2017 Kevin

10-3 (0.769), 1,380.53 points

2nd place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

8.37 expected wins (0.644)

116-53 all-play record (0.686)

-12.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.74 77.11 Matt 18.63
2 L 80.24 85.15 Schertz -4.91
3 L 49.78 146.27 Pulley -96.49 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 95.89 95.60 Rabbit 0.29
5 W 104.82 64.03 Ed 40.79
6 W 103.06 64.55 Mike R. 38.51
7 W 118.33 81.05 Derrek 37.28
8 L 104.14 127.01 Pat -22.87
9 W 111.23 91.89 Rob 19.34
10 W 123.18 68.57 Richie 54.61 Team Blangums
11 W 103.11 85.77 Allen 17.34
12 W 159.83 100.89 Babel 58.94 Team Blangums
13 W 131.18 108.89 Dave 22.29
15 L 80.69 108.03 Derrek -27.34 Semifinals
16 L 96.70 153.22 Pulley -56.52 Third-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.23076923076923915.1%396.8461538461538100.97419019103069100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2306721202527310.0%102.34065934065934141.2254912513555220.0%139.15384615384613141.1274379699813230.4%175.96703296703296140.2152783363742442.2%212.7802197802198135.4716973500042657.6%249.5934065934066120.91791606589985617.4%286.406593406593494.89836959256105726.0%323.219780219780271.99999999999999825.2%360.03296703296774.2418500459244490.0%396.846153846153860.71761115129213105.2%433.6593406593406127.52517151375844110.8%470.4725274725274139.07339796251455120.0%507.2857142857143141.1418457933370713Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544310th158.5730769230769208.213017751479348th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958557th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041566th305.4118.2721893491124176th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124186th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124193rd452.22692307692350.816568047337284103rd501.1692307692307550.816568047337284113rd550.111538461538450.816568047337284123rd599.05384615384650.816568047337284135th11.74615384615384595.786982248520718th60.68846153846153163.24260355029585213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544310th158.5730769230769208.213017751479346th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124155th256.457692307692395.786982248520764th305.473.3017751479289975th354.342307692307795.786982248520784th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289993rd452.22692307692350.816568047337284103rd501.1692307692307550.816568047337284112nd550.111538461538428.331360946745576122nd599.05384615384628.331360946745576136th11.746153846153845118.27218934911241110th60.68846153846153208.2130177514793214th109.6307692307692298.15384615384613314th158.5730769230769298.1538461538461349th207.5153846153846185.727810650887659th256.4576923076923185.727810650887667th305.4140.7573964497041577th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041587th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041595th452.22692307692395.7869822485207105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207113rd550.111538461538450.816568047337284123rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 DeAndre Hopkins WR
2.01 15 Amari Cooper WR
3.14 42 Keenan Allen WR
4.01 43 Jimmy Graham TE
5.14 70 Andrew Luck QB
6.01 71 Jay Ajayi K RB
7.14 98 David Johnson K RB
8.01 99 Adam Thielen WR
9.14 126 Philip Rivers QB
10.01 127 Hunter Henry TE
11.14 154 Sterling Shepard WR
12.01 155 Giovani Bernard RB
13.14 182 Sebastian Janikowski K
14.01 183 New York DEF
15.14 210 Kenny Stills WR
16.01 211 Alvin Kamara RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.49924.64378698224852108.0009998541879410.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.502121.92189349112428107.8041535609390440.653154.3479289940828297.7540567000645850.619186.773964497041499.9849813568854760.859219.284.0076238881829970.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.762284.052071005917190.4707438498552490.909316.478106508875780.68310871331266100.620348.904142011834399.93030183098298111.039381.3301775147928772.0120.963413.7562130177514677.09613181411045130.00024.6437869822485274.7712304776066510.25457.069822485207105124.3392421938467320.05889.49585798816568137.3967129793571830.000121.9218934911242874.3775378911088640.000154.3479289940828254.27734416935993550.000186.773964497041458.739193483001760.000219.226.7844785455967470.638251.6260355029585398.694544545587180.000284.052071005917139.7107184689412590.000316.478106508875720.1354481958561100.000348.904142011834358.629834431196755110.000381.330177514792872.7692307692307736120.000413.7562130177514612.96149439745167313Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213825.65562130177514598.627218934911241059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692338126.9278106508875898.6272189349112449160.685207100591793.30177514792899510194.4426035502958487.97633136094674611228.282.650887573964570261.9573964497041141.23076923076923812295.714792899408377.32544378698225913329.4721893491123472.0107363.2295857988165103.952662721893491113396.986982248520772.01212430.7443786982248677.3254437869822513025.65562130177514556.023668639053241459.413017751479295119.928994082840232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.9278106508875856.0236686390532440160.685207100591745.37278106508874550194.4426035502958434.7218934911242560228.224.07100591715975279261.957396449704193.3017751479289980295.714792899408313.4201183431952790329.472189349112342.7692307692307736100363.229585798816566.67455621301775110396.98698224852072.7692307692307736120430.7443786982248613.4201183431952713All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2017 Kevin 10-5 2nd 103.86 0.610 24.11 4th place
1 978 2015 Rob 7-6 5th 107.37 0.651 22.54 3rd place
2 976 2022 Schertz 6-8 9th 111.83 0.644 25.41
3 971 2013 Ed 7-6 4th 106.41 0.641 13.70 6th place
4 969 2014 Dave 7-6 4th 109.36 0.646 17.98 6th place
5 966 2024 Rob 12-2 1st 109.75 0.639 20.07
6 961 2014 Rabbit 10-3 1st 110.05 0.636 21.71 2nd place
7 959 2008 Rob 9-4 2nd 103.27 0.635 18.99 2nd place
8 958 2023 Rabbit 8-6 6th 109.56 0.630 24.95 4th place
9 957 2016 Rabbit 9-4 2nd 109.39 0.649 14.42 2nd place
10 955 2015 Dave 6-7 8th 107.39 0.624 24.48