2015 Dave (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,259.43 points

8th place

7.23 expected wins (0.602)

95-61 all-play record (0.609)

+13.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 143.15 90.27 Mike R. 52.88 Team Blangums
2 L 88.95 94.00 Schertz -5.05
3 L 131.31 152.67 Pulley -21.36
4 W 121.77 78.17 Richie 43.60
5 L 84.51 92.66 Allen -8.15
6 W 129.08 107.96 Matt 21.12
7 L 72.68 111.61 Rob -38.93
8 L 75.82 105.31 Babel -29.49
9 W 130.72 116.67 Rabbit 14.05
10 W 98.78 60.26 Ed 38.52
11 L 81.24 81.62 Derrek -0.38
12 L 101.42 130.67 Pat -29.25
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.2307692307692347.2%228.35502958579883124.8597408621107450.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2306899912279610.0%109.42011834319527141.224513445444620.1%149.06508875739644141.045100250622431.1%188.71005917159763138.6768270546141440.0%228.35502958579883108.48871249345225520.6%268.094.31271638201022630.4%307.6449704142011772.0725.0%347.2899408284024584.26591213770413811.9%386.93491124260356114.2446822588535393.2%426.5798816568048133.9685597691921100.5%466.2248520710059140.2063053405471110.0%505.8698224852071141.1722727485059212Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381113rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728422nd118.5293706293706228.33136094674557631st171.920979020979025.84615384615381143rd225.312587412587450.81656804733728453rd278.704195804195850.81656804733728463rd332.0958041958041350.81656804733728475th385.487412587412595.786982248520784th438.8790209790209473.3017751479289994th492.2706293706293673.30177514792899105th545.662237762237795.7869822485207114th599.05384615384673.30177514792899121st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th65.1377622377622395.786982248520725th118.5293706293706295.786982248520735th171.9209790209790295.786982248520746th225.3125874125874118.2721893491124156th278.7041958041958118.2721893491124167th332.09580419580413140.75739644970415710th385.4874125874125208.213017751479387th438.87902097902094140.7573964497041596th492.27062937062936118.27218934911241108th545.6622377622377163.24260355029585118th599.053846153846163.24260355029585121st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381113rd65.1377622377622350.81656804733728423rd118.5293706293706250.81656804733728431st171.920979020979025.84615384615381141st225.31258741258745.84615384615381152nd278.704195804195828.33136094674557663rd332.0958041958041350.81656804733728475th385.487412587412595.786982248520783rd438.8790209790209450.81656804733728493rd492.2706293706293650.816568047337284105th545.662237762237795.7869822485207114th599.05384615384673.3017751479289912Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
4
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Demaryius Thomas WR
2.06 20 Aaron Rodgers K QB
3.09 37 Keenan Allen WR
4.06 48 Brandon Marshall WR
5.09 65 Giovani Bernard RB
6.06 76 Dwayne Allen TE
7.09 93 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
8.06 104 Stevie Johnson WR
9.09 121 Jeremy Hill K RB
10.06 132 Darren Sproles RB
11.09 149 Terrance Williams WR
12.06 160 Tyler Eifert TE
13.09 177 New England DEF
14.06 188 Adam Vinatieri K
15.09 205 Marcus Mariota QB
16.06 216 Tyler Lockett WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011121.01225.99487179487179572.010.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.895131.3794871794871780.0186487389045740.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.949201.6358974358974576.3013199817933460.000236.76410256410256141.2307692307692370.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.957307.020512820512875.7285593575858890.542342.14871794871794104.14197855846626100.000377.2769230769231141.23076923076923110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.00025.9948717948717952.769230769230773610.38261.12307692307692115.0805834207814820.96196.2512820512820375.4590249461941230.000131.3794871794871718.8065282470399240.314166.5076923076923119.7300520172891850.000201.6358974358974511.37187073281745660.166236.76410256410256129.8825148463784670.197271.89230769230767127.7711619571430880.000307.020512820512810.22634948440253390.000342.1487179487179467.0531878861633100.263377.2769230769231123.2452299658566110.589412.4051282051282100.9412574231892312Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121327.06217948717948572.01063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.23076923076923312136.7737179487179477.3254437869822540173.3442307692307141.23076923076923512209.9147435897435877.3254437869822560246.4852564102564141.2307692307692370283.0557692307692141.23076923076923811319.6262820512820382.650887573964599356.1967948717948593.30177514792899100392.7673076923077141.23076923076923110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312027.0621794871794852.76923076923077361563.6326923076923114.60355029585799210100.2032051282051187.9763313609467430136.7737179487179413.4201183431952743173.3442307692307125.2544378698224850209.9147435897435813.4201183431952763246.4852564102564125.2544378698224872283.0557692307692130.5798816568047380319.6262820512820324.07100591715975290356.1967948717948545.372781065088745107392.7673076923077103.95266272189349118429.337820512820598.6272189349112412All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Dave 5-7 8th 104.95 0.602 23.91 6-7 8th
1 984 2022 Scott 6-6 6th 107.75 0.602 21.79 6-8 10th
2 963 2008 Rob 8-4 3rd 100.41 0.605 16.87 9-4 2nd 2nd place
3 962 2023 Babel 8-4 3rd 108.95 0.593 21.92 9-5 3rd 5th place
4 962 2022 Rob 8-4 1st 105.24 0.612 15.15 10-4 1st 2nd place
5 961 2016 Schertz 6-6 6th 106.29 0.589 20.06 7-6 5th 4th place
6 958 2019 Pulley 8-4 2nd 110.54 0.594 22.46 8-5 3rd 6th place
7 955 2022 Derrek 7-5 2nd 107.59 0.615 19.40 8-6 4th 4th place
8 954 2017 Kevin 9-3 2nd 104.11 0.623 24.80 10-3 2nd 4th place
9 952 2020 Rob 7-5 1st 113.08 0.604 30.58 7-6 6th 6th place
10 951 2014 Babel 6-6 5th 105.22 0.580 22.31 7-6 5th Blingabowl VII champion