2014 Dave (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 1,114.42 points

5th place

6.64 expected wins (0.664)

88-42 all-play record (0.677)

+19.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 157.21 83.62 Schertz 73.59 Team Blangums
2 W 105.75 96.43 Rob 9.32
3 L 107.13 125.49 Matt -18.36
4 L 111.07 128.90 Rabbit -17.83
5 W 115.44 104.23 Pulley 11.21
6 W 118.85 101.93 Mike R. 16.92
7 L 73.50 82.37 Derrek -8.87
8 L 98.27 108.28 Allen -10.01
9 L 106.27 133.95 Richie -27.68
10 W 120.93 100.53 Ed 20.40
11 Pat
12 Babel
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923413.5%268.0109.3768214866451350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2306302445347800.0%80.5874125874126141.217781386174910.1%127.44055944055944140.9855010860235320.9%174.29370629370626139.0890652501312334.5%221.14685314685315130.6585748466547440.0%268.077.52287374252104525.4%314.853146853146881.29879240993884629.3%361.706293706293772.0719.5%408.559440559440695.303555515495486.3%455.41258741258747126.4472179752648290.6%502.2657342657343139.8767608729811510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd77.002564102564128.33136094674557622nd142.258974358974328.33136094674557632nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557642nd272.7717948717948428.33136094674557652nd338.028205128205128.33136094674557662nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557673rd468.541025641025650.81656804733728483rd533.797435897435950.81656804733728493rd599.05384615384650.816568047337284101st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st77.00256410256415.84615384615381122nd142.258974358974328.33136094674557635th207.515384615384695.786982248520744th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289954th338.028205128205173.3017751479289965th403.2846153846153495.786982248520776th468.5410256410256118.2721893491124187th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041595th599.05384615384695.7869822485207101st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st77.00256410256415.84615384615381122nd142.258974358974328.33136094674557632nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557642nd272.7717948717948428.33136094674557652nd338.028205128205128.33136094674557662nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557673rd468.541025641025650.81656804733728483rd533.797435897435950.81656804733728493rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728410Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 A.J. Green WR
2.04 18 Jordy Nelson WR
3.11 39 Ray Rice RB
4.04 46 Steven Jackson RB
5.11 67 Giovani Bernard K RB
6.04 74 Matt Ryan QB
7.11 95 Martellus Bennett TE
8.04 102 Markus Wheaton WR
9.11 123 Cordarrelle Patterson K WR
10.04 130 Jeremy Hill RB
11.11 151 Doug Baldwin WR
12.04 158 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.11 179 Houston DEF
14.04 186 Dwayne Allen TE
15.11 207 Teddy Bridgewater QB
16.04 214 Ka'Deem Carey RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.98629.50769230769230672.9534572453154310.62171.6615384615384798.2501894035052220.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.775198.1230769230769287.5678317086721650.816240.2769230769230584.7722359715137160.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.840408.8923076923076783.05624021415223100.00029.5076923076923064.676145259861641510.00071.6615384615384755.2696095762412120.649113.815384615384696.2955452295570430.709155.9692307692307392.1589726753876440.000198.1230769230769233.9048941865750950.000240.2769230769230528.31370271225820560.125282.4307692307692132.5701045507348770.488324.58461538461535107.4779281781908180.629366.7384615384615497.7160715187635690.000408.8923076923076724.88171119753522510Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101330.71923076923076272.01974.6038461538461593.3017751479289920118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.23076923076923411206.257692307692382.6508875739645512250.1423076923076777.3254437869822560294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.23076923076923911425.680769230769282.650887573964510030.7192307692307622.76923076923077361074.6038461538461545.37278106508874529118.4884615384615493.3017751479289937162.3730769230769103.9526627218934940206.257692307692324.07100591715975250250.1423076923076713.4201183431952762294.026923076923130.5798816568047374337.9115384615384119.92899408284023810381.7961538461538687.9763313609467490425.680769230769224.07100591715975210All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Dave 5-5 5th 111.44 0.664 19.87 7-6 4th 6th place
1 987 2019 Matt 6-4 3rd 112.29 0.663 16.22 8-5 2nd 2nd place
2 975 2011 Rabbit 6-4 2nd 115.09 0.668 19.20 8-5 2nd Blingabowl IV champion
3 971 2022 Rob 7-3 1st 108.20 0.663 12.96 10-4 1st 2nd place
4 967 2014 Rabbit 8-2 1st 113.79 0.673 22.16 10-3 1st 2nd place
5 965 2013 Ed 6-4 2nd 108.57 0.669 12.97 7-6 4th 6th place
6 963 2018 Pulley 7-3 3rd 118.15 0.664 14.60 9-4 3rd 6th place
7 956 2012 Rabbit 9-1 2nd 109.78 0.682 19.16 12-1 1st 3rd place
8 952 2016 Kevin 9-1 1st 112.96 0.684 19.04 11-2 1st Blingabowl IX champion
9 947 2021 Richie 7-3 5th 112.09 0.640 20.97 9-5 5th 6th place
10 942 2019 Pulley 6-4 2nd 115.41 0.644 21.48 8-5 3rd 6th place