2026 Matt

2-1 (0.667), 328.30 points (109.43 average)

5th place

1.90 expected wins (0.634)

23-16 all-play record (0.590)

-41.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 106.90 89.74 Babel 17.16
2 W 118.63 64.88 Richie 53.75
3 L 102.77 103.07 Scott -0.30
4 Pulley
5 Ed
6 Pat
7 Schertz
8 Kevin
9 Rob
10 Babel
11 Dave
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek
14 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%01230.0%102.61538461538461141.2307692307692300.0%279.53846153846155141.23076923076923145.5%456.4615384615384572.020.0%633.3846153846154141.2307692307692334.2%102.61538461538461134.81790823628063025.9%279.53846153846155101.8983111914752910.0%456.461538461538452.7692307692307736224.4%633.3846153846154104.128522761757553Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th305.473.3017751479289924th599.05384615384673.3017751479289935th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd305.450.81656804733728425th599.05384615384695.786982248520737th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th305.495.786982248520725th599.05384615384695.78698224852073Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Amon-Ra St. Brown WR
2.11 25 DeVonta Smith WR
3.04 32 Zay Flowers WR
4.11 53 Rhamondre Stevenson RB
5.04 60 Harold Fannin, Jr. TE
6.11 81 Bo Nix QB
7.04 88 Bucky Irving K×2 RB
8.11 109 Chris Rodriguez, Jr. RB
9.04 116 Javonte Williams K RB
10.11 137 Khalil Shakir WR
11.04 144 Kyler Murray QB
12.11 165 Keenan Allen WR
13.04 172 Cyrus Allen WR
14.11 193 Green Bay DEF
15.04 200 Wil Lutz K
16.11 221 Kaytron Allen RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.597114.5846153846153999.9276110530743710.780319.287.2036240042425320.000523.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000114.5846153846153958.62445287537950410.000319.233.1764787777158420.524523.8153846153846104.953461549899633Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131237117.8153846153846103.95266272189349110328.287.9763313609467420538.5846153846153141.2307692307692330117.815384615384666.6745562130177510328.234.7218934911242526538.5846153846153109.278106508875743All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Matt 2-1 5th 109.43 0.634 6.72
1 982 2016 Ed 2-1 5th 112.16 0.635 9.23 6-7 9th
2 979 2026 Derrek 1-2 7th 110.58 0.631 12.19
3 975 2025 Rabbit 3-0 1st 107.30 0.626 7.15 12-2 1st Blingabowl XVIII champion
4 974 2018 Kevin 2-1 6th 110.57 0.624 8.24 7-6 6th 3rd place
5 973 2014 Rob 2-1 4th 106.49 0.629 10.05 8-5 3rd 5th place
6 972 2020 Scott 2-1 4th 114.68 0.633 3.60 7-6 8th
7 968 2013 Schertz 2-1 3rd 108.89 0.627 14.67 6-7 9th
8 965 2023 Mike R. 2-1 4th 107.31 0.622 8.69 7-7 8th
9 961 2018 Mike R. 2-1 4th 113.23 0.632 16.76 9-4 2nd 4th place
10 958 2018 Ed 2-1 5th 113.00 0.640 13.95 6-7 9th