2014 Dave

7-6 (0.538), 1,421.71 points

4th place (regular season)

6th place (playoffs)

8.40 expected wins (0.646)

114-55 all-play record (0.675)

+19.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 157.21 83.62 Schertz 73.59 Team Blangums
2 W 105.75 96.43 Rob 9.32
3 L 107.13 125.49 Matt -18.36
4 L 111.07 128.90 Rabbit -17.83
5 W 115.44 104.23 Pulley 11.21
6 W 118.85 101.93 Mike R. 16.92
7 L 73.50 82.37 Derrek -8.87
8 L 98.27 108.28 Allen -10.01
9 L 106.27 133.95 Richie -27.68
10 W 120.93 100.53 Ed 20.40
11 W 106.37 103.77 Pat 2.60 Team Blangums
12 W 105.32 103.22 Babel 2.10
13 L 95.60 103.22 Kevin -7.62
14 L 149.69 150.61 Babel -0.92 Quarterfinals
15 L 49.45 70.15 Rob -20.70 Fifth-Place Game

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.2307692307692330.0%175.96703296703296141.2307692307692340.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.23076923076923616.4%286.406593406593494.216051079715170.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307630714328200.0%65.52747252747253141.2298323307977610.0%102.34065934065934141.2081397966827620.1%139.15384615384613140.973911273084130.6%175.96703296703296139.5063107279354442.6%212.7802197802198133.6880512591787457.8%249.5934065934066118.6914103188840160.0%286.406593406593447.20133292866096723.9%323.219780219780272.56170131267815824.1%360.03296703296772.0916.2%396.846153846153894.7778832208791106.7%433.6593406593406121.94805502681993111.5%470.4725274725274136.97960153873413120.1%507.2857142857143140.899947843012213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd60.6884615384615328.33136094674557622nd109.630769230769228.33136094674557632nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557642nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557652nd256.457692307692328.33136094674557662nd305.428.33136094674557673rd354.342307692307750.81656804733728483rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728493rd452.22692307692350.816568047337284102nd501.1692307692307528.331360946745576113rd550.111538461538450.816568047337284122nd599.05384615384628.331360946745576131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st60.688461538461535.84615384615381122nd109.630769230769228.33136094674557635th158.573076923076995.786982248520744th207.515384615384673.3017751479289954th256.457692307692373.3017751479289965th305.495.786982248520776th354.3423076923077118.2721893491124187th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041595th452.22692307692395.7869822485207104th501.1692307692307573.30177514792899114th550.111538461538473.30177514792899124th599.05384615384673.30177514792899131st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st60.688461538461535.84615384615381122nd109.630769230769228.33136094674557632nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557642nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557652nd256.457692307692328.33136094674557662nd305.428.33136094674557673rd354.342307692307750.81656804733728483rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728493rd452.22692307692350.816568047337284103rd501.1692307692307550.816568047337284113rd550.111538461538450.816568047337284123rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11
11
12

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 A.J. Green WR
2.04 18 Jordy Nelson WR
3.11 39 Ray Rice RB
4.04 46 Steven Jackson RB
5.11 67 Giovani Bernard K RB
6.04 74 Matt Ryan QB
7.11 95 Martellus Bennett TE
8.04 102 Markus Wheaton WR
9.11 123 Cordarrelle Patterson K WR
10.04 130 Jeremy Hill RB
11.11 151 Doug Baldwin WR
12.04 158 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.11 179 Houston DEF
14.04 186 Dwayne Allen TE
15.11 207 Teddy Bridgewater QB
16.04 214 Ka'Deem Carey RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.99224.6437869822485272.5481046051276910.62757.06982248520710597.8448367633174920.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.000121.92189349112428141.2307692307692340.781154.3479289940828287.1624790684844350.821186.773964497041484.3668833313259860.000219.2141.2307692307692370.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.846316.478106508875782.6508875739645100.637348.904142011834397.1288915135574110.618381.3301775147928798.4585041202547120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.643786982248523.865439979486154710.00057.06982248520710554.4589042958657520.65589.4958579881656895.8901925893693230.715121.9218934911242891.753620035199940.000154.3479289940828233.0941889061996250.000186.773964497041427.50299743188273360.131219.2132.1647519105471570.493251.62603550295853107.072575538003180.634284.052071005917197.3107188785758490.000316.478106508875724.071005917159766100.000348.904142011834353.027013796345585110.000381.3301775147928755.68623900974019120.452413.75621301775146109.947720747357113Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112131325.65562130177514572.01959.41301775147929593.301775147928992093.17041420118342141.2307692307692330126.92781065088758141.23076923076923411160.685207100591782.6508875739645512194.4426035502958477.3254437869822560228.2141.2307692307692370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.23076923076923911329.4721893491123482.65088757396451013363.229585798816572.0117396.9869822485207103.95266272189349120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.6556213017751452.76923076923077361059.41301775147929545.3727810650887452993.1704142011834293.3017751479289937126.92781065088758103.9526627218934940160.685207100591724.07100591715975250194.4426035502958413.4201183431952762228.2130.5798816568047374261.9573964497041119.92899408284023810295.714792899408387.9763313609467490329.4721893491123424.071005917159752100363.22958579881652.7692307692307736110396.986982248520766.67455621301775126430.74437869822486109.2781065088757413All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2014 Dave 7-8 4th 108.06 0.627 25.03 6th place
1 988 2016 Rabbit 9-4 2nd 109.39 0.649 14.42 2nd place
2 980 2024 Rob 12-2 1st 109.75 0.639 20.07
3 974 2015 Rob 7-6 5th 107.37 0.651 22.54 3rd place
4 972 2022 Schertz 6-8 9th 111.83 0.644 25.41
5 970 2013 Ed 7-6 4th 106.41 0.641 13.70 6th place
6 969 2017 Kevin 10-3 2nd 106.19 0.644 24.90 4th place
7 968 2014 Rabbit 10-3 1st 110.05 0.636 21.71 2nd place
8 968 2022 Dave 8-6 3rd 110.91 0.655 22.08 3rd place
9 960 2021 Babel 10-4 3rd 112.06 0.660 19.02 5th place
10 956 2018 Pulley 9-4 3rd 117.38 0.651 16.47 6th place