2014 Dave (through 12 weeks)

7-5 (0.583), 1,326.11 points

4th place

7.97 expected wins (0.664)

108-48 all-play record (0.692)

+20.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 157.21 83.62 Schertz 73.59 Team Blangums
2 W 105.75 96.43 Rob 9.32
3 L 107.13 125.49 Matt -18.36
4 L 111.07 128.90 Rabbit -17.83
5 W 115.44 104.23 Pulley 11.21
6 W 118.85 101.93 Mike R. 16.92
7 L 73.50 82.37 Derrek -8.87
8 L 98.27 108.28 Allen -10.01
9 L 106.27 133.95 Richie -27.68
10 W 120.93 100.53 Ed 20.40
11 W 106.37 103.77 Pat 2.60 Team Blangums
12 W 105.32 103.22 Babel 2.10
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692340.0%228.35502958579883141.2307692307692350.0%268.0141.23076923076923620.6%307.6449704142011787.4278296440984170.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307616082414400.0%69.77514792899409141.2293625593810.0%109.42011834319527141.1968385366526520.1%149.06508875739644140.8541031463206330.9%188.71005917159763138.79161467884543.9%228.35502958579883131.08919239653224510.8%268.0112.9353248362045960.0%307.6449704142011733.624890057427606726.5%347.2899408284024572.0822.3%386.9349112426035682.88347139041181911.5%426.5798816568048111.29186537108286103.0%466.2248520710059133.27078251419832110.3%505.8698224852071140.5388062443281612Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd65.1377622377622328.33136094674557622nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557632nd171.9209790209790228.33136094674557642nd225.312587412587428.33136094674557652nd278.704195804195828.33136094674557662nd332.0958041958041328.33136094674557673rd385.487412587412550.81656804733728483rd438.8790209790209450.81656804733728493rd492.2706293706293650.816568047337284102nd545.662237762237728.331360946745576113rd599.05384615384650.816568047337284121st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st65.137762237762235.84615384615381122nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557635th171.9209790209790295.786982248520744th225.312587412587473.3017751479289954th278.704195804195873.3017751479289965th332.0958041958041395.786982248520776th385.4874125874125118.2721893491124187th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041595th492.2706293706293695.7869822485207104th545.662237762237773.30177514792899114th599.05384615384673.30177514792899121st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st65.137762237762235.84615384615381122nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557632nd171.9209790209790228.33136094674557642nd225.312587412587428.33136094674557652nd278.704195804195828.33136094674557662nd332.0958041958041328.33136094674557673rd385.487412587412550.81656804733728483rd438.8790209790209450.81656804733728493rd492.2706293706293650.816568047337284103rd545.662237762237750.816568047337284113rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728412Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11
11
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 A.J. Green WR
2.04 18 Jordy Nelson WR
3.11 39 Ray Rice RB
4.04 46 Steven Jackson RB
5.11 67 Giovani Bernard K RB
6.04 74 Matt Ryan QB
7.11 95 Martellus Bennett TE
8.04 102 Markus Wheaton WR
9.11 123 Cordarrelle Patterson K WR
10.04 130 Jeremy Hill RB
11.11 151 Doug Baldwin WR
12.04 158 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.11 179 Houston DEF
14.04 186 Dwayne Allen TE
15.11 207 Teddy Bridgewater QB
16.04 214 Ka'Deem Carey RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.99425.99487179487179572.4345457562791810.62861.1230769230769297.7312779144689920.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.783166.507692307692387.048920219635950.823201.6358974358974584.2533244824774760.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.848342.1487179487179482.53732872511598100.639377.276923076923197.0153326647089110.619412.405128205128298.3449452714062120.00025.9948717948717953.638322281789129410.00061.1230769230769254.2317865981687520.65796.2512820512820395.7766337405208130.716131.3794871794871791.640061186351440.000166.507692307692332.86707120850259450.000201.6358974358974527.27587973418570860.133236.76410256410256132.0511930616986570.495271.89230769230767106.9590166891545880.636307.020512820512897.1971600297273490.000342.1487179487179423.84388821946274100.000377.276923076923152.79989609864856110.000412.405128205128255.4591213120431812Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121327.06217948717948572.01963.632692307692393.3017751479289920100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.77371794871794141.23076923076923411173.344230769230782.6508875739645512209.9147435897435877.3254437869822560246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.2307692307692380319.62628205128203141.23076923076923911356.1967948717948582.65088757396451013392.767307692307772.0117429.3378205128205103.9526627218934912027.0621794871794852.76923076923077361063.632692307692345.37278106508874529100.2032051282051193.3017751479289937136.77371794871794103.9526627218934940173.344230769230724.07100591715975250209.9147435897435813.4201183431952762246.4852564102564130.5798816568047374283.0557692307692119.92899408284023810319.6262820512820387.9763313609467490356.1967948717948524.071005917159752100392.76730769230772.7692307692307736110429.337820512820566.6745562130177512All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Dave 7-5 4th 110.51 0.664 18.26 7-6 4th 6th place
1 991 2023 Matt 7-5 5th 110.69 0.662 16.20 9-5 2nd 3rd place
2 981 2014 Pulley 8-4 2nd 112.40 0.668 20.63 9-4 2nd 3rd place
3 976 2021 Richie 8-4 5th 113.57 0.668 20.61 9-5 5th 6th place
4 968 2014 Rabbit 9-3 1st 112.60 0.673 20.66 10-3 1st 2nd place
5 967 2024 Mike R. 7-5 4th 112.94 0.654 19.83 9-5 2nd
6 963 2016 Kevin 10-2 1st 112.17 0.679 18.62 11-2 1st Blingabowl IX champion
7 956 2019 Matt 7-5 4th 113.68 0.680 18.13 8-5 2nd 2nd place
8 953 2023 Pulley 7-5 4th 116.11 0.673 21.26 8-6 4th 6th place
9 953 2018 Pulley 8-4 3rd 119.38 0.667 15.55 9-4 3rd 6th place
10 952 2022 Schertz 6-6 5th 113.53 0.654 26.03 6-8 9th