2009 Rob

8-5 (0.615), 1,290.93 points

3rd place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

6.55 expected wins (0.504)

71-72 all-play record (0.497)

-2.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 74.36 103.24 Babel -28.88
2 W 115.60 86.69 Pulley 28.91 Team Blangums
3 W 104.58 93.65 Ed 10.93
4 W 118.20 101.62 Allen 16.58
5 L 81.24 95.19 Matt -13.95
6 L 96.75 116.11 Rabbit -19.36
7 W 119.43 118.61 Kevin 0.82
8 L 77.40 121.28 Dave -43.88
9 W 90.13 83.77 Pat 6.36
10 W 100.57 78.45 Mike R. 22.12
11 W 114.41 76.86 Derrek 37.55
12 L 95.83 132.65 Babel -36.82
13 W 102.43 81.45 Pulley 20.98
14 W 166.83 97.69 Kevin 69.14 Quarterfinals
15 L 133.50 148.98 Matt -15.48 Semifinals
16 L 111.94 131.77 Derrek -19.83 Third-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%4.0%4.0%8.0%8.0%12.0%12.0%16.0%16.0%20.0%20.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923716.7%323.219780219780292.7087305112984680.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2247769257019200.0%65.52747252747253141.1020765213581910.4%102.34065934065934140.0399162202771822.2%139.15384615384613134.9785893871594237.1%175.96703296703296120.55134032160292415.6%212.780219780219895.893726513807523.3%249.593406593406673.62918513235103623.8%286.406593406593472.070.0%323.219780219780244.18669179182768487.9%360.032967032967118.3577764637154492.4%396.8461538461538134.22558664012888100.5%433.6593406593406139.9186354023305110.0%470.4725274725274141.0963568516705120.0%507.2857142857143141.2250700784637213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th60.68846153846153191.860139860139927th109.6307692307692165.286713286713332nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804346th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867558th256.4576923076923191.860139860139965th305.4112.1398601398601675th354.3423076923077112.1398601398601686th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867599th452.226923076923218.43356643356645107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133119th550.1115384615384218.43356643356645127th599.053846153846165.28671328671331311th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th60.68846153846153218.4335664335664525th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601632nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804344th207.515384615384685.5664335664335757th256.4576923076923165.286713286713363rd305.458.99300699300701576th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867585th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601694th452.22692307692385.56643356643357104th501.1692307692307585.56643356643357114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357123rd599.05384615384658.9930069930070151311th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th60.68846153846153218.4335664335664527th109.6307692307692165.286713286713332nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804346th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867558th256.4576923076923191.860139860139965th305.4112.1398601398601676th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867587th403.28461538461534165.286713286713398th452.226923076923191.8601398601399107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133119th550.1115384615384218.43356643356645128th599.053846153846191.860139860139913Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 Ronnie Brown RB
2.02 14 Andre Johnson K WR
3.11 35 DeSean Jackson WR
4.02 38 Donovan McNabb QB
5.11 59 Derrick Ward RB
6.02 62 Chris Cooley TE
7.11 83 Donnie Avery WR
8.02 86 Laveranues Coles WR
9.11 107 Fred Jackson RB
10.02 110 Steve Slaton K RB
11.11 131 Justin Gage WR
12.02 134 Joe Flacco QB
13.11 155 Correll Buckhalter RB
14.02 158 Garrett Hartley K
15.11 179 Mario Manningham WR
16.02 182 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.77057.06982248520710587.9240268545031420.59089.49585798816568100.390565568579630.800121.9218934911242885.8784689980457540.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.820219.284.4693069191528770.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.345284.0520710059171117.3573315668623490.518316.4781065088757105.35672547564562100.755348.904142011834388.99226262398645110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.552413.75621301775146103.04979078197422130.12824.64378698224852132.369453391196910.00057.06982248520710534.6172844782370520.00089.4958579881656859.5503619063899830.000121.9218934911242830.52616876532226840.209154.34792899408282126.7555334962527250.457186.7739644970414109.6069401329515560.000219.227.70784460753651570.164251.62603550295853129.903419753134480.000284.052071005917193.4838939029554790.000316.478106508875769.48268172052201100.000348.904142011834336.75375601720367110.443381.33017751479287110.53880537867103120.000413.7562130177514664.8688123331792213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311159.41301775147929572.02893.1704142011834290.88111888111888310126.9278106508875878.293706293706340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.23076923076923610228.278.293706293706370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692384295.7147928994083116.0559440559440595329.47218934911234109.76223776223776107363.229585798816597.17482517482517110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923124430.74437869822486116.0559440559440513125.655621301775145134.937062937062931059.4130177514792952.76923076923077362093.1704142011834240.5314685314685330126.9278106508875815.3566433566433642160.6852071005917128.6433566433566454194.44260355029584116.0559440559440560228.215.3566433566433671261.9573964497041134.9370629370629380295.714792899408390.881118881118990329.4721893491123478.29370629370631100363.229585798816553.11888111888112114396.9869822485207116.05594405594405120430.7443786982248690.881118881118913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Rob 9-7 3rd 106.45 0.573 22.22 4th place
1 987 2020 Mike R. 6-7 11th 99.43 0.509 13.61
2 979 2016 Ed 6-7 9th 98.03 0.499 17.88
3 977 2017 Ed 4-9 13th 95.86 0.503 18.82
4 975 2011 Ed 9-4 1st 102.13 0.508 17.79 3rd place
5 973 2015 Babel 5-8 10th 98.55 0.505 26.13
6 972 2011 Mike R. 6-7 9th 102.67 0.509 17.48
7 971 2013 Rob 8-5 2nd 99.12 0.500 24.52 2nd place
8 970 2010 Pulley 8-5 4th 96.94 0.508 21.32 5th place
9 969 2010 Derrek 7-6 5th 97.31 0.512 18.37 3rd place
10 968 2024 Ed 6-8 9th 100.26 0.490 14.70