2011 Dave

3-10 (0.231), 1,259.53 points

12th place

5.82 expected wins (0.448)

59-84 all-play record (0.413)

+3.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 L 92.26 108.41 Derrek -16.15
6 W 134.36 70.39 Pat 63.97 Team Blangums
7 W 122.26 70.65 Rob 51.61
8 L 46.33 108.65 Babel -62.32 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 105.61 118.08 Allen -12.47
10 L 73.97 75.87 Ed -1.90
11 L 97.57 120.82 Matt -23.25
12 L 82.16 97.95 Rob -15.79
13 L 99.63 115.77 Kevin -16.14

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692324.4%139.15384615384613129.5461192204762430.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2187433711800700.1%65.52747252747253140.9586563246499510.9%102.34065934065934138.7846094075642320.0%139.15384615384613117.86146921018327312.6%175.96703296703296107.98361502413036422.5%212.780219780219881.63014222972234526.2%249.593406593406672.0619.9%286.406593406593488.6537930821377579.8%323.2197802197802115.3552411189329883.0%360.032967032967133.2199328608699690.6%396.8461538461538139.76062526416035100.1%433.6593406593406141.08824243228352110.0%470.4725274725274141.22531746070695120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th60.68846153846153191.8601398601399211th109.6307692307692271.580419580419639th158.5730769230769218.43356643356645410th207.5153846153846245.00699300699356th256.4576923076923138.7132867132867563rd305.458.99300699300701576th354.3423076923077138.7132867132867587th403.28461538461534165.2867132867133910th452.226923076923245.006993006993108th501.16923076923075191.86013986013991110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931210th599.053846153846245.006993006993136th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th60.68846153846153165.2867132867133210th109.6307692307692245.006993006993311th158.5730769230769271.5804195804196411th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196510th256.4576923076923245.00699300699369th305.4218.43356643356645710th354.3423076923077245.006993006993811th403.28461538461534271.5804195804196911th452.226923076923271.58041958041961012th501.16923076923075298.153846153846131112th550.1115384615384298.153846153846131212th599.053846153846298.15384615384613138th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th60.68846153846153191.8601398601399210th109.6307692307692245.00699300699339th158.5730769230769218.43356643356645410th207.5153846153846245.00699300699356th256.4576923076923138.7132867132867564th305.485.5664335664335778th354.3423076923077191.860139860139988th403.28461538461534191.8601398601399910th452.226923076923245.0069930069931010th501.16923076923075245.0069930069931110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931210th599.053846153846245.00699300699313Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.41224.64378698224852109.092673696418510.00057.069822485207105136.6368659342671820.00089.49585798816568136.6368659342671830.000121.92189349112428136.6368659342671840.000154.34792899408282136.6368659342671850.892186.773964497041476.9002762051548160.813219.282.2180647327219370.000251.62603550295853136.6368659342671880.000284.0520710059171136.6368659342671890.000316.4781065088757136.63686593426718100.000348.9041420118343136.63686593426718110.000381.33017751479287136.63686593426718120.000413.75621301775146136.63686593426718130.00024.6437869822485281.5484814585698210.71257.06982248520710588.9971463887320620.17789.49585798816568124.7933344523965830.727121.9218934911242887.997314248218440.348154.34792899408282113.3117455860585250.000186.773964497041417.16368647604244360.000219.227.7992635311766637-0.034251.62603550295853138.933817582518280.581284.052071005917197.7429308266316690.093316.4781065088757130.44073797134183100.438348.9041420118343107.31275274297661110.195381.33017751479287123.59573331705606120.471413.75621301775146105.0933451343638913Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213425.655621301775145116.055944055944051059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.23076923076923511194.4426035502958472.0610228.278.293706293706370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514590.88111888111891559.413017751479295109.762237762237762193.17041420118342134.9370629370629336126.92781065088758103.4685314685314743160.6852071005917122.3496503496503550194.442603550295842.769230769230773660228.215.3566433566433670261.9573964497041141.2307692307692386295.7147928994083103.4685314685314791329.47218934911234134.93706293706293105363.2295857988165109.76223776223776112396.9869822485207128.64335664335664125430.74437869822486109.7622377622377613All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 3-10 12th 96.89 0.448 22.01
1 995 2011 Derrek 8-5 3rd 97.76 0.448 21.11 6th place
2 988 2019 Dave 6-7 10th 96.85 0.452 24.14
3 987 2019 Ed 5-8 11th 97.34 0.450 26.02
4 981 2021 Kevin 5-9 9th 96.60 0.440 23.11
5 980 2012 Allen 6-7 8th 94.79 0.442 21.78
6 979 2010 Matt 5-8 9th 95.98 0.440 21.33
7 978 2019 Pat 6-7 9th 97.81 0.446 14.73
8 975 2016 Allen 4-9 13th 96.47 0.458 20.34
9 973 2020 Scott 7-6 8th 95.08 0.454 18.15
10 972 2009 Dave 5-8 11th 95.98 0.452 13.72