2015 Dave (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 1,076.77 points

6th place

6.23 expected wins (0.623)

80-50 all-play record (0.615)

+9.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 143.15 90.27 Mike R. 52.88 Team Blangums
2 L 88.95 94.00 Schertz -5.05
3 L 131.31 152.67 Pulley -21.36
4 W 121.77 78.17 Richie 43.60
5 L 84.51 92.66 Allen -8.15
6 W 129.08 107.96 Matt 21.12
7 L 72.68 111.61 Rob -38.93
8 L 75.82 105.31 Babel -29.49
9 W 130.72 116.67 Rabbit 14.05
10 W 98.78 60.26 Ed 38.52
11 Derrek
12 Pat
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923420.3%268.0101.1790366111150450.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307674788108300.0%80.5874125874126141.2299880706711410.0%127.44055944055944141.1888144853717220.5%174.29370629370626140.335293379744634.5%221.14685314685315132.3135714003862240.0%268.061.127303991460835535.1%314.853146853146872.0627.4%361.706293706293787.25085828394059710.3%408.5594405594406120.8942700502129481.8%455.41258741258747137.6665710889071590.1%502.2657342657343140.9988367941355710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381113rd77.002564102564150.81656804733728422nd142.258974358974328.33136094674557631st207.51538461538465.84615384615381143rd272.7717948717948450.81656804733728453rd338.028205128205150.81656804733728463rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728475th468.541025641025695.786982248520784th533.797435897435973.3017751479289994th599.05384615384673.30177514792899101st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th77.002564102564195.786982248520725th142.258974358974395.786982248520735th207.515384615384695.786982248520746th272.77179487179484118.2721893491124156th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124167th403.28461538461534140.75739644970415710th468.5410256410256208.213017751479387th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041596th599.053846153846118.27218934911241101st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381113rd77.002564102564150.81656804733728423rd142.258974358974350.81656804733728431st207.51538461538465.84615384615381141st272.771794871794845.84615384615381152nd338.028205128205128.33136094674557663rd403.2846153846153450.81656804733728475th468.541025641025695.786982248520783rd533.797435897435950.81656804733728493rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728410Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
4
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Demaryius Thomas WR
2.06 20 Aaron Rodgers K QB
3.09 37 Keenan Allen WR
4.06 48 Brandon Marshall WR
5.09 65 Giovani Bernard RB
6.06 76 Dwayne Allen TE
7.09 93 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
8.06 104 Stevie Johnson WR
9.09 121 Jeremy Hill K RB
10.06 132 Darren Sproles RB
11.09 149 Terrance Williams WR
12.06 160 Tyler Eifert TE
13.09 177 New England DEF
14.06 188 Adam Vinatieri K
15.09 205 Marcus Mariota QB
16.06 216 Tyler Lockett WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.99729.50769230769230672.1782557560627310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.880155.9692307692307380.2923019200103740.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.935240.2769230769230576.5307483061915160.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.943366.7384615384615475.9511735801952590.528408.89230769230767104.70262567373533100.00029.5076923076923063.125742281356224310.36871.66153846153847115.7713665192325720.947113.815384615384675.678432532667630.000155.9692307692307319.35383460925153540.300198.12307692307692120.4761495890845950.000240.2769230769230511.83072738161379860.151282.4307692307692130.7493957126261870.182324.58461538461535128.6129241736595680.000366.7384615384615410.67157792962126590.000408.8923076923076768.1744821167014110Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101330.71923076923076272.01074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923312162.373076923076977.3254437869822540206.2576923076923141.23076923076923512250.1423076923076777.3254437869822560294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.23076923076923811381.7961538461538682.650887573964599425.680769230769293.3017751479289910030.7192307692307622.76923076923077361574.60384615384615114.60355029585799210118.4884615384615487.9763313609467430162.373076923076913.4201183431952743206.2576923076923125.2544378698224850250.1423076923076713.4201183431952763294.026923076923125.2544378698224872337.9115384615384130.5798816568047380381.7961538461538624.07100591715975290425.680769230769245.37278106508874510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Dave 5-5 6th 107.68 0.623 24.92 6-7 8th
1 987 2015 Richie 5-5 7th 107.03 0.624 20.82 7-6 6th 4th place
2 978 2021 Schertz 7-3 6th 111.17 0.626 23.98 9-5 7th
3 972 2024 Rabbit 4-6 9th 108.89 0.620 16.57 6-8 8th
4 968 2013 Pulley 6-4 3rd 105.81 0.615 20.91 8-5 3rd 3rd place
5 961 2023 Rabbit 6-4 6th 107.10 0.605 24.80 8-6 6th 4th place
6 961 2017 Pulley 8-2 1st 105.44 0.637 24.20 11-2 1st 3rd place
7 956 2022 Scott 6-4 2nd 110.23 0.636 21.35 6-8 10th
8 955 2022 Schertz 4-6 11th 109.90 0.607 27.08 6-8 9th
9 955 2016 Pulley 7-3 2nd 110.71 0.636 21.64 8-5 3rd 3rd place
10 952 2021 Derrek 8-2 2nd 107.68 0.643 21.04 12-2 1st 3rd place