2022 Rob (through 4 weeks)

3-1 (0.750), 438.02 points (109.50 average)

3rd place

2.76 expected wins (0.691)

36-16 all-play record (0.692)

-9.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 115.16 100.29 Scott 14.87
2 W 118.22 85.37 Mike R. 32.85
3 W 104.45 59.64 Rabbit 44.81
4 L 100.19 131.21 Ed -31.02
5 Dave
6 Derrek
7 Schertz
8 Kevin
9 Babel
10 Matt
11 Pat
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Pulley

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%84.9230769230769141.2307692307692300.0%226.46153846153845141.2307692307692310.0%368.0141.23076923076923242.2%509.5384615384615572.030.0%651.0769230769231141.2307692307692340.7%84.9230769230769140.1301207899716707.4%226.46153846153845129.02597484292448128.2%368.095.0247452887278120.0%509.538461538461552.7692307692307736321.5%651.0769230769231105.925792728903634Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520712nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557623rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728432nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557644th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289912nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557621st403.284615384615345.84615384615381133rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728445th11.74615384615384595.786982248520713rd207.515384615384650.81656804733728424th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289935th599.05384615384695.78698224852074Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Nick Chubb RB
2.11 25 J.K. Dobbins RB
3.04 32 Terry McLaurin WR
4.11 53 A.J. Dillon RB
5.04 60 Joe Burrow QB
6.11 81 Michael Pittman, Jr. K WR
7.04 88 Jaylen Waddle K WR
8.11 109 Tyler Boyd WR
9.04 116 Zach Ertz TE
10.11 137 Robert Tonyan TE
11.04 144 Justin Tucker K
12.11 165 D.J. Chark, Jr. WR
13.04 172 Jalen Tolbert WR
14.11 193 Kenyan Drake RB
15.04 200 Damien Williams RB
16.11 221 Washington DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.78589.0076923076923186.8535246748187110.823242.4692307692307684.2408777495065720.613395.930769230769298.7915715617900530.000549.3923076923077141.2307692307692340.00089.0076923076923132.4762801188682210.000242.4692307692307627.25098626824390620.000395.930769230769256.3523738928108930.543549.3923076923077103.639974425618774Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234991.517307692307793.30177514792899110249.3057692307692287.9763313609467429407.0942307692307693.3017751479289930564.8826923076923141.230769230769234091.517307692307745.37278106508874510249.3057692307692234.7218934911242520407.0942307692307645.37278106508874538564.882692307692398.627218934911244All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Rob 3-1 3rd 109.51 0.691 7.42 10-4 1st 2nd place
1 969 2017 Babel 2-2 4th 105.18 0.697 6.97 6-7 6th 2nd place
2 967 2015 Mike R. 3-1 3rd 109.30 0.703 11.51 8-5 4th 6th place
3 961 2024 Rob 3-1 1st 109.74 0.708 5.29 12-2 1st 2nd place
4 960 2024 Rabbit 3-1 2nd 107.72 0.676 8.83 6-8 8th
5 956 2023 Mike R. 3-1 4th 111.38 0.676 10.31 7-7 8th
6 952 2023 Pulley 3-1 3rd 111.76 0.675 10.37 8-6 4th 6th place
7 947 2025 Rabbit 4-0 1st 113.95 0.679 13.08
8 944 2017 Pulley 3-1 2nd 111.72 0.690 30.15 11-2 1st 3rd place
9 944 2013 Ed 3-1 3rd 114.43 0.679 13.65 7-6 4th 6th place
10 937 2024 Mike R. 2-2 5th 113.35 0.686 26.22 9-5 2nd 3rd place