2011 Rob

7-6 (0.538), 1,421.02 points

4th place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

7.60 expected wins (0.585)

90-53 all-play record (0.629)

+7.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.97 92.47 Kevin 28.50 Team Blangums
2 W 126.44 119.98 Rabbit 6.46
3 L 109.31 111.02 Derrek -1.71
4 W 165.61 102.38 Pat 63.23 Team Blangums
5 L 84.89 106.18 Allen -21.29
6 L 99.16 101.26 Babel -2.10
7 L 70.65 122.26 Dave -51.61
8 L 79.58 95.88 Ed -16.30
9 W 113.55 86.04 Matt 27.51
10 W 117.06 97.32 Pulley 19.74
11 W 113.84 107.37 Mike R. 6.47
12 W 97.95 82.16 Dave 15.79
13 L 122.01 126.25 Pulley -4.24
14 W 160.55 114.19 Allen 46.36 Quarterfinals
15 L 94.89 106.13 Rabbit -11.24 Semifinals
16 L 106.89 111.09 Ed -4.20 Third-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923624.1%286.406593406593477.5522096641819970.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.230679047566100.0%65.52747252747253141.2265553045026510.0%102.34065934065934141.155995471400420.3%139.15384615384613140.5207556132397431.6%175.96703296703296137.1192400100796445.8%212.7802197802198125.81321495184609514.6%249.5934065934066102.835613569075260.0%286.406593406593413.873650097594748726.2%323.219780219780271.99999999999999818.1%360.03296703296793.574208794949297.4%396.8461538461538121.6235166787093101.7%433.6593406593406136.83482781227377110.2%470.4725274725274140.76675672236667120.0%507.2857142857143141.214415390756713Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386811st60.688461538461535.84615384615386821st109.63076923076925.84615384615386831st158.57307692307695.84615384615386841st207.51538461538465.84615384615386851st256.45769230769235.84615384615386865th305.4112.1398601398601675th354.3423076923077112.1398601398601684th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335793rd452.22692307692358.993006993007015102nd501.1692307692307532.41958041958043113rd550.111538461538458.993006993007015122nd599.05384615384632.41958041958043131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386811st60.688461538461535.84615384615386821st109.63076923076925.84615384615386831st158.57307692307695.84615384615386842nd207.515384615384632.4195804195804354th256.457692307692385.5664335664335768th305.4191.860139860139979th354.3423076923077218.4335664335664587th403.28461538461534165.286713286713396th452.226923076923138.71328671328675104th501.1692307692307585.56643356643357114th550.111538461538485.56643356643357124th599.05384615384685.56643356643357131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615386812nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804322nd109.630769230769232.4195804195804331st158.57307692307695.84615384615386841st207.51538461538465.84615384615386851st256.45769230769235.84615384615386862nd305.432.4195804195804372nd354.342307692307732.4195804195804383rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701592nd452.22692307692332.41958041958043102nd501.1692307692307532.41958041958043112nd550.111538461538432.41958041958043122nd599.05384615384632.4195804195804313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 1.02 - from Matt
  • Pick 2.11 - from Matt
  • Pick 1.05 - to Matt
  • Pick 2.08 - to Matt

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 23 DeSean Jackson WR
3.05 29 Knowshon Moreno RB
4.08 44 Wes Welker WR
5.05 53 Kenny Britt WR
6.08 68 Rob Gronkowski TE
7.05 77 Mike Tolbert RB
8.08 92 Peyton Hillis K RB
9.05 101 LeGarrette Blount K RB
10.08 116 Roy Williams WR
11.05 125 Mike Williams WR
12.08 140 Danny Woodhead RB
13.05 149 Kyle Orton QB
14.08 164 Heath Miller TE
15.05 173 Matt Bryant K
16.08 188 New England DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.80324.6437869822485285.6490722142143910.84457.06982248520710582.796655425487720.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.954121.9218934911242875.1712703050270540.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.710284.052071005917192.0584868311142490.758316.478106508875788.7401374195278100.716348.904142011834391.6607394701364110.444381.33017751479287110.51396438048542120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485230.06737519765954410.00057.06982248520710524.3625416202061620.64389.4958579881656896.7405414803389530.000121.921893491124289.11177137928487540.235154.34792899408282124.9919683200783350.463186.7739644970414109.1729875634744660.063219.2136.9016607287858370.158251.62603550295853130.2649619056129580.000284.052071005917142.8862044314592590.000316.478106508875736.24950560828637100.000348.904142011834342.090709709503585110.000381.3301775147928779.7971595302016120.811413.7562130177514685.103590119159113Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456789101112131125.65562130177514572.01959.41301775147929584.587412587412592093.17041420118342141.23076923076923311126.9278106508875872.040160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692389295.714792899408384.5874125874125998329.4721893491123490.88111888111888109363.229585798816584.58741258741259115396.9869822485207109.76223776223776120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.6556213017751452.76923076923077361059.41301775147929527.9440559440559472793.1704142011834297.1748251748251730126.927810650887582.769230769230773642160.6852071005917128.6433566433566454194.44260355029584116.0559440559440564228.2116.0559440559440572261.9573964497041128.6433566433566480295.714792899408327.94405594405594790329.4721893491123440.53146853146853100363.229585798816527.944055944055947110396.986982248520778.29370629370631129430.7443786982248684.5874125874125913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2011 Rob 8-8 4th 111.46 0.597 24.79 4th place
1 981 2024 Richie 8-6 5th 109.78 0.590 26.55
2 980 2019 Pulley 8-5 3rd 109.35 0.576 21.97 6th place
3 977 2016 Pulley 8-5 3rd 106.21 0.588 21.41 3rd place
4 975 2009 Matt 9-4 2nd 106.07 0.584 17.98 Blingabowl II champion
5 973 2020 Kevin 8-5 1st 110.17 0.592 28.09 Blingabowl XIII champion
6 968 2019 Derrek 7-6 6th 106.34 0.582 16.08 3rd place
7 965 2023 Babel 9-5 3rd 109.27 0.600 21.50 5th place
8 965 2020 Schertz 6-7 9th 105.89 0.588 15.51
9 961 2016 Rob 8-5 4th 104.57 0.579 18.82 5th place
10 958 2013 Dave 7-6 5th 105.60 0.597 25.03 4th place