2021 Kevin

5-9 (0.357), 1,352.35 points

9th place

6.16 expected wins (0.440)

77-105 all-play record (0.423)

+15.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 102.07 81.96 Matt 20.11
2 L 77.65 167.50 Rabbit -89.85
3 W 139.14 108.74 Mike R. 30.40
4 W 97.37 85.80 Pulley 11.57
5 W 137.65 99.24 Ed 38.41
6 L 123.81 135.25 Babel -11.44
7 W 103.44 100.12 Rob 3.32
8 L 102.26 104.54 Matt -2.28
9 L 73.47 120.87 Derrek -47.40
10 L 64.71 79.95 Scott -15.24
11 L 95.05 109.07 Pat -14.02
12 L 66.69 104.20 Richie -37.51
13 L 80.53 87.36 Schertz -6.83
14 L 88.51 128.74 Dave -40.23

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.23076923076923420.3%199.2820512820512788.4422424894189350.0%233.6410256410257141.2307692307692360.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2293538805274700.0%61.84615384615385141.1689839302760610.4%96.2051282051282140.261110822074522.6%130.56410256410257134.3547969726747639.6%164.92307692307696116.2038646716547640.0%199.2820512820512735.653715748068635526.6%233.641025641025772.0622.5%268.082.78190763116552712.4%302.3589743589743109.1158327342714184.4%336.71794871794873129.8216889503403691.0%371.0769230769231138.66401810421462100.1%405.4358974358974140.87795513186762110.0%439.7948717948718141.20291053107476120.0%474.15384615384613141.22964309459712130.0%508.5128205128205141.2307514839525614Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th56.92366863905325230.69822485207126th102.10118343195265118.2721893491124137th147.27869822485206140.7573964497041547th192.45621301775148140.7573964497041556th237.6337278106509118.2721893491124166th282.8112426035503118.2721893491124174th327.9887573964496773.3017751479289987th373.16627218934906140.7573964497041597th418.3437869822485140.75739644970415108th463.5213017751479163.24260355029585119th508.6988165680473185.72781065088761210th553.8763313609467208.21301775147931311th599.053846153846230.698224852071146th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124119th56.92366863905325185.727810650887625th102.1011834319526595.786982248520736th147.27869822485206118.2721893491124145th192.4562130177514895.786982248520755th237.633727810650995.786982248520764th282.811242603550373.3017751479289978th327.98875739644967163.2426035502958588th373.16627218934906163.2426035502958598th418.3437869822485163.24260355029585108th463.5213017751479163.24260355029585119th508.6988165680473185.7278106508876129th553.8763313609467185.7278106508876139th599.053846153846185.7278106508876148th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th56.92366863905325230.69822485207125th102.1011834319526595.786982248520737th147.27869822485206140.7573964497041547th192.45621301775148140.7573964497041556th237.6337278106509118.2721893491124165th282.811242603550395.786982248520775th327.9887573964496795.786982248520786th373.16627218934906118.2721893491124198th418.3437869822485163.24260355029585109th463.5213017751479185.7278106508876119th508.6988165680473185.72781065088761210th553.8763313609467208.21301775147931311th599.053846153846230.69822485207114Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Davante Adams K WR
2.01 15 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
3.14 42 D.J. Moore WR
4.01 43 Kareem Hunt RB
5.14 70 Logan Thomas TE
6.01 71 Corey Davis WR
7.14 98 Josh Allen K QB
8.01 99 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
9.14 126 T.Y. Hilton WR
10.01 127 Jonnu Smith TE
11.14 154 Russell Gage WR
12.01 155 Cole Beasley WR
13.14 182 J.D. McKissic RB
14.01 183 Derek Carr QB
15.14 210 Kansas City DEF
16.01 211 Robbie Gould K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.54123.485714285714284103.7698095451120510.00053.5956043956044141.2307692307692320.94383.7054945054944975.9274942766641330.461113.81538461538459109.2814515472333640.937143.925274725274776.3820626892102350.000174.03516483516484141.2307692307692360.566204.1450549450549102.0424495774369170.000234.25494505494504141.2307692307692380.000264.36483516483514141.2307692307692390.000294.4747252747253141.23076923076923100.000324.58461538461535141.23076923076923110.000354.69450549450545141.23076923076923120.000384.80439560439555141.23076923076923130.000414.91428571428565141.23076923076923140.00023.48571428571428466.3088498594548710.16253.5956043956044130.032499579962320.00083.7054945054944910.62421932255904330.000113.8153846153845977.332133863697540.000143.925274725274711.53335614765123350.853174.0351648351648482.1550815285455760.000204.145054945054962.854129924104670.544234.25494505494504103.5652537594663280.113264.36483516483514133.384941622489790.043294.4747252747253138.24882363673282100.427324.58461538461535111.67929992341398110.057354.69450549450545137.31695839101337120.195384.80439560439555127.7255648862909130.317414.91428571428565119.2933208335609514Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314624.449999999999996109.278106508875741055.79615384615384141.2307692307692321287.1423076923076877.3254437869822535118.48846153846152114.60355029585799411149.8346153846153882.650887573964550181.18076923076924141.2307692307692368212.5269230769230598.6272189349112470243.87307692307692141.2307692307692380275.21923076923076141.2307692307692390306.56538461538463141.23076923076923100337.91153846153844141.23076923076923110369.2576923076923141.23076923076923120400.6038461538461141.23076923076923130431.95141.2307692307692314024.44999999999999677.325443786982251255.79615384615384130.579881656804732087.1423076923076813.4201183431952730118.4884615384615287.9763313609467440149.8346153846153824.07100591715975259181.1807692307692493.3017751479289960212.5269230769230556.0236686390532477243.87307692307692103.9526627218934983275.21923076923076125.2544378698224892306.56538461538463130.57988165680473106337.91153846153844109.27810650887574111369.2576923076923135.90532544378698122400.6038461538461130.57988165680473133431.95125.2544378698224814All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2021 Kevin 5-9 9th 96.60 0.440 23.11
1 994 2010 Matt 5-8 9th 95.98 0.440 21.33
2 987 2023 Pat 5-9 11th 95.77 0.440 18.28
3 985 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.442 21.78
4 984 2014 Kevin 4-9 14th 92.81 0.440 23.07
5 981 2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01
6 977 2021 Pulley 5-9 10th 94.95 0.439 16.51
7 977 2024 Pat 6-8 10th 97.23 0.432 20.62
8 975 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.448 21.11 6th place
9 974 2019 Scott 4-9 14th 94.50 0.434 20.89
10 973 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.452 24.14