2009 Rob

8-5 (0.615), 1,290.93 points (99.30 average)

3rd place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

6.58 expected wins (0.506)

71-72 all-play record (0.497)

-2.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 74.36 103.24 Babel -28.88
2 W 115.60 86.69 Pulley 28.91 Team Blangums
3 W 104.58 93.65 Ed 10.93
4 W 118.20 101.62 Allen 16.58
5 L 81.24 95.19 Matt -13.95
6 L 96.75 116.11 Rabbit -19.36
7 W 119.43 118.61 Kevin 0.82
8 L 77.40 121.28 Dave -43.88
9 W 90.13 83.77 Pat 6.36
10 W 100.57 78.45 Mike R. 22.12
11 W 114.41 76.86 Derrek 37.55
12 L 95.83 132.65 Babel -36.82
13 W 102.43 81.45 Pulley 20.98
14 W 166.83 97.69 Kevin 69.14 Quarterfinals
15 L 133.50 148.98 Matt -15.48 Semifinals
16 L 111.94 131.77 Derrek -19.83 Third-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923717.2%323.219780219780293.001666804923580.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2272579632609700.0%65.52747252747253141.1448084643271310.3%102.34065934065934140.3377483703294521.8%139.15384615384613136.058780612361236.6%175.96703296703296122.72613889317088415.3%212.780219780219898.24495987067957523.7%249.593406593406674.71221118626953624.6%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.219780219780244.77256437907776487.8%360.032967032967119.1928391291875692.3%396.8461538461538134.87920954726295100.4%433.6593406593406140.14892588837668110.0%470.4725274725274141.1333586589604120.0%507.2857142857143141.2272410844177813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th60.68846153846153191.860139860139925th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601632nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804346th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867558th256.4576923076923191.860139860139965th305.4112.1398601398601675th354.3423076923077112.1398601398601686th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867599th452.226923076923218.43356643356645107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133117th550.1115384615384165.2867132867133127th599.053846153846165.28671328671331311th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th60.68846153846153218.4335664335664525th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601632nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804344th207.515384615384685.5664335664335757th256.4576923076923165.286713286713363rd305.458.99300699300701576th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867585th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601694th452.22692307692385.56643356643357104th501.1692307692307585.56643356643357114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357123rd599.05384615384658.9930069930070151311th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th60.68846153846153218.4335664335664527th109.6307692307692165.286713286713332nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804346th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867558th256.4576923076923191.860139860139965th305.4112.1398601398601676th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867587th403.28461538461534165.286713286713398th452.226923076923191.8601398601399107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133119th550.1115384615384218.43356643356645128th599.053846153846191.860139860139913Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Ronnie Brown RB
2.02 14 Andre Johnson K WR
3.11 35 DeSean Jackson WR
4.02 38 Donovan McNabb QB
5.11 59 Derrick Ward RB
6.02 62 Chris Cooley TE
7.11 83 Donnie Avery WR
8.02 86 Laveranues Coles WR
9.11 107 Fred Jackson RB
10.02 110 Steve Slaton K RB
11.11 131 Justin Gage WR
12.02 134 Joe Flacco QB
13.11 155 Correll Buckhalter RB
14.02 158 Garrett Hartley K
15.11 179 Mario Manningham WR
16.02 182 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.80157.06982248520710585.7938641676425720.59989.4958579881656899.7887737909281630.830121.9218934911242883.7747031129734440.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.850219.282.3652398600369470.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.330284.0520710059171118.395149804808890.516316.4781065088757105.49096845861379100.774348.904142011834387.63057200152262110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.562413.75621301775146102.35259295769025130.10424.64378698224852134.0257655273695710.00057.06982248520710530.35695910451589420.00089.4958579881656858.3467783510870830.000121.9218934911242826.31863699517765640.182154.34792899408282128.6297731999381450.464186.7739644970414109.1326955277923160.000219.223.49971048930464770.129251.62603550295853132.2922387970600780.000284.052071005917195.5595303788483590.000316.478106508875769.75116768645836100.000348.904142011834334.03037477227602110.442381.33017751479287110.64149803469834120.000413.7562130177514663.4744166846112713Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311159.41301775147929572.02893.1704142011834290.88111888111888310126.9278106508875878.293706293706340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.23076923076923610228.278.293706293706370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692384295.7147928994083116.0559440559440595329.47218934911234109.76223776223776107363.229585798816597.17482517482517110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923124430.74437869822486116.0559440559440513125.655621301775145134.937062937062931059.4130177514792952.76923076923077362093.1704142011834240.5314685314685330126.9278106508875815.3566433566433642160.6852071005917128.6433566433566454194.44260355029584116.0559440559440560228.215.3566433566433671261.9573964497041134.9370629370629380295.714792899408390.881118881118990329.4721893491123478.29370629370631100363.229585798816553.11888111888112114396.9869822485207116.05594405594405120430.7443786982248690.881118881118913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Rob 8-5 3rd 99.30 0.506 14.74 4th place
1 997 2020 Mike R. 6-7 11th 99.43 0.506 13.61
2 981 2011 Ed 9-4 1st 102.13 0.506 17.79 3rd place
3 979 2013 Rob 8-5 2nd 99.12 0.506 24.52 2nd place
4 978 2011 Mike R. 6-7 9th 102.67 0.505 17.48
5 973 2017 Ed 4-9 13th 95.86 0.504 18.82
6 971 2015 Babel 5-8 10th 98.55 0.508 26.13
7 970 2009 Mike R. 5-8 10th 100.81 0.514 19.33
8 968 2010 Pulley 8-5 4th 96.94 0.511 21.32 5th place
9 968 2016 Ed 6-7 9th 98.03 0.496 17.88
10 967 2010 Derrek 7-6 5th 97.31 0.515 18.37 3rd place