2012 Kevin

5-8 (0.385), 1,116.90 points

10th place

4.88 expected wins (0.376)

65-104 all-play record (0.385)

-5.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 92.76 79.19 Schertz 13.57
2 W 117.87 81.41 Babel 36.46
3 L 75.79 115.57 Mike R. -39.78
4 L 103.90 134.65 Rabbit -30.75
5 W 98.22 90.31 Richie 7.91
6 L 81.48 89.04 Allen -7.56
7 L 58.66 75.89 Pulley -17.23
8 L 75.73 109.75 Derrek -34.02
9 L 70.22 124.81 Matt -54.59 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 43.52 76.97 Pat -33.45 Slapped Heartbeat
11 L 75.04 78.27 Ed -3.23
12 W 101.42 79.30 Rob 22.12
13 W 122.29 105.87 Dave 16.42

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.23076923076923427.4%212.780219780219871.9999999999999950.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.1626647834699500.5%65.52747252747253139.9431161001235213.6%102.34065934065934132.20279707822522212.3%139.15384615384613110.28209095457021323.6%175.9670329670329681.6415721288830340.0%212.78021978021982.769230769230745520.0%249.593406593406690.8473266135898469.3%286.4065934065934117.805247516980372.8%323.2197802197802134.211786144699280.5%360.032967032967139.8831436614099290.1%396.8461538461538141.0694248268611100.0%433.6593406593406141.2194439703714110.0%470.4725274725274141.23035851987743120.0%507.2857142857143141.230763508411513Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887615th60.6884615384615395.786982248520727th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041536th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124147th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041559th256.4576923076923185.7278106508876611th305.4230.698224852071711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721212th599.053846153846253.18343195266272136th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd60.6884615384615350.81656804733728426th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124136th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124145th207.515384615384695.786982248520757th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041569th305.4185.7278106508876710th354.3423076923077208.2130177514793810th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721210th599.053846153846208.2130177514793139th11.746153846153845185.727810650887616th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124127th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041536th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124146th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124158th256.4576923076923163.24260355029585611th305.4230.698224852071711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071811th403.28461538461534230.698224852071914th452.226923076923298.153846153846131012th501.16923076923075253.183431952662721112th550.1115384615384253.183431952662721212th599.053846153846253.1834319526627213Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Tom Brady QB
2.12 26 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
3.03 31 Jonathan Stewart RB
4.12 54 Vernon Davis K TE
5.03 59 Peyton Hillis RB
6.12 82 Michael Bush RB
7.03 87 David Wilson RB
8.12 110 Vincent Brown WR
9.03 115 Victor Cruz K WR
10.12 138 Baltimore DEF
11.03 143 Mario Manningham WR
12.12 166 Matt Cassel QB
13.03 171 LaMichael James RB
14.12 194 Jordan Cameron TE
15.03 199 Matt Prater K
16.12 222 Mark Sanchez QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.42924.64378698224852111.4983110480105210.83757.06982248520710583.303705259839420.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.520154.34792899408282105.202538534247250.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.576381.33017751479287101.38416386886007120.885413.7562130177514679.93989900699836130.00024.6437869822485281.7658528652518210.00057.06982248520710525.37664128890958220.18389.49585798816568128.578719149429830.619121.9218934911242898.3953765563695440.000154.3479289940828269.1743078377251850.254186.7739644970414123.6693802939320460.059219.2137.1246053052962670.182251.62603550295853128.6355402009980480.129284.0520710059171132.2720875013667490.034316.4781065088757138.897422114226100.176348.9041420118343129.0332875619759110.000381.3301775147928761.5375585069509120.000413.7562130177514618.64902878322749313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213525.655621301775145114.6035502958579911159.41301775147929582.65088757396452093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692347160.6852071005917103.9526627218934950194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923117396.9869822485207103.952662721893491212430.7443786982248677.3254437869822513025.65562130177514587.976331360946741059.41301775147929524.0710059171597522393.17041420118342125.2544378698224838126.9278106508875898.6272189349112440160.685207100591766.6745562130177552194.44260355029584130.5798816568047361228.2135.9053254437869874261.9573964497041119.9289940828402380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923105363.2295857988165114.60355029585799110396.986982248520766.67455621301775120430.7443786982248613.4201183431952713All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.376 21.90
1 994 2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.377 22.29 4th place
2 985 2008 Matt 3-10 12th 83.56 0.376 19.42
3 983 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
4 981 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.384 22.32
5 980 2013 Pat 5-8 12th 87.34 0.374 16.65
6 979 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.379 16.42
7 970 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.376 15.90
8 964 2023 Dave 6-8 10th 92.75 0.380 21.93
9 961 2015 Derrek 7-6 7th 89.66 0.382 27.98
10 955 2014 Allen 6-7 10th 88.24 0.363 16.78