2026 Matt

1-0 (1.000), 106.90 points (106.90 average)

5th place

0.57 expected wins (0.570)

7-6 all-play record (0.538)

-42.6% strength of schedule

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%50.0%50.0%010.0%191.07692307692307141.23076923076923057.0%544.923076923076972.0143.0%191.0769230769230788.9818428352016300.0%544.92307692307692.76923076923077361Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1Rank by WeekWeek7th305.4140.7573964497041515th305.495.786982248520717th305.4140.757396449704151Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
2.11 25 DeVonta Smith WR
3.04 32 Zay Flowers WR
4.11 53 Rhamondre Stevenson RB
5.04 60 Harold Fannin, Jr. TE
6.11 81 Bo Nix QB
7.04 88 Bucky Irving K×2 RB
8.11 109 Chris Rodriguez, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Javonte Williams K RB
10.11 137 Khalil Shakir WR
11.04 144 Kyler Murray QB
12.11 165 Keenan Allen WR
13.04 172 Cyrus Allen WR
14.11 193 Green Bay DEF
15.04 200 Wil Lutz K
16.11 221 Kaytron Allen RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00010.570319.20000000000005101.7764440978955610.000319.2000000000000562.32211896502191Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131317328.2103.9526627218934910328.266.674556213017751All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Matt 1-0 5th 106.90 0.570 0.00
1 990 2020 Ed 0-1 9th 106.88 0.565 0.00 4-9 13th
2 978 2014 Rabbit 1-0 5th 103.25 0.566 0.00 10-3 1st 2nd place
3 977 2019 Derrek 0-1 9th 111.03 0.567 0.00 7-6 6th 3rd place
4 975 2009 Allen 1-0 6th 101.19 0.571 0.00 6-7 7th
5 966 2014 Pat 1-0 6th 103.15 0.560 0.00 5-8 11th
6 953 2013 Ed 1-0 6th 110.67 0.554 0.00 7-6 4th 6th place
7 952 2012 Babel 1-0 5th 103.94 0.552 0.00 6-7 6th 2nd place
8 947 2014 Kevin 0-1 8th 104.42 0.591 0.00 4-9 14th
9 942 2013 Schertz 1-0 5th 112.87 0.587 0.00 6-7 9th
10 938 2017 Allen 1-0 4th 95.93 0.561 0.00 5-8 12th