2013 Dave (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 1,001.79 points

11th place

5.38 expected wins (0.538)

72-58 all-play record (0.554)

+29.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 97.74 135.65 Rabbit -37.91
2 L 70.28 91.19 Pat -20.91
3 W 141.62 105.11 Ed 36.51
4 W 118.62 112.11 Babel 6.51
5 L 108.89 167.43 Rob -58.54
6 W 111.53 67.52 Schertz 44.01
7 L 81.10 86.96 Allen -5.86
8 L 73.59 109.47 Derrek -35.88
9 W 119.25 104.45 Pulley 14.80
10 L 79.17 126.46 Matt -47.29
11 Richie
12 Mike R.
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923317.2%221.14685314685315102.4380043371267440.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.229896895217600.0%80.5874125874126141.128935660333710.7%127.44055944055944139.5514870434205425.1%174.29370629370626129.8109141207420730.0%221.1468531468531563.64523944348426430.8%268.072.0528.6%314.853146853146876.8322166785289613.7%361.7062937062937110.3890984871911873.4%408.5594405594406133.5612323768478480.4%455.41258741258747140.2935691017930390.0%502.2657342657343141.1864932829997810Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th77.0025641025641275.668639053254428th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958535th207.515384615384695.786982248520744th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289954th338.028205128205173.3017751479289964th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289974th468.541025641025673.3017751479289984th533.797435897435973.3017751479289997th599.053846153846140.757396449704151010th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th77.0025641025641298.1538461538461329th142.2589743589743185.727810650887635th207.515384615384695.7869822485207410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479357th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041569th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876711th468.5410256410256230.69822485207188th533.7974358974359163.24260355029585911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711010th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th77.0025641025641298.1538461538461326th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124135th207.515384615384695.786982248520744th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289954th338.028205128205173.3017751479289964th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289975th468.541025641025695.786982248520785th533.797435897435995.786982248520795th599.05384615384695.786982248520710Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Steven Jackson RB
2.07 21 Roddy White WR
3.08 36 Torrey Smith WR
4.07 49 Jason Witten TE
5.08 64 Mike Williams WR
6.07 77 Fred Jackson RB
7.08 92 Josh Gordon WR
8.07 105 Jacquizz Rodgers RB
9.08 120 Cincinnati DEF
10.07 133 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
11.08 148 Darren Sproles K RB
12.07 161 Cam Newton K QB
13.08 176 Matt Prater K
14.07 189 Knowshon Moreno RB
15.08 204 Brandon LaFell WR
16.07 217 E.J. Manuel QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.990113.815384615384672.6958143629187730.843155.9692307692307382.9008752245784440.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.744240.2769230769230589.7421298333970660.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.850366.7384615384615482.412214181091490.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.50929.507692307692306106.0156790025470310.12671.66153846153847132.5283816642976320.000113.81538461538464.16085949506830830.000155.9692307692307324.57098121838765840.704198.1230769230769292.5263613602418650.000240.2769230769230538.25349043602490460.243282.4307692307692124.4029712900362970.155324.58461538461535130.4941880181538680.000366.7384615384615423.5936591314135690.220408.89230769230767125.993960733947610Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.23076923076923212118.4884615384615477.32544378698225310162.373076923076987.9763313609467440206.2576923076923141.23076923076923511250.1423076923076782.650887573964560294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.23076923076923812381.7961538461538677.3254437869822590425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310430.719230769230762119.928994082840231174.60384615384615135.9053254437869820118.4884615384615413.4201183431952730162.373076923076934.7218934911242549206.257692307692393.3017751479289950250.1423076923076724.07100591715975264294.026923076923119.9289940828402374337.9115384615384119.9289940828402380381.7961538461538613.4201183431952795425.6807692307692114.6035502958579910All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Dave 4-6 11th 100.18 0.538 22.45 7-6 5th 4th place
1 983 2010 Babel 6-4 4th 99.19 0.534 20.64 8-5 3rd 6th place
2 973 2020 Scott 6-4 5th 101.51 0.540 13.48 7-6 8th
3 967 2017 Ed 4-6 8th 97.82 0.546 18.88 4-9 13th
4 965 2015 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.63 0.550 18.06 5-8 11th
5 964 2009 Mike R. 5-5 6th 102.70 0.547 18.80 5-8 10th
6 962 2017 Rob 6-4 5th 97.38 0.545 16.03 8-5 4th 5th place
7 962 2009 Derrek 5-5 7th 101.05 0.549 16.30 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 961 2012 Derrek 7-3 5th 98.92 0.550 16.82 8-5 5th 5th place
9 958 2024 Babel 8-2 2nd 102.21 0.525 18.68 9-5 4th
10 957 2023 Pat 4-6 10th 100.75 0.521 19.27 5-9 11th