2013 Dave

7-6 (0.538), 1,372.86 points

5th place (regular season)

4th place (playoffs)

7.76 expected wins (0.597)

107-62 all-play record (0.633)

+19.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 97.74 135.65 Rabbit -37.91
2 L 70.28 91.19 Pat -20.91
3 W 141.62 105.11 Ed 36.51
4 W 118.62 112.11 Babel 6.51
5 L 108.89 167.43 Rob -58.54
6 W 111.53 67.52 Schertz 44.01
7 L 81.10 86.96 Allen -5.86
8 L 73.59 109.47 Derrek -35.88
9 W 119.25 104.45 Pulley 14.80
10 L 79.17 126.46 Matt -47.29
11 W 104.82 65.17 Richie 39.65
12 W 107.66 100.60 Mike R. 7.06
13 W 158.59 103.71 Kevin 54.88 Team Blangums
14 W 129.73 99.66 Ed 30.07 Quarterfinals
15 L 116.02 179.98 Matt -63.96 Semifinals
16 L 91.55 93.46 Pulley -1.91 Third-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923624.3%286.406593406593481.0270808990131970.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307020277083610.0%102.34065934065934141.2193912157790720.1%139.15384615384613140.993790890023530.9%175.96703296703296139.0734137062706344.4%212.7802197802198130.43405769701747513.1%249.5934065934066108.8287495840954960.0%286.406593406593420.823392567257144728.0%323.219780219780272.0819.4%360.03296703296793.1152988499952897.9%396.8461538461538121.77448313118012101.8%433.6593406593406136.83009180397403110.2%470.4725274725274140.7198422132734120.0%507.2857142857143141.2072246287627613Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th60.68846153846153275.668639053254428th109.6307692307692163.2426035502958535th158.573076923076995.786982248520744th207.515384615384673.3017751479289954th256.457692307692373.3017751479289964th305.473.3017751479289974th354.342307692307773.3017751479289984th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289997th452.226923076923140.75739644970415105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207114th550.111538461538473.30177514792899123rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372841310th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th60.68846153846153298.1538461538461329th109.6307692307692185.727810650887635th158.573076923076995.7869822485207410th207.5153846153846208.213017751479357th256.4576923076923140.7573964497041569th305.4185.7278106508876711th354.3423076923077230.69822485207188th403.28461538461534163.24260355029585911th452.226923076923230.698224852071108th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585116th550.1115384615384118.27218934911241125th599.05384615384695.78698224852071310th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th60.68846153846153298.1538461538461326th109.6307692307692118.2721893491124135th158.573076923076995.786982248520744th207.515384615384673.3017751479289954th256.457692307692373.3017751479289964th305.473.3017751479289975th354.342307692307795.786982248520785th403.2846153846153495.786982248520795th452.22692307692395.7869822485207105th501.1692307692307595.7869822485207115th550.111538461538495.7869822485207123rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Steven Jackson RB
2.07 21 Roddy White WR
3.08 36 Torrey Smith WR
4.07 49 Jason Witten TE
5.08 64 Mike Williams WR
6.07 77 Fred Jackson RB
7.08 92 Josh Gordon WR
8.07 105 Jacquizz Rodgers RB
9.08 120 Cincinnati DEF
10.07 133 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
11.08 148 Darren Sproles K RB
12.07 161 Cam Newton K QB
13.08 176 Matt Prater K
14.07 189 Knowshon Moreno RB
15.08 204 Brandon LaFell WR
16.07 217 E.J. Manuel QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852141.2307692307692310.00057.069822485207105141.2307692307692320.99389.4958579881656873.8269167861683330.846121.9218934911242883.830400164090140.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.747186.773964497041490.5365215377080160.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.853284.052071005917183.3513914945459490.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.635348.904142011834398.16724104091112110.689381.3301775147928794.50226773207342121.020413.7562130177514672.0130.51224.64378698224852106.4886242071778810.12957.069822485207105132.4776294640725820.00089.495857988165686.42306434156742530.000121.9218934911242826.43003109741094640.707154.3479289940828293.2657569804594950.000186.773964497041439.8422738446467860.246219.2124.5127178658386770.158251.62603550295853130.4836166303888480.000284.052071005917125.4720137583226690.223316.4781065088757126.07228097598237100.000348.904142011834355.10371285105302110.000381.3301775147928747.773766233377614120.000413.756213017751462.769230769230773613Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.2307692307692321293.1704142011834277.32544378698225310126.9278106508875887.9763313609467440160.6852071005917141.23076923076923511194.4426035502958482.650887573964560228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.23076923076923812295.714792899408377.3254437869822590329.47218934911234141.230769230769231010363.229585798816587.976331360946741112396.986982248520777.325443786982251213430.7443786982248672.013425.655621301775145119.928994082840231159.413017751479295135.905325443786982093.1704142011834213.4201183431952730126.9278106508875834.7218934911242549160.685207100591793.3017751479289950194.4426035502958424.07100591715975264228.2119.9289940828402374261.9573964497041119.9289940828402380295.714792899408313.4201183431952795329.47218934911234114.60355029585799100363.229585798816534.72189349112425110396.986982248520713.42011834319527120430.744378698224862.769230769230773613All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2013 Dave 8-8 5th 106.89 0.620 23.73 4th place
1 980 2017 Babel 6-7 6th 104.27 0.600 29.10 2nd place
2 977 2010 Dave 5-8 8th 104.68 0.605 23.35
3 973 2016 Pulley 8-5 3rd 106.21 0.588 21.41 3rd place
4 972 2015 Matt 8-5 3rd 103.88 0.604 28.43 5th place
5 971 2023 Babel 9-5 3rd 109.27 0.600 21.50 5th place
6 970 2022 Rob 10-4 1st 103.93 0.596 14.42 2nd place
7 967 2016 Schertz 7-6 5th 106.72 0.605 19.33 4th place
8 967 2024 Richie 8-6 5th 109.78 0.590 26.55
9 966 2008 Kevin 8-5 3rd 100.44 0.600 21.41 6th place
10 966 2020 Kevin 8-5 1st 110.17 0.592 28.09 Blingabowl XIII champion