126.51 Babel -12.32
5 W 131.31 120.55 Ed 10.76
6 W 107.46 78.28 Scott 29.18
7 W 110.92 108.07 Derrek 2.85
8 W 115.07 99.46 Richie 15.61
9 L 81.75 144.54 Rob -62.79
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Pulley
13 Kevin
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.2307692307692310.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692320.0%261.8461538461538141.2307692307692330.0%332.6153846153846141.23076923076923418.4%403.3846153846153698.3935601006250150.0%474.15384615384613141.2307692307692360.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692390.0%49.53846153846153141.2294554867216600.0%120.30769230769232141.188740919328710.2%191.07692307692307140.6819326830557221.7%261.8461538461538137.3600228029709237.0%332.6153846153846124.8901324794362340.0%403.3846153846153655.55635097048079529.7%474.1538461538461372.0627.9%544.923076923076976.09310865437715713.1%615.6923076923078110.5876698508019681.9%686.4615384615386136.706780128062159Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek3rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728413rd85.1596153846153650.81656804733728423rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728433rd231.9865384615384650.81656804733728442nd305.428.33136094674557651st378.81346153846155.84615384615381161st452.2269230769235.84615384615381171st525.64038461538455.84615384615381182nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557693rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728415th85.1596153846153695.7869822485207210th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793310th231.98653846153846208.213017751479348th305.4163.2426035502958556th378.8134615384615118.2721893491124165th452.22692307692395.786982248520773rd525.640384615384550.81656804733728485th599.05384615384695.786982248520793rd11.74615384615384550.81656804733728413rd85.1596153846153650.81656804733728423rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728433rd231.9865384615384650.81656804733728443rd305.450.81656804733728453rd378.813461538461550.81656804733728462nd452.22692307692328.33136094674557672nd525.640384615384528.33136094674557682nd599.05384615384628.3313609467455769Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Tyreek Hill WR
2.11 25 Mark Andrews TE
3.04 32 Cam Akers RB
4.11 53 Jalen Hurts K QB
5.04 60 Tyler Lockett WR
6.11 81 Kenneth Walker III K RB
7.04 88 Brandin Cooks WR
8.11 109 Anthony Richardson, Sr. QB
9.04 116 Jaylen Warren RB
10.11 137 Zay Jones WR
11.04 144 Tyjae Spears RB
12.11 165 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
13.04 172 Marvin Mims, Jr. WR
14.11 193 New Orleans DEF
15.04 200 Jake Elliott K
16.11 221 Zach Evans RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.74746.37948717948718589.4862128028601410.000114.58461538461539141.2307692307692320.000182.78974358974358141.2307692307692330.000250.99487179487176141.2307692307692340.912319.2000000000000578.1019073901210450.628387.405128205128297.7253718677772860.688455.6102564102564593.6343807555895270.753523.815384615384689.1185320271585580.000592.0205128205127141.2307692307692390.00046.37948717948718537.7416563749510610.679114.5846153846153994.2038201571572720.867182.7897435897435881.2233027932665830.742250.9948717948717689.859816019171440.000319.2000000000000514.97304554947285750.000387.405128205128254.2199745047853460.000455.6102564102564546.03799228040982470.000523.815384615384637.00629482354787680.200592.0205128205127127.359686176866949Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891147.68717948717948582.650887573964510117.8153846153846141.2307692307692320187.9435897435897141.2307692307692330258.07179487179485141.23076923076923412328.277.3254437869822559398.3282051282050793.30177514792899611468.4564102564101582.650887573964576538.5846153846154109.2781065088757480608.7128205128206141.230769230769239047.68717948717948524.071005917159752110117.815384615384687.97633136094674210187.943589743589787.9763313609467439258.0717948717948593.3017751479289940328.213.4201183431952750398.3282051282050745.37278106508874560468.4564102564101524.07100591715975270538.584615384615477.3254437869822584608.7128205128206119.928994082840239All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Matt 5-4 5th 112.46 0.691 13.03 9-5 2nd 3rd place
1 976 2012 Rabbit 8-1 2nd 110.85 0.689 19.91 12-1 1st 3rd place
2 971 2013 Ed 6-3 2nd 110.72 0.681 11.87 7-6 4th 6th place
3 967 2014 Rabbit 7-2 2nd 115.45 0.692 22.76 10-3 1st 2nd place
4 959 2015 Rob 5-4 5th 113.53 0.704 17.82 7-6 5th 3rd place
5 950 2010 Dave 4-5 6th 108.62 0.697 23.82 5-8 8th
6 947 2022 Rob 7-2 1st 111.65 0.711 8.22 10-4 1st 2nd place
7 944 2019 Pulley 6-3 2nd 118.02 0.682 21.09 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 935 2019 Derrek 6-3 3rd 112.72 0.660 11.82 7-6 6th 3rd place
9 923 2025 Scott 5-4 5th 113.23 0.663 22.39
10 923 2017 Dave 7-2 1st 109.55 0.723 13.66 8-5 3rd 6th place