2018 Rob

8-5 (0.615), 1,337.88 points

5th place (regular season)

5th place (playoffs)

6.29 expected wins (0.484)

83-86 all-play record (0.491)

-14.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.70 99.69 Babel 4.01
2 W 132.39 95.28 Ed 37.11
3 W 114.48 73.75 Richie 40.73
4 W 114.02 106.41 Matt 7.61
5 W 120.49 102.15 Scott 18.34
6 W 110.61 104.47 Pat 6.14
7 L 76.38 86.22 Dave -9.84 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 115.68 113.73 Mike R. 1.95
9 L 70.66 140.11 Schertz -69.45
10 L 106.52 121.04 Rabbit -14.52
11 L 60.07 75.19 Derrek -15.12 Slapped Heartbeat
12 W 121.01 97.44 Kevin 23.57
13 L 91.87 93.38 Pulley -1.51
14 L 87.84 95.56 Matt -7.72 Quarterfinals
15 W 142.44 59.99 Pulley 82.45 Fifth-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.23076923076923715.5%323.219780219780299.040449519947880.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.224600611647200.0%65.52747252747253141.1001379669908110.4%102.34065934065934140.029195258723222.3%139.15384615384613134.903085932123237.7%175.96703296703296120.10153212489219417.1%212.780219780219894.50872167560362525.4%249.593406593406672.0624.9%286.406593406593473.3818317764701270.0%323.219780219780256.85012980912638685.6%360.032967032967125.9687945099964391.0%396.8461538461538138.5571174245706100.1%433.6593406593406141.08944645180185110.0%470.4725274725274141.22963094358994120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th60.6884615384615373.3017751479289922nd109.630769230769228.33136094674557632nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557642nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557652nd256.457692307692328.33136094674557666th305.4118.2721893491124175th354.342307692307795.786982248520787th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041597th452.226923076923140.75739644970415109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876119th550.1115384615384185.7278106508876128th599.053846153846163.24260355029585135th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd60.6884615384615350.81656804733728422nd109.630769230769228.33136094674557631st158.57307692307695.84615384615381141st207.51538461538465.84615384615381151st256.45769230769235.84615384615381162nd305.428.33136094674557671st354.34230769230775.84615384615381183rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728495th452.22692307692395.7869822485207105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207125th599.05384615384695.7869822485207135th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd60.6884615384615350.81656804733728423rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728435th158.573076923076995.786982248520742nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557654th256.457692307692373.3017751479289967th305.4140.7573964497041576th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124188th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958597th452.226923076923140.757396449704151011th501.16923076923075230.6982248520711110th550.1115384615384208.21301775147931210th599.053846153846208.213017751479313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 A.J. Green WR
2.05 19 Tyreek Hill WR
3.10 38 Jay Ajayi RB
4.05 47 Mark Ingram II RB
5.10 66 Kelvin Benjamin WR
6.05 75 Zach Ertz K TE
7.10 94 C.J. Anderson RB
8.05 103 Calvin Ridley WR
9.10 122 Cameron Meredith WR
10.05 131 Deshaun Watson K QB
11.10 150 Matt Breida RB
12.05 159 Nyheim Hines RB
13.10 178 Blake Bortles QB
14.05 187 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.10 206 Dede Westbrook WR
16.05 215 New Orleans DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.49024.64378698224852101.2827796590006210.82957.06982248520710579.1413579643705320.67189.4958579881656889.4626009593528430.665121.9218934911242889.8480415691239640.745154.3479289940828284.6445933372137950.610186.773964497041493.4026605259020960.000219.2133.2194638095465470.686251.6260355029585388.4561727005060280.000284.0520710059171133.2194638095465490.000316.4781065088757133.21946380954654100.000348.9041420118343133.21946380954654110.750381.3301775147928784.30197946186169120.000413.75621301775146133.21946380954654130.00024.6437869822485269.3460955084547210.00057.06982248520710525.06325211919451620.00089.4958579881656845.7057381091591430.000121.9218934911242846.4766193287013940.000154.3479289940828236.0697228648810650.000186.773964497041453.58585724225764660.065219.2128.97026346089370.000251.6260355029585343.6928815914654980.010284.0520710059171132.5891225192996590.543316.478106508875797.8138141710605110-0.061348.9041420118343137.22511652015788110.000381.3301775147928735.38449511417684120.288413.75621301775146114.4305871256378413Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213925.65562130177514593.3017751479289911259.41301775147929577.3254437869822521093.1704142011834287.9763313609467435126.92781065088758114.60355029585799410160.685207100591787.9763313609467455194.44260355029584114.6035502958579960228.2141.2307692307692379261.957396449704193.3017751479289980295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.230769230769231110396.986982248520787.97633136094674120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514545.3727810650887451059.41301775147929513.420118343195272093.1704142011834234.7218934911242530126.9278106508875887.9763313609467440160.685207100591734.7218934911242550194.4426035502958487.9763313609467460228.2141.2307692307692370261.957396449704145.37278106508874582295.7147928994083130.5798816568047396329.47218934911234109.27810650887574100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.986982248520734.72189349112425125430.74437869822486114.6035502958579913All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2018 Rob 9-6 5th 104.54 0.493 22.29 5th place
1 977 2022 Matt 6-8 11th 98.05 0.482 21.17
2 976 2014 Mike R. 6-7 7th 97.38 0.484 20.41
3 971 2009 Allen 6-7 7th 97.89 0.484 17.04
4 971 2019 Babel 8-5 5th 100.69 0.490 16.71 5th place
5 968 2024 Schertz 7-7 7th 99.35 0.492 20.41
6 968 2022 Kevin 6-8 12th 96.86 0.487 21.91
7 965 2024 Ed 6-8 9th 100.26 0.490 14.70
8 965 2009 Ed 7-6 4th 101.77 0.495 25.43 6th place
9 964 2018 Babel 4-9 12th 104.34 0.469 20.79
10 963 2020 Richie 7-6 7th 101.92 0.494 27.21