2025 Matt

2-3 (0.400), 488.02 points (97.60 average)

10th place

2.28 expected wins (0.455)

31-34 all-play record (0.477)

+0.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 96.51 93.14 Richie 3.37
2 W 112.82 88.30 Derrek 24.52
3 L 89.30 91.75 Babel -2.45
4 L 72.48 112.26 Rob -39.78
5 L 116.91 118.77 Pulley -1.86
6 Scott
7 Dave
8 Kevin
9 Ed
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Rabbit
13 Pat
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923138.7%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692352.7%53.25641025641026136.39192336835313017.9%139.15384615384616109.2434628076895510.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736231.1%310.9487179487179685.6514911738773239.0%396.84615384615387125.0963321187725240.6%482.7435897435898140.094034070307665Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557628th305.4163.24260355029585312th452.226923076923253.1834319526627249th599.053846153846185.727810650887656th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124112nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557627th305.4140.75739644970415310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793410th599.053846153846208.213017751479356th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728429th305.4185.7278106508876312th452.226923076923253.18343195266272410th599.053846153846208.21301775147935Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
1

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Lamar Jackson QB
2.06 20 Davante Adams WR
3.09 37 George Kittle K TE
4.06 48 Calvin Ridley WR
5.09 65 Matthew Golden WR
6.06 76 Jaylen Warren RB
7.09 93 Zach Charbonnet RB
8.06 104 Christian Kirk WR
9.09 121 Bucky Irving K RB
10.06 132 J.J. McCarthy QB
11.09 149 Wan'Dale Robinson WR
12.06 160 Najee Harris RB
13.09 177 Kyle Williams WR
14.06 188 Green Bay DEF
15.09 205 Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB
16.03 213 Jake Elliott T K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.43550.58461538461538111.1441425373176910.700134.892307692307792.7965928749829320.000219.2141.2307692307692330.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.00050.5846153846153881.0575158438661610.000134.892307692307744.3624165191966420.302219.2120.3306698154234930.092303.50769230769225134.8294349648784340.749387.815384615384689.400606891664015Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345852.66153846153845698.62721893491124111140.4307692307692282.650887573964520228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.9692307692307141.2307692307692340403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.66153846153845656.0236686390532410140.4307692307692224.07100591715975223228.20000000000002125.2544378698224832315.9692307692307130.5798816568047347403.7384615384615103.952662721893495All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Matt 2-3 10th 97.60 0.455 16.16
1 988 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.454 19.35 6-7 10th
2 987 2025 Schertz 3-2 6th 98.55 0.457 13.26
3 984 2025 Ed 1-4 14th 98.55 0.455 10.65
4 983 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.448 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
5 983 2011 Matt 2-3 9th 100.26 0.453 15.73 7-6 6th 2nd place
6 977 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 970 2016 Allen 3-2 8th 99.63 0.459 23.40 4-9 13th
8 967 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.465 18.35 3-11 12th
9 966 2018 Richie 2-3 10th 102.87 0.455 21.98 5-8 11th
10 966 2024 Pat 3-2 7th 98.23 0.470 17.87 6-8 10th