2021 Kevin (through 4 weeks)

3-1 (0.750), 416.23 points

6th place

2.03 expected wins (0.507)

25-27 all-play record (0.481)

+3.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 102.07 81.96 Matt 20.11
2 L 77.65 167.50 Rabbit -89.85
3 W 139.14 108.74 Mike R. 30.40
4 W 97.37 85.80 Pulley 11.57
5 Ed
6 Babel
7 Rob
8 Matt
9 Derrek
10 Scott
11 Pat
12 Richie
13 Schertz
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.2307692307692310.0%268.00000000000006141.23076923076923225.1%371.0769230769231102.907347904079330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692341.7%61.846153846153854138.56701803911395024.7%164.92307692307693103.50194026189885145.4%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.076923076923164.5839265773893633.0%474.1538461538462136.609459307029284Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th207.5153846153846230.69822485207126th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124137th599.053846153846140.7573964497041546th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124119th207.5153846153846185.727810650887625th403.2846153846153495.786982248520736th599.053846153846118.2721893491124148th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th207.5153846153846230.69822485207125th403.2846153846153495.786982248520737th599.053846153846140.757396449704154Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Davante Adams K WR
2.01 15 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
3.14 42 D.J. Moore WR
4.01 43 Kareem Hunt RB
5.14 70 Logan Thomas TE
6.01 71 Corey Davis WR
7.14 98 Josh Allen K QB
8.01 99 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
9.14 126 T.Y. Hilton WR
10.01 127 Jonnu Smith TE
11.14 154 Russell Gage WR
12.01 155 Cole Beasley WR
13.14 182 J.D. McKissic RB
14.01 183 Derek Carr QB
15.14 210 Kansas City DEF
16.01 211 Robbie Gould K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.52261.12307692307692105.1207880268123210.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.924271.8923076923076777.2784727583644330.442377.276923076923110.6324300289336440.00061.1230769230769269.0108068228554110.142166.5076923076923131.3834780616625720.000271.8923076923076713.32617628595963330.000377.27692307692380.034090827098054Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234663.6326923076923109.2781065088757410173.34423076923076141.23076923076923212283.055769230769277.3254437869822535392.76730769230767114.603550295857994063.632692307692377.3254437869822512173.34423076923076130.5798816568047320283.055769230769213.4201183431952730392.7673076923076787.976331360946744All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Kevin 3-1 6th 104.06 0.507 22.23 5-9 9th
1 981 2020 Scott 2-2 7th 105.30 0.509 16.54 7-6 8th
2 980 2016 Ed 2-2 9th 101.14 0.505 20.69 6-7 9th
3 973 2024 Kevin 1-3 12th 99.35 0.505 24.07 5-9 11th
4 970 2011 Mike R. 1-3 10th 110.05 0.510 22.56 6-7 9th
5 970 2020 Matt 2-2 6th 107.72 0.502 20.21 8-5 2nd 2nd place
6 970 2024 Babel 3-1 4th 98.24 0.509 19.79 9-5 4th
7 966 2011 Babel 2-2 5th 105.64 0.500 15.73 7-6 7th
8 952 2018 Rabbit 2-2 8th 107.29 0.490 22.02 7-6 7th
9 951 2016 Allen 3-1 2nd 105.28 0.529 22.91 4-9 13th
10 950 2012 Kevin 2-2 6th 97.58 0.502 15.41 5-8 10th