2014 Dave (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 596.60 points

4th place

3.74 expected wins (0.748)

49-16 all-play record (0.754)

+23.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 157.21 83.62 Schertz 73.59 Team Blangums
2 W 105.75 96.43 Rob 9.32
3 L 107.13 125.49 Matt -18.36
4 L 111.07 128.90 Rabbit -17.83
5 W 115.44 104.23 Pulley 11.21
6 Mike R.
7 Derrek
8 Allen
9 Richie
10 Ed
11 Pat
12 Babel
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923228.0%310.9487179487179693.760373572330930.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.0%53.25641025641026141.2110296260241301.0%139.15384615384616139.593099559468618.4%225.05128205128204126.9672363019820420.0%310.9487179487179646.289977913892585340.8%396.8461538461538772.0421.9%482.7435897435898104.065727100844815Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd158.573076923076928.33136094674557622nd305.428.33136094674557632nd452.22692307692328.33136094674557642nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557651st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st158.57307692307695.84615384615381122nd305.428.33136094674557635th452.22692307692395.786982248520744th599.05384615384673.3017751479289951st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st158.57307692307695.84615384615381122nd305.428.33136094674557632nd452.22692307692328.33136094674557642nd599.05384615384628.3313609467455765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 A.J. Green WR
2.04 18 Jordy Nelson WR
3.11 39 Ray Rice RB
4.04 46 Steven Jackson RB
5.11 67 Giovani Bernard K RB
6.04 74 Matt Ryan QB
7.11 95 Martellus Bennett TE
8.04 102 Markus Wheaton WR
9.11 123 Cordarrelle Patterson K WR
10.04 130 Jeremy Hill RB
11.11 151 Doug Baldwin WR
12.04 158 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.11 179 Houston DEF
14.04 186 Dwayne Allen TE
15.11 207 Teddy Bridgewater QB
16.04 214 Ka'Deem Carey RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.98750.5846153846153872.9282936367637710.621134.892307692307798.2250257949535720.000219.2141.2307692307692330.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.775387.815384615384687.542668100120550.00050.584615384615384.62581804275831110.000134.892307692307755.2192823591379120.649219.296.2703816210053830.709303.5076923076922592.13380906683640.000387.815384615384633.854566969471765Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123451352.66153846153845672.019140.4307692307692293.3017751479289920228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.9692307692307141.23076923076923411403.738461538461582.65088757396455052.6615384615384562.769230769230773610140.4307692307692245.37278106508874529228.2000000000000293.3017751479289937315.9692307692307103.9526627218934940403.738461538461524.0710059171597525All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Dave 3-2 4th 119.32 0.748 19.24 7-6 4th 6th place
1 974 2010 Rabbit 4-1 1st 114.00 0.750 20.15 11-2 1st Blingabowl III champion
2 960 2012 Matt 4-1 3rd 115.74 0.740 14.95 11-2 2nd Blingabowl V champion
3 938 2012 Rabbit 5-0 2nd 114.01 0.735 11.91 12-1 1st 3rd place
4 937 2019 Matt 3-2 3rd 117.52 0.729 11.17 8-5 2nd 2nd place
5 929 2023 Matt 2-3 8th 119.38 0.772 7.89 9-5 2nd 3rd place
6 927 2019 Pulley 4-1 1st 127.80 0.764 23.32 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 923 2023 Pulley 4-1 2nd 122.61 0.721 23.59 8-6 4th 6th place
8 919 2015 Rob 2-3 7th 112.45 0.723 17.74 7-6 5th 3rd place
9 918 2017 Babel 3-2 4th 117.83 0.779 26.06 6-7 6th 2nd place
10 916 2021 Derrek 4-1 2nd 118.20 0.719 8.95 12-2 1st 3rd place