2022 Rob (through 4 weeks)

3-1 (0.750), 438.02 points

3rd place

2.77 expected wins (0.692)

36-16 all-play record (0.692)

-9.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 115.16 100.29 Scott 14.87
2 W 118.22 85.37 Mike R. 32.85
3 W 104.45 59.64 Rabbit 44.81
4 L 100.19 131.21 Ed -31.02
5 Dave
6 Derrek
7 Schertz
8 Kevin
9 Babel
10 Matt
11 Pat
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.2307692307692310.0%268.00000000000006141.23076923076923242.4%371.076923076923172.030.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692340.6%61.846153846153854140.1759400017279507.3%164.92307692307693129.29491971355688128.1%268.0000000000000695.335351599370720.0%371.07692307692312.7692307692307736321.6%474.1538461538462105.955521844972824Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520712nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557623rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728432nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557644th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289912nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557621st403.284615384615345.84615384615381133rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728445th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728424th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289935th599.05384615384695.78698224852074Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Nick Chubb RB
2.11 25 J.K. Dobbins RB
3.04 32 Terry McLaurin WR
4.11 53 A.J. Dillon RB
5.04 60 Joe Burrow QB
6.11 81 Michael Pittman, Jr. K WR
7.04 88 Jaylen Waddle K WR
8.11 109 Tyler Boyd WR
9.04 116 Zach Ertz TE
10.11 137 Robert Tonyan TE
11.04 144 Justin Tucker K
12.11 165 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
13.04 172 Jalen Tolbert WR
14.11 193 Kenyan Drake RB
15.04 200 Damien Williams RB
16.11 221 Washington DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.79161.1230769230769286.4581165715440210.827166.507692307692383.992082933481520.614271.8923076923076798.6973710793474530.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769231.6854639123188110.000166.507692307692326.75339663619375620.000271.8923076923076756.16397292792565630.537377.276923076923104.038549926763984Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234963.632692307692393.30177514792899110173.3442307692307687.9763313609467429283.055769230769293.3017751479289930392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692345.37278106508874510173.3442307692307634.7218934911242520283.055769230769245.37278106508874538392.7673076923076798.627218934911244All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Rob 3-1 3rd 109.51 0.692 7.42 10-4 1st 2nd place
1 962 2017 Babel 2-2 4th 105.18 0.702 6.97 6-7 6th 2nd place
2 957 2024 Rob 3-1 1st 109.74 0.711 5.29 12-2 1st
3 957 2023 Pulley 3-1 3rd 111.76 0.678 10.37 8-6 4th 6th place
4 956 2023 Mike R. 3-1 4th 111.38 0.677 10.31 7-7 8th
5 955 2024 Rabbit 3-1 2nd 107.72 0.675 8.83 6-8 8th
6 950 2015 Mike R. 3-1 3rd 109.30 0.713 11.51 8-5 4th 6th place
7 950 2013 Ed 3-1 3rd 114.43 0.683 13.65 7-6 4th 6th place
8 941 2017 Pulley 3-1 2nd 111.72 0.690 30.15 11-2 1st 3rd place
9 929 2015 Rob 2-2 6th 107.74 0.670 16.80 7-6 5th 3rd place
10 926 2016 Dave 2-2 5th 119.23 0.698 18.67 6-7 8th