2019 Kevin

6-7 (0.462), 1,313.26 points

8th place

5.82 expected wins (0.448)

77-92 all-play record (0.456)

+18.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 121.30 111.03 Derrek 10.27
2 L 75.97 87.25 Pat -11.28
3 W 181.71 119.30 Scott 62.41 Team Blangums
4 L 93.76 119.19 Matt -25.43
5 W 86.28 83.38 Rob 2.90
6 L 71.94 121.13 Rabbit -49.19
7 W 97.47 87.98 Ed 9.49
8 L 102.05 144.54 Mike R. -42.49
9 W 113.50 85.70 Richie 27.80
10 L 98.04 126.27 Schertz -28.23
11 W 127.07 109.93 Babel 17.14
12 L 63.28 83.53 Pulley -20.25
13 L 80.89 142.20 Dave -61.31 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923527.4%249.593406593406672.060.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.228091270389200.0%65.52747252747253141.1065940625431410.7%102.34065934065934139.585713342187323.9%139.15384615384613131.28280616038168312.7%175.96703296703296109.0495812322772423.9%212.780219780219880.8106986288649750.0%249.59340659340662.7692307692307736619.6%286.406593406593491.633306809994778.8%323.2197802197802118.9937434197080182.4%360.032967032967135.1235397876865290.4%396.8461538461538140.25041101024152100.0%433.6593406593406141.146554548584110.0%470.4725274725274141.22757107666837120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307410198870313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th60.68846153846153185.727810650887624th109.630769230769273.3017751479289934th158.573076923076973.3017751479289948th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585510th256.4576923076923208.213017751479368th305.4163.24260355029585710th354.3423076923077208.213017751479387th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041597th452.226923076923140.75739644970415105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207119th550.1115384615384185.72781065088761210th599.053846153846208.2130177514793135th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th60.68846153846153185.727810650887623rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728435th158.573076923076995.786982248520744th207.515384615384673.3017751479289957th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041565th305.495.786982248520777th354.3423076923077140.7573964497041586th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124197th452.226923076923140.75739644970415106th501.16923076923075118.27218934911241117th550.1115384615384140.75739644970415128th599.053846153846163.24260355029585135th11.74615384615384595.786982248520719th60.68846153846153185.727810650887623rd109.630769230769250.81656804733728434th158.573076923076973.3017751479289944th207.515384615384673.3017751479289957th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041565th305.495.786982248520775th354.342307692307795.786982248520785th403.2846153846153495.786982248520795th452.22692307692395.7869822485207105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207127th599.053846153846140.7573964497041513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Mike Evans WR
2.03 17 Keenan Allen WR
3.12 40 Matt Ryan QB
4.03 45 Hunter Henry TE
5.12 68 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR
7.12 96 Matt Breida RB
8.03 101 Marlon Mack K RB
9.12 124 Jamison Crowder WR
10.03 129 Kyle Rudolph TE
11.12 152 Josh Allen QB
12.03 157 Alvin Kamara K RB
13.12 180 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.03 185 Mike Davis RB
15.12 208 Marquise Goodwin WR
16.03 213 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.81424.6437869822485284.8901365314820610.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.96789.4958579881656874.2873283088445530.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.266154.34792899408282122.8238705584531150.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.444219.2110.4709739475131670.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.717284.052071005917191.560927985595990.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.858348.904142011834381.85589237773692110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485228.54950383219488710.12257.069822485207105132.7675545828987820.00089.495857988165687.34388738691987430.384121.92189349112428114.6189107119962240.000154.34792899408282104.4169718861369950.080186.7739644970414135.6767924231937760.000219.279.711178664257170.522251.62603550295853105.1184308897829980.000284.052071005917141.89108674042256690.454316.4781065088757109.78912132869402100.000348.904142011834322.481015524704617110.012381.33017751479287140.39293970335942120.181413.75621301775146128.721895711238613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213925.65562130177514593.301775147928991059.413017751479295141.2307692307692321393.1704142011834272.030126.92781065088758141.2307692307692343160.6852071005917125.2544378698224850194.44260355029584141.2307692307692367228.2103.9526627218934970261.9573964497041141.23076923076923810295.714792899408387.9763313609467490329.47218934911234141.230769230769231012363.229585798816577.32544378698225110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514545.3727810650887451359.413017751479295125.254437869822482093.170414201183422.769230769230773636126.92781065088758109.2781065088757440160.6852071005917109.2781065088757452194.44260355029584130.5798816568047360228.266.6745562130177574261.9573964497041119.9289940828402380295.714792899408334.7218934911242596329.47218934911234109.27810650887574100363.229585798816513.42011834319527112396.9869822485207130.57988165680473120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2019 Kevin 6-7 8th 101.02 0.448 29.55
1 974 2019 Ed 5-8 11th 97.34 0.450 26.02
2 969 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.448 21.11 6th place
3 968 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01
4 964 2018 Schertz 6-7 10th 102.40 0.449 15.43
5 964 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.452 24.14
6 955 2016 Matt 5-8 10th 96.11 0.460 29.06
7 954 2019 Pat 6-7 9th 97.81 0.446 14.73
8 954 2021 Kevin 5-9 9th 96.60 0.440 23.11
9 950 2012 Schertz 5-8 9th 91.61 0.446 25.21
10 949 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.442 21.78