2012 Dave

6-7 (0.462), 1,238.76 points

7th place

6.22 expected wins (0.478)

81-88 all-play record (0.479)

-4.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.53 103.94 Babel -18.41
2 W 128.35 73.66 Richie 54.69
3 W 77.96 59.80 Schertz 18.16
4 L 92.45 98.01 Derrek -5.56
5 L 54.78 107.02 Pat -52.24 Slapped Heartbeat
6 W 92.97 76.81 Ed 16.16
7 L 116.95 138.63 Mike R. -21.68
8 W 74.62 67.22 Rabbit 7.40
9 W 134.35 84.07 Rob 50.28 Team Blangums
10 W 91.43 74.58 Pulley 16.85
11 L 83.43 101.69 Allen -18.26
12 L 100.07 131.28 Matt -31.21
13 L 105.87 122.29 Kevin -16.42

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.23076923076923526.3%249.593406593406672.060.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.22970167399800.0%65.52747252747253141.1760532004931310.3%102.34065934065934140.3148685663845222.5%139.15384615384613134.6455778432240339.2%175.96703296703296116.94899929880648419.7%212.780219780219889.318503593150250.0%249.59340659340662.7692307692307736622.8%286.406593406593481.3004657080509713.0%323.2197802197802107.0277410516395284.9%360.032967032967128.434690303576591.2%396.8461538461538138.18481575809568100.2%433.6593406593406140.79915447191297110.0%470.4725274725274141.19919107000493120.0%507.2857142857143141.2299513728445713Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.69822485207117th60.68846153846153140.7573964497041526th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124137th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272512th256.4576923076923253.1834319526627269th305.4185.7278106508876710th354.3423076923077208.213017751479388th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958598th452.226923076923163.24260355029585109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585128th599.053846153846163.242603550295851311th11.746153846153845230.69822485207116th60.68846153846153118.2721893491124125th109.630769230769295.786982248520737th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479359th256.4576923076923185.727810650887668th305.4163.2426035502958576th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124186th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124196th452.226923076923118.27218934911241106th501.16923076923075118.27218934911241117th550.1115384615384140.75739644970415127th599.053846153846140.757396449704151311th11.746153846153845230.69822485207115th60.6884615384615395.786982248520726th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124137th158.5730769230769140.75739644970415412th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272512th256.4576923076923253.1834319526627269th305.4185.7278106508876710th354.3423076923077208.213017751479388th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958598th452.226923076923163.24260355029585109th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876118th550.1115384615384163.24260355029585128th599.053846153846163.2426035502958513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
4
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Matt Forte RB
2.10 24 Marques Colston WR
3.05 33 Vincent Jackson WR
4.10 52 DeSean Jackson WR
5.05 61 C.J. Spiller RB
6.10 80 Mark Ingram II RB
7.05 89 Nate Washington WR
8.10 108 James Starks RB
9.05 117 Mike Williams WR
10.10 136 Greg Olsen TE
11.05 145 New York DEF
12.10 164 Sam Bradford QB
13.05 173 Darren Sproles K RB
14.10 192 Cam Newton K QB
15.05 201 Jacoby Ford WR
16.10 220 Garrett Hartley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.92957.06982248520710576.8942906429395720.20889.49585798816568126.8059023405000430.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.434186.7739644970414111.2028415798555760.000219.2141.2307692307692370.172251.62603550295853129.3287570301308480.964284.052071005917174.507806477072690.403316.4781065088757113.30522048788123100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.31724.64378698224852119.2600666922349910.00057.06982248520710512.55781205510990620.00089.49585798816568112.3810354502308730.424121.92189349112428111.90742261930240.049154.34792899408282137.8519147653750.000186.773964497041481.1749139289419260.828219.283.9173726167766270.000251.62603550295853117.4267448294924580.000284.05207100591717.78484372337598590.000316.478106508875785.37967174499323100.282348.9041420118343121.70337190967021110.549381.33017751479287103.19107330873076120.657413.7562130177514695.7361513429749213Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.2307692307692311259.41301775147929577.325443786982252593.17041420118342114.6035502958579930126.92781065088758141.2307692307692340160.6852071005917141.2307692307692354194.44260355029584119.9289940828402360228.2141.2307692307692373261.9573964497041125.25443786982248813295.714792899408372.095329.47218934911234114.60355029585799100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313325.655621301775145125.254437869822481059.41301775147929513.420118343195272093.1704142011834287.9763313609467433126.92781065088758125.2544378698224840160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.4426035502958498.62721893491124612228.277.3254437869822570261.9573964497041109.2781065088757480295.71479289940832.769230769230773690329.4721893491123487.97633136094674107363.2295857988165103.95266272189349116396.9869822485207109.27810650887574128430.7443786982248698.6272189349112413All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2012 Dave 6-7 7th 95.29 0.478 21.22
1 981 2022 Matt 6-8 11th 98.05 0.482 21.17
2 978 2014 Mike R. 6-7 7th 97.38 0.484 20.41
3 977 2021 Pat 3-11 12th 98.77 0.478 16.52
4 976 2015 Rabbit 5-8 11th 95.43 0.488 19.68
5 975 2022 Kevin 6-8 12th 96.86 0.487 21.91
6 969 2009 Allen 6-7 7th 97.89 0.484 17.04
7 969 2024 Babel 9-5 4th 99.24 0.474 18.19
8 969 2017 Pat 6-7 7th 94.37 0.490 18.66
9 968 2021 Mike R. 4-10 11th 96.70 0.466 20.66
10 968 2013 Schertz 6-7 9th 92.38 0.470 22.84