2010 Dave (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,291.41 points

7th place

7.72 expected wins (0.643)

85-47 all-play record (0.644)

+26.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 115.17 80.52 Pulley 34.65
2 W 137.10 95.82 Pat 41.28
3 L 128.55 143.94 Babel -15.39
4 L 63.68 94.19 Allen -30.51
5 W 138.35 106.65 Mike R. 31.70
6 W 113.91 102.53 Rabbit 11.38
7 L 99.27 120.79 Kevin -21.52
8 L 80.75 86.18 Ed -5.43
9 L 100.78 109.77 Derrek -8.99
10 W 122.15 116.09 Rob 6.06
11 L 87.74 98.01 Matt -10.27
12 L 103.96 127.17 Pulley -23.21
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692343.9%228.35502958579883132.034159454522850.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307676109917600.0%69.77514792899409141.2305733978877210.0%109.42011834319527141.2223558977706820.1%149.06508875739644141.0678284282515730.7%188.71005917159763139.5962862539978740.0%228.35502958579883122.83754967827637512.9%268.0110.93125816444046625.2%307.6449704142011781.78655011420909729.4%347.2899408284024572.0819.7%386.9349112426035694.8442336929042397.0%426.5798816568048124.65792836410738101.1%466.2248520710059138.53190984070295110.1%505.8698224852071141.0990622271899312Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804311st65.137762237762235.84615384615386821st118.529370629370625.84615384615386832nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804341st225.31258741258745.84615384615386851st278.70419580419585.84615384615386861st332.095804195804135.84615384615386872nd385.487412587412532.4195804195804382nd438.8790209790209432.4195804195804392nd492.2706293706293632.41958041958043102nd545.662237762237732.41958041958043112nd599.05384615384632.41958041958043122nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804311st65.137762237762235.84615384615386823rd118.5293706293706258.99300699300701536th171.92097902097902138.7132867132867544th225.312587412587485.5664335664335753rd278.704195804195858.99300699300701565th332.09580419580413112.1398601398601675th385.4874125874125112.1398601398601686th438.87902097902094138.7132867132867596th492.27062937062936138.71328671328675106th545.6622377622377138.71328671328675117th599.053846153846165.2867132867133122nd11.74615384615384532.4195804195804311st65.137762237762235.84615384615386821st118.529370629370625.84615384615386832nd171.9209790209790232.4195804195804341st225.31258741258745.84615384615386851st278.70419580419585.84615384615386861st332.095804195804135.84615384615386872nd385.487412587412532.4195804195804382nd438.8790209790209432.4195804195804392nd492.2706293706293632.41958041958043102nd545.662237762237732.41958041958043112nd599.05384615384632.4195804195804312Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Frank Gore RB
2.07 19 DeSean Jackson WR
3.06 30 Hines Ward WR
4.07 43 Jermichael Finley TE
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin WR
6.07 67 Cadillac Williams RB
7.06 78 Matt Forte K RB
8.07 91 Philip Rivers K QB
9.06 102 New York DEF
10.07 115 Montario Hardesty RB
11.06 126 Kenny Britt WR
12.07 139 Mike Williams WR
13.06 150 Garrett Hartley K
14.07 163 Demaryius Thomas WR
15.06 174 Mewelde Moore RB
16.07 187 Jeremy Shockey TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.80225.99487179487179585.7139186322541510.97461.1230769230769273.7701335926056920.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.981166.507692307692373.3496578110005750.785201.6358974358974586.9071607151876360.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.879342.1487179487179480.3500113642103100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.99487179487179530.19706803373907210.00061.123076923076926.30949795444215120.92696.2512820512820377.0998472145057930.075131.37948717948717136.0460061114197940.000166.50769230769235.46854639123191150.000201.6358974358974532.5835521996060360.534236.76410256410256104.294402495075570.238271.89230769230767124.7272526390221780.558307.0205128205128102.5784067377140290.000342.1487179487179419.46925349765138100.349377.2769230769231117.10186751856153110.615412.405128205128298.6236615485630612Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011121027.06217948717948578.293706293706311063.632692307692378.293706293706320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.23076923076923410173.344230769230778.2937062937063510209.9147435897435878.293706293706360246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.2307692307692398356.1967948717948590.88111888111888100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.06217948717948515.356643356643361063.632692307692315.35664335664336210100.2032051282051178.293706293706332136.77371794871794128.6433566433566440173.344230769230715.3566433566433650209.9147435897435815.3566433566433665246.4852564102564109.7622377622377674283.0557692307692116.0559440559440589319.6262820512820384.5874125874125990356.1967948717948540.53146853146853102392.7673076923077128.64335664335664115429.3378205128205109.7622377622377612All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2010 Dave 5-7 7th 107.62 0.643 21.87 5-8 8th
1 982 2024 Rob 10-2 1st 109.19 0.638 20.66 12-2 1st
2 981 2023 Rabbit 7-5 6th 110.09 0.646 23.62 8-6 6th 4th place
3 979 2017 Pulley 10-2 1st 106.79 0.651 22.34 11-2 1st 3rd place
4 976 2008 Kevin 8-4 2nd 104.15 0.644 17.82 8-5 3rd 6th place
5 975 2015 Richie 7-5 5th 106.38 0.636 19.20 7-6 6th 4th place
6 969 2016 Rabbit 8-4 2nd 109.26 0.638 15.01 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 963 2013 Ed 7-5 3rd 105.62 0.636 13.98 7-6 4th 6th place
8 957 2023 Rob 8-4 2nd 112.82 0.636 25.63 8-6 5th Blingabowl XVI champion
9 952 2024 Mike R. 7-5 4th 112.94 0.654 19.83 9-5 2nd
10 951 2022 Dave 6-6 7th 107.68 0.620 20.13 8-6 3rd 3rd place