2009 Rob

8-5 (0.615), 1,290.93 points (99.30 average)

3rd place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

6.58 expected wins (0.506)

71-72 all-play record (0.497)

-2.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 74.36 103.24 Babel -28.88
2 W 115.60 86.69 Pulley 28.91 Team Blangums
3 W 104.58 93.65 Ed 10.93
4 W 118.20 101.62 Allen 16.58
5 L 81.24 95.19 Matt -13.95
6 L 96.75 116.11 Rabbit -19.36
7 W 119.43 118.61 Kevin 0.82
8 L 77.40 121.28 Dave -43.88
9 W 90.13 83.77 Pat 6.36
10 W 100.57 78.45 Mike R. 22.12
11 W 114.41 76.86 Derrek 37.55
12 L 95.83 132.65 Babel -36.82
13 W 102.43 81.45 Pulley 20.98
Quarterfinals W 166.83 97.69 #6 Kevin 69.14
Semifinals L 133.50 148.98 #2 Matt -15.48
Third-Place Game L 111.94 131.77 #5 Derrek -19.83

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%39.42857142857143141.2307692307692300.0%89.97802197802199141.2307692307692310.0%140.5274725274725141.2307692307692320.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692330.0%241.6263736263736141.2307692307692340.0%292.1758241758242141.2307692307692350.0%342.7252747252747141.2307692307692360.0%393.27472527472526141.23076923076923717.2%443.824175824175893.0016454525118480.0%494.3736263736264141.2307692307692390.0%544.9230769230769141.23076923076923100.0%595.4725274725274141.23076923076923110.0%646.0219780219779141.23076923076923120.0%696.5714285714286141.23076923076923130.0%39.42857142857143141.2272579403516200.0%89.97802197802199141.1448080621182710.3%140.5274725274725140.337745620473421.8%191.07692307692307136.0587714481866336.6%241.6263736263736122.72612412043878415.3%292.175824175824298.2449520913148523.7%342.725274725274774.71221673288954624.6%393.2747252747252672.070.0%443.824175824175844.7725216742544587.8%494.3736263736264119.1928107584218792.3%544.9230769230769134.87919291599331100.4%595.4725274725274140.14892096526557110.0%646.0219780219779141.1333579648769120.0%696.5714285714286141.227241048126813Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845271.580419580419618th60.68846153846153191.860139860139925th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601632nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804346th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867558th256.4576923076923191.860139860139965th305.4112.1398601398601675th354.3423076923077112.1398601398601686th403.28461538461534138.7132867132867599th452.226923076923218.43356643356645107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133117th550.1115384615384165.2867132867133127th599.053846153846165.28671328671331311th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th60.68846153846153218.4335664335664525th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601632nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804344th207.515384615384685.5664335664335757th256.4576923076923165.286713286713363rd305.458.99300699300701576th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867585th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601694th452.22692307692385.56643356643357104th501.1692307692307585.56643356643357114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357123rd599.05384615384658.9930069930070151311th11.746153846153845271.580419580419619th60.68846153846153218.4335664335664527th109.6307692307692165.286713286713332nd158.573076923076932.4195804195804346th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867558th256.4576923076923191.860139860139965th305.4112.1398601398601676th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867587th403.28461538461534165.286713286713398th452.226923076923191.8601398601399107th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133119th550.1115384615384218.43356643356645128th599.053846153846191.860139860139913Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1
1.02 2
1.03 3
1.04 4
1.05 5
1.06 6
1.07 7
1.08 8
1.09 9
1.10 10
1.11 11 Ronnie Brown RB
1.12 12
2.01 13
2.02 14 Andre Johnson K WR
2.03 15
2.04 16
2.05 17
2.06 18
2.07 19
2.08 20
2.09 21
2.10 22
2.11 23
2.12 24
3.01 25
3.02 26
3.03 27
3.04 28
3.05 29
3.06 30
3.07 31
3.08 32
3.09 33
3.10 34
3.11 35 DeSean Jackson WR
3.12 36
4.01 37
4.02 38 Donovan McNabb QB
4.03 39
4.04 40
4.05 41
4.06 42
4.07 43
4.08 44
4.09 45
4.10 46
4.11 47
4.12 48
5.01 49
5.02 50
5.03 51
5.04 52
5.05 53
5.06 54
5.07 55
5.08 56
5.09 57
5.10 58
5.11 59 Derrick Ward RB
5.12 60
6.01 61
6.02 62 Chris Cooley TE
6.03 63
6.04 64
6.05 65
6.06 66
6.07 67
6.08 68
6.09 69
6.10 70
6.11 71
6.12 72
7.01 73
7.02 74
7.03 75
7.04 76
7.05 77
7.06 78
7.07 79
7.08 80
7.09 81
7.10 82
7.11 83 Donnie Avery WR
7.12 84
8.01 85
8.02 86 Laveranues Coles WR
8.03 87
8.04 88
8.05 89
8.06 90
8.07 91
8.08 92
8.09 93
8.10 94
8.11 95
8.12 96
9.01 97
9.02 98
9.03 99
9.04 100
9.05 101
9.06 102
9.07 103
9.08 104
9.09 105
9.10 106
9.11 107 Fred Jackson RB
9.12 108
10.01 109
10.02 110 Steve Slaton K RB
10.03 111
10.04 112
10.05 113
10.06 114
10.07 115
10.08 116
10.09 117
10.10 118
10.11 119
10.12 120
11.01 121
11.02 122
11.03 123
11.04 124
11.05 125
11.06 126
11.07 127
11.08 128
11.09 129
11.10 130
11.11 131 Justin Gage WR
11.12 132
12.01 133
12.02 134 Joe Flacco QB
12.03 135
12.04 136
12.05 137
12.06 138
12.07 139
12.08 140
12.09 141
12.10 142
12.11 143
12.12 144
13.01 145
13.02 146
13.03 147
13.04 148
13.05 149
13.06 150
13.07 151
13.08 152
13.09 153
13.10 154
13.11 155 Correll Buckhalter RB
13.12 156
14.01 157
14.02 158 Garrett Hartley K
14.03 159
14.04 160
14.05 161
14.06 162
14.07 163
14.08 164
14.09 165
14.10 166
14.11 167
14.12 168
15.01 169
15.02 170
15.03 171
15.04 172
15.05 173
15.06 174
15.07 175
15.08 176
15.09 177
15.10 178
15.11 179 Mario Manningham WR
15.12 180
16.01 181
16.02 182 New Orleans DEF
16.03 183
16.04 184
16.05 185
16.06 186
16.07 187
16.08 188
16.09 189
16.10 190
16.11 191
16.12 192

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00035.88639053254438141.2307692307692310.80183.10532544378785.793894855718620.599130.324260355029699.788784174518330.830177.5431952662722283.7747303814276340.000224.76213017751482141.2307692307692350.000271.9810650887574141.2307692307692360.850319.282.3652671027735270.000366.41893491124256141.2307692307692380.330413.6378698224852118.395142400082490.516460.85680473372776105.49096247437845100.774508.0757396449704487.63059150003247110.000555.294674556213141.23076923076923120.562602.5136094674556102.3526026526915130.10435.88639053254438134.0257308089241510.00083.10532544378730.35702048066799820.000130.324260355029658.34679911826735630.000177.5431952662722226.31869153208603540.182224.76213017751482128.6297512076003550.464271.9810650887574109.1326780603658660.000319.223.4997649747777970.129366.41893491124256132.2922038329906880.000413.637869822485295.5595155693955990.000460.8568047337277669.75115571798767100.000508.0757396449704434.03041376929569110.442555.294674556213110.6414745152387120.000602.513609467455663.4744360746137813Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213036.898224852071141.2307692307692311185.4485207100591772.028133.9988165680473290.88111888111888310182.549112426035578.293706293706340231.09940828402367141.2307692307692350279.6497041420119141.23076923076923610328.2000000000000578.293706293706370376.75029585798814141.2307692307692384425.30059171597634116.0559440559440595473.8508875739645109.76223776223776107522.401183431952697.17482517482517110570.9514792899408141.23076923076923124619.501775147929116.0559440559440513136.898224852071134.937062937062931085.448520710059172.769230769230773620133.9988165680473240.5314685314685330182.549112426035515.3566433566433642231.09940828402367128.6433566433566454279.6497041420119116.0559440559440560328.2000000000000515.3566433566433671376.75029585798814134.9370629370629380425.3005917159763490.881118881118990473.850887573964578.29370629370631100522.401183431952653.11888111888112114570.9514792899408116.05594405594405120619.50177514792990.881118881118913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2009 Rob 8-5 3rd 99.30 0.506 14.74 4th place
1 997 2020 Mike R. 6-7 11th 99.43 0.506 13.61
2 983 2025 Dave 7-7 7th 99.54 0.512 17.12
3 981 2011 Ed 9-4 1st 102.13 0.506 17.79 3rd place
4 979 2013 Rob 8-5 2nd 99.12 0.506 24.52 2nd place
5 978 2011 Mike R. 6-7 9th 102.67 0.505 17.48
6 973 2017 Ed 4-9 13th 95.86 0.504 18.82
7 971 2015 Babel 5-8 10th 98.55 0.508 26.13
8 970 2009 Mike R. 5-8 10th 100.81 0.514 19.33
9 968 2010 Pulley 8-5 4th 96.94 0.511 21.32 5th place
10 968 2016 Ed 6-7 9th 98.03 0.496 17.88