2014 Kevin

4-9 (0.308), 1,206.56 points

14th place

5.72 expected wins (0.440)

69-100 all-play record (0.408)

-6.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 104.42 118.07 Pulley -13.65
2 W 98.36 74.84 Rabbit 23.52
3 L 101.88 102.82 Rob -0.94
4 W 121.73 76.64 Mike R. 45.09
5 L 72.85 78.58 Pat -5.73
6 L 60.70 120.48 Schertz -59.78 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 77.73 78.02 Allen -0.29
8 L 93.75 132.23 Derrek -38.48
9 L 91.06 98.60 Matt -7.54
10 W 133.27 71.77 Babel 61.50 Team Blangums
11 L 44.61 93.65 Ed -49.04 Slapped Heartbeat
12 L 102.98 115.73 Richie -12.75
13 W 103.22 95.60 Dave 7.62

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923314.0%175.96703296703296104.1054553256902640.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.219880969203800.1%65.52747252747253140.930457986382411.1%102.34065934065934138.3354850110317525.1%139.15384615384613127.5740232880862730.0%175.9670329670329666.9801414206113423.7%212.780219780219878.20958066941489526.0%249.593406593406672.00000000000001618.6%286.406593406593491.7046447013417578.5%323.2197802197802118.5952517092691582.4%360.032967032967134.928370112305190.4%396.8461538461538140.24949606435126100.0%433.6593406593406141.15648076124236110.0%470.4725274725274141.2287311930994120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307580175316613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520716th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124125th109.630769230769295.786982248520735th158.573076923076995.786982248520747th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041559th256.4576923076923185.727810650887669th305.4185.7278106508876711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479398th452.226923076923163.242603550295851010th501.16923076923075208.21301775147931110th550.1115384615384208.2130177514793129th599.053846153846185.7278106508876138th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124129th109.6307692307692185.727810650887637th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415410th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793511th256.4576923076923230.698224852071612th305.4253.18343195266272713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544814th403.28461538461534298.15384615384613913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441014th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131114th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131214th599.053846153846298.15384615384613135th11.74615384615384595.786982248520716th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124125th109.630769230769295.786982248520735th158.573076923076995.786982248520747th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415510th256.4576923076923208.213017751479369th305.4185.7278106508876711th354.3423076923077230.698224852071810th403.28461538461534208.213017751479398th452.226923076923163.242603550295851010th501.16923076923075208.21301775147931110th550.1115384615384208.2130177514793129th599.053846153846185.727810650887613Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3
7
11
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jimmy Graham TE
2.10 24 Chris Johnson RB
3.05 33 Percy Harvin WR
4.10 52 Emmanuel Sanders WR
5.05 61 Mike Wallace WR
6.10 80 Russell Wilson QB
7.05 89 Devonta Freeman RB
8.10 108 Andre Williams RB
9.05 117 Keenan Allen K WR
10.10 136 Christine Michael RB
11.05 145 Jordan Matthews WR
12.10 164 Cincinnati DEF
13.05 173 Travis Kelce TE
14.10 192 Matt Bryant K
15.05 201 Joe Flacco QB
16.10 220 Marcus Lattimore RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.49557.069822485207105106.9816618554938720.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.853121.9218934911242882.1849549511047440.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.932316.478106508875776.73013400055169100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.577413.75621301775146101.25409985741317130.60024.6437869822485299.7085672547564510.00057.06982248520710572.7325544802185120.55489.49585798816568102.8678177219517730.000121.9218934911242823.13914067144027340.126154.34792899408282132.5284066405840250.039186.7739644970414138.5400738965060460.179219.2128.823674078333470.420251.62603550295853112.1864701791465780.370284.0520710059171115.6184616938695390.000316.478106508875712.229498770334146100.007348.9041420118343140.7333664870409110.573381.33017751479287101.5722977461954120.000413.7562130177514661.2774304840570913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231759.413017751479295103.952662721893492093.17041420118342141.23076923076923310126.9278106508875887.9763313609467440160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923913329.4721893491123472.0100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923127430.74437869822486103.9526627218934913925.65562130177514593.301775147928991059.41301775147929566.674556213017752793.17041420118342103.9526627218934930126.9278106508875834.7218934911242542160.6852071005917130.5798816568047350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692363228.2125.2544378698224871261.9573964497041135.9053254437869885295.7147928994083114.6035502958579990329.472189349112342.7692307692307736100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923115396.9869822485207114.60355029585799120430.7443786982248666.6745562130177513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2014 Kevin 4-9 14th 92.81 0.440 23.07
1 985 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.442 21.78
2 984 2021 Kevin 5-9 9th 96.60 0.440 23.11
3 983 2010 Matt 5-8 9th 95.98 0.440 21.33
4 980 2012 Schertz 5-8 9th 91.61 0.446 25.21
5 980 2015 Ed 4-9 12th 91.44 0.433 22.66
6 978 2023 Pat 5-9 11th 95.77 0.440 18.28
7 977 2017 Richie 6-7 8th 91.10 0.445 26.01
8 975 2019 Scott 4-9 14th 94.50 0.434 20.89
9 975 2021 Pulley 5-9 10th 94.95 0.439 16.51
10 971 2017 Rabbit 6-7 9th 90.59 0.439 14.91