2014 Dave (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 788.95 points

5th place

4.76 expected wins (0.681)

63-28 all-play record (0.692)

+12.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 157.21 83.62 Schertz 73.59 Team Blangums
2 W 105.75 96.43 Rob 9.32
3 L 107.13 125.49 Matt -18.36
4 L 111.07 128.90 Rabbit -17.83
5 W 115.44 104.23 Pulley 11.21
6 W 118.85 101.93 Mike R. 16.92
7 L 73.50 82.37 Derrek -8.87
8 Allen
9 Richie
10 Ed
11 Pat
12 Babel
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.2307692307692320.0%235.78846153846152141.23076923076923326.7%300.211538461538591.5360815948718640.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.0%42.519230769230774141.23038128632800.1%106.9423076923077141.019867453806111.7%171.3653846153846138.1411124503405629.5%235.78846153846152123.5042501790048730.0%300.211538461538541.84139395897449437.2%364.634615384615572.0522.2%429.057692307692499.9403326725963362.7%493.4807692307693136.233325853302237Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381112nd109.630769230769228.33136094674557622nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557632nd305.428.33136094674557642nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557652nd501.1692307692307528.33136094674557662nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557671st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st109.63076923076925.84615384615381122nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557635th305.495.786982248520744th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289954th501.1692307692307573.3017751479289965th599.05384615384695.786982248520771st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381111st109.63076923076925.84615384615381122nd207.515384615384628.33136094674557632nd305.428.33136094674557642nd403.2846153846153428.33136094674557652nd501.1692307692307528.33136094674557662nd599.05384615384628.3313609467455767Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.11 11 A.J. Green WR
2.04 18 Jordy Nelson WR
3.11 39 Ray Rice RB
4.04 46 Steven Jackson RB
5.11 67 Giovani Bernard K RB
6.04 74 Matt Ryan QB
7.11 95 Martellus Bennett TE
8.04 102 Markus Wheaton WR
9.11 123 Cordarrelle Patterson K WR
10.04 130 Jeremy Hill RB
11.11 151 Doug Baldwin WR
12.04 158 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.11 179 Houston DEF
14.04 186 Dwayne Allen TE
15.11 207 Teddy Bridgewater QB
16.04 214 Ka'Deem Carey RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.99838.5406593406593472.1306884186070110.63398.7604395604395597.427420576796820.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692340.787279.419780219780286.7450628819637350.827339.639560439560483.949467144805360.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.00038.540659340659343.030607606444789310.00098.7604395604395553.62407192282438520.661158.9802197802197695.4727764028486230.721219.1999999999999691.3362038486792240.000279.419780219780232.2593565331582450.000339.639560439560426.66816505884136760.137399.8593406593406131.747335724026477Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345671340.1230769230769272.019102.815384615384693.3017751479289920165.50769230769228141.2307692307692330228.19999999999996141.23076923076923411290.892307692307782.6508875739645512353.584615384615477.3254437869822560416.2769230769231141.230769230769237040.123076923076922.769230769230773610102.815384615384645.37278106508874529165.5076923076922893.3017751479289937228.19999999999996103.9526627218934940290.892307692307724.07100591715975250353.584615384615413.4201183431952762416.2769230769231130.579881656804737All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Dave 4-3 5th 112.71 0.681 22.82 7-6 4th 6th place
1 975 2024 Rabbit 4-3 4th 112.66 0.675 16.09 6-8 8th
2 974 2016 Rob 5-2 2nd 111.67 0.680 12.39 8-5 4th 5th place
3 965 2020 Ed 1-6 13th 115.28 0.678 13.63 4-9 13th
4 963 2013 Matt 6-1 1st 117.62 0.683 28.75 11-2 1st Blingabowl VI champion
5 962 2010 Ed 6-1 1st 109.27 0.672 19.85 9-4 2nd 2nd place
6 960 2012 Matt 5-2 3rd 111.20 0.689 14.74 11-2 2nd Blingabowl V champion
7 957 2011 Rabbit 4-3 2nd 117.58 0.670 21.47 8-5 2nd Blingabowl IV champion
8 956 2023 Babel 5-2 2nd 114.65 0.663 22.80 9-5 3rd 5th place
9 948 2022 Scott 4-3 2nd 112.41 0.655 23.16 6-8 10th
10 940 2017 Dave 5-2 1st 105.84 0.674 12.70 8-5 3rd 6th place