2015 Dave (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,259.43 points (104.95 average)

8th place

7.21 expected wins (0.601)

95-61 all-play record (0.609)

+13.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 143.15 90.27 Mike R. 52.88 Team Blangums
2 L 88.95 94.00 Schertz -5.05
3 L 131.31 152.67 Pulley -21.36
4 W 121.77 78.17 Richie 43.60
5 L 84.51 92.66 Allen -8.15
6 W 129.08 107.96 Matt 21.12
7 L 72.68 111.61 Rob -38.93
8 L 75.82 105.31 Babel -29.49
9 W 130.72 116.67 Rabbit 14.05
10 W 98.78 60.26 Ed 38.52
11 L 81.24 81.62 Derrek -0.38
12 L 101.42 130.67 Pat -29.25
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692347.7%228.35502958579883123.2348994101455350.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.230767521965500.0%69.77514792899409141.2303955988013210.0%109.42011834319527141.2133599493806520.1%149.06508875739644140.8824774384806331.5%188.71005917159763137.7413996139806640.0%228.35502958579883105.23902958952183520.2%268.093.65523887089456629.4%307.6449704142011772.0724.8%347.2899408284024583.00824974928375812.2%386.93491124260356112.437778222971293.5%426.5798816568048133.03258522195068100.5%466.2248520710059139.99618311787543110.0%505.8698224852071141.1550706573283412Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381113rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728422nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557631st171.920979020979025.84615384615381143rd225.312587412587450.81656804733728452nd278.704195804195828.33136094674557663rd332.0958041958041350.81656804733728475th385.487412587412595.786982248520784th438.8790209790209473.3017751479289994th492.2706293706293673.30177514792899105th545.662237762237795.7869822485207114th599.05384615384673.30177514792899121st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th65.1377622377622395.786982248520725th118.5293706293706295.786982248520735th171.9209790209790295.786982248520746th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124156th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124167th332.09580419580413140.75739644970415710th385.4874125874125208.213017751479387th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041596th492.27062937062936118.27218934911241108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585118th599.053846153846163.24260355029585121st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381113rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728423rd118.5293706293706250.81656804733728431st171.920979020979025.84615384615381141st225.31258741258745.84615384615381152nd278.704195804195828.33136094674557663rd332.0958041958041350.81656804733728475th385.487412587412595.786982248520783rd438.8790209790209450.81656804733728493rd492.2706293706293650.816568047337284105th545.662237762237795.7869822485207114th599.05384615384673.3017751479289912Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
4
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Demaryius Thomas WR
2.06 20 Aaron Rodgers K QB
3.09 37 Keenan Allen WR
4.06 48 Brandon Marshall WR
5.09 65 Giovani Bernard RB
6.06 76 Dwayne Allen TE
7.09 93 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
8.06 104 Stevie Johnson WR
9.09 121 Jeremy Hill K RB
10.06 132 Darren Sproles RB
11.09 149 Terrance Williams WR
12.06 160 Tyler Eifert TE
13.09 177 New England DEF
14.06 188 Adam Vinatieri K
15.09 205 Marcus Mariota QB
16.06 216 Tyler Lockett WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.99425.99487179487179572.4208151247869310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.872131.3794871794871780.8388504310844440.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.923201.6358974358974577.3400116618447860.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.938307.020512820512876.2656928931821590.548342.14871794871794103.27371220967052100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.9948717948717953.61086101880462710.39661.12307692307692113.8164169840877120.94296.2512820512820375.9818210735285530.000131.3794871794871720.44693163139963640.331166.5076923076923118.2834658822777850.000201.6358974358974513.44925409292034160.177236.76410256410256128.9629883850768470.213271.89230769230767126.5184949934951780.000307.020512820512811.3006165555950790.000342.1487179487179465.3166551885718100.281377.2769230769231121.76083325618742110.597412.405128205128299.9126898383629512Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121327.06217948717948572.01063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.23076923076923312136.7737179487179477.3254437869822540173.3442307692307141.23076923076923512209.9147435897435877.3254437869822560246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.23076923076923811319.6262820512820382.650887573964599356.1967948717948593.30177514792899100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.0621794871794852.76923076923077361563.6326923076923114.60355029585799210100.2032051282051187.9763313609467430136.7737179487179413.4201183431952743173.3442307692307125.2544378698224850209.9147435897435813.4201183431952763246.4852564102564125.2544378698224872283.0557692307692130.5798816568047380319.6262820512820324.07100591715975290356.1967948717948545.372781065088745107392.7673076923077103.95266272189349118429.337820512820598.6272189349112412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Dave 5-7 8th 104.95 0.601 23.91 6-7 8th
1 983 2022 Scott 6-6 6th 107.75 0.602 21.79 6-8 10th
2 968 2019 Pulley 8-4 2nd 110.54 0.598 22.46 8-5 3rd 6th place
3 964 2022 Rob 8-4 1st 105.24 0.610 15.15 10-4 1st 2nd place
4 960 2023 Babel 8-4 3rd 108.95 0.591 21.92 9-5 3rd 5th place
5 960 2016 Schertz 6-6 6th 106.29 0.588 20.06 7-6 5th 4th place
6 954 2017 Kevin 9-3 2nd 104.11 0.621 24.80 10-3 2nd 4th place
7 952 2022 Derrek 7-5 2nd 107.59 0.615 19.40 8-6 4th 4th place
8 950 2011 Allen 6-6 6th 106.03 0.587 15.65 7-6 5th 5th place
9 950 2008 Pulley 7-5 5th 98.80 0.597 15.49 7-6 5th Blingabowl I champion
10 948 2009 Rabbit 9-3 1st 103.60 0.587 14.97 10-3 1st 2nd place