2014 Rob

8-5 (0.615), 1,337.05 points

3rd place (regular season)

5th place (playoffs)

7.29 expected wins (0.560)

98-71 all-play record (0.580)

+17.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.22 101.11 Derrek 19.11
2 L 96.43 105.75 Dave -9.32
3 W 102.82 101.88 Kevin 0.94
4 W 115.70 103.35 Ed 12.35
5 L 95.16 126.03 Mike R. -30.87
6 W 112.15 109.12 Allen 3.03
7 W 111.64 81.67 Pat 29.97
8 L 76.51 126.12 Matt -49.61 Slapped Heartbeat
9 W 82.06 74.25 Schertz 7.81
10 W 127.40 82.49 Richie 44.91
11 L 81.15 103.86 Babel -22.71
12 W 129.19 114.45 Rabbit 14.74 Team Blangums
13 L 86.62 131.65 Pulley -45.03
14 L 65.55 140.41 Matt -74.86 Quarterfinals

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923723.5%323.219780219780277.2451702392893180.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.230466691151500.0%65.52747252747253141.219647235580910.1%102.34065934065934141.0608492045591320.5%139.15384615384613139.8114074180303432.6%175.96703296703296134.0310145120585648.6%212.7802197802198117.90743981308465518.2%249.593406593406691.78886032490487625.4%286.406593406593471.9999999999999970.0%323.219780219780213.25957124780939814.2%360.032967032967102.6145708481317895.5%396.8461538461538126.38323179220723101.3%433.6593406593406137.7658304285858110.2%470.4725274725274140.7875174464627120.0%507.2857142857143141.2071122513496613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557614th60.6884615384615373.3017751479289924th109.630769230769273.3017751479289933rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728444th207.515384615384673.3017751479289953rd256.457692307692350.81656804733728463rd305.450.81656804733728476th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124186th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124194th452.22692307692373.30177514792899105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207114th550.111538461538473.30177514792899125th599.05384615384695.7869822485207132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557615th60.6884615384615395.786982248520724th109.630769230769273.3017751479289932nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557645th207.515384615384695.786982248520755th256.457692307692395.786982248520762nd305.428.33136094674557674th354.342307692307773.3017751479289984th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289993rd452.22692307692350.816568047337284103rd501.1692307692307550.816568047337284113rd550.111538461538450.816568047337284123rd599.05384615384650.816568047337284132nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557614th60.6884615384615373.3017751479289924th109.630769230769273.3017751479289934th158.573076923076973.3017751479289945th207.515384615384695.786982248520753rd256.457692307692350.81656804733728463rd305.450.81656804733728476th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124186th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124195th452.22692307692395.7869822485207106th501.16923076923075118.27218934911241115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207125th599.05384615384695.786982248520713Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Peyton Manning QB
2.02 16 Montee Ball RB
3.13 41 C.J. Spiller K RB
4.02 44 Shane Vereen RB
5.13 69 Kendall Wright WR
6.02 72 Brandin Cooks WR
7.13 97 Kelvin Benjamin WR
8.02 100 Bernard Pierce RB
9.13 125 Julius Thomas K TE
10.02 128 Tavon Austin WR
11.13 153 Rod Streater WR
12.02 156 Johnny Manziel QB
13.13 181 Malcom Floyd WR
14.02 184 Dan Bailey K
15.13 209 Tampa Bay DEF
16.02 212 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.83924.6437869822485283.1622770380788610.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.57089.49585798816568101.7995819524684630.784121.9218934911242886.9238306518977340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.729186.773964497041490.7535695275985160.722219.291.2195021504582570.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.236284.0520710059171124.8802930994960990.895316.478106508875779.2984455314371100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.908381.3301775147928778.34385186509031120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485225.0937848453884710.46557.069822485207105109.0044912913239620.00089.4958579881656862.3683946741676930.000121.9218934911242832.6168920730262240.446154.34792899408282110.3795607392758750.000186.773964497041440.276369824427860.000219.241.2082350701472870.163251.62603550295853129.91463826844480.000284.0520710059171108.5298169682229590.000316.478106508875717.36612183210495100.220348.9041420118343125.98262149992036110.000381.3301775147928715.456934499411403120.307413.75621301775146119.9595900336846913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131225.65562130177514577.325443786982251059.413017751479295141.230769230769232893.1704142011834298.6272189349112439126.9278106508875893.3017751479289940160.6852071005917141.2307692307692359194.4426035502958493.30177514792899610228.287.9763313609467470261.9573964497041141.2307692307692384295.7147928994083119.92899408284023912329.4721893491123477.32544378698225100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231113396.986982248520772.0120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514513.420118343195271659.413017751479295109.278106508875742093.1704142011834256.0236686390532430126.9278106508875845.37278106508874547160.6852071005917103.9526627218934950194.4426035502958445.37278106508874560228.234.7218934911242570261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.714792899408398.6272189349112490329.4721893491123413.42011834319527105363.2295857988165114.60355029585799110396.98698224852072.7692307692307736123430.74437869822486125.2544378698224813All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2014 Rob 8-6 3rd 100.19 0.525 19.23 5th place
1 992 2022 Ed 7-7 7th 103.26 0.563 18.34
2 988 2009 Kevin 6-7 6th 103.07 0.561 12.42 5th place
3 986 2011 Matt 7-6 6th 105.29 0.560 18.74 2nd place
4 985 2010 Babel 8-5 3rd 102.19 0.564 20.22 6th place
5 983 2020 Ed 4-9 13th 103.98 0.555 16.72
6 982 2020 Babel 8-5 3rd 104.19 0.555 17.75 3rd place
7 980 2020 Matt 8-5 2nd 104.39 0.558 21.15 2nd place
8 980 2020 Pulley 8-5 4th 104.06 0.553 17.06 4th place
9 978 2021 Ed 6-8 8th 102.71 0.553 13.85
10 975 2022 Scott 6-8 10th 103.95 0.555 22.32