2025 Matt

2-6 (0.250), 696.59 points (87.07 average)

14th place

2.70 expected wins (0.337)

38-66 all-play record (0.365)

+14.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 L 67.25 129.12 Scott -61.87
7 L 69.40 108.99 Dave -39.59
8 L 71.92 92.65 Kevin -20.73 Slapped Heartbeat
9 Ed
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Rabbit
13 Pat
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.23076923076923130.6%210.7350427350427378.7632968578490120.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692381.5%53.470085470085465138.15548905868695011.6%132.1025641025641117.5854814965057210.0%210.7350427350427316.295824484928815233.9%289.3675213675213672.0317.4%368.0105.7014390455789444.3%446.6324786324787132.3728082501884850.6%525.2649572649573140.1043797488884860.0%603.897435897436141.1603495851357570.0%682.5299145299145141.229053902983948Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd95.6472527472527228.33136094674557628th179.54835164835166163.24260355029585312th263.44945054945055253.1834319526627248th347.3505494505494163.24260355029585511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544713th599.053846153846275.668639053254486th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd95.6472527472527228.33136094674557627th179.54835164835166140.75739644970415310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793410th347.3505494505494208.2130177514793512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272614th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613714th599.053846153846298.1538461538461386th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd95.6472527472527250.81656804733728429th179.54835164835166185.7278106508876312th263.44945054945055253.18343195266272410th347.3505494505494208.2130177514793512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544713th599.053846153846275.66863905325448Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott T K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.46850.642307692307696108.8240328700638610.716127.3730769230769191.633072602292820.000204.10384615384615141.2307692307692330.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.000434.29615384615386141.2307692307692360.000511.0269230769231141.2307692307692370.000587.7576923076922141.2307692307692380.00050.64230769230769676.4172965093584810.000127.3730769230769142.0353759738163620.337204.10384615384615117.8813591278632230.127280.8346153846154132.4261283068241540.769357.5653846153846388.0252451183727750.074434.29615384615386136.1381590216661660.091511.0269230769231134.9525639313862470.114587.7576923076922133.33702001582118Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678852.0701923076923198.62721893491124111130.9644230769230582.650887573964520209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.435576923077141.2307692307692370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238052.0701923076923156.0236686390532410130.9644230769230524.07100591715975223209.85865384615386125.2544378698224832288.75288461538463130.5798816568047347367.6471153846154103.9526627218934953446.5413461538462125.2544378698224864525.435576923077119.9289940828402370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 2-6 14th 87.07 0.337 18.69
1 989 2023 Derrek 2-6 13th 88.38 0.339 17.82 5-9 12th
2 986 2024 Derrek 3-5 12th 88.17 0.340 20.43 4-10 14th
3 975 2013 Richie 4-4 10th 85.06 0.333 23.03 6-7 10th
4 975 2016 Pat 4-4 10th 86.41 0.326 19.13 7-6 7th
5 975 2015 Pat 2-6 13th 81.95 0.336 20.57 6-7 9th
6 973 2015 Kevin 2-6 12th 83.45 0.332 17.22 3-10 14th
7 967 2022 Pat 3-5 12th 88.28 0.348 15.77 8-6 6th 6th place
8 966 2022 Pulley 3-5 13th 87.26 0.325 13.88 7-7 8th
9 964 2017 Mike R. 3-5 12th 82.70 0.339 12.09 3-10 14th
10 954 2011 Pulley 3-5 11th 88.16 0.318 16.61 5-8 10th