2015 Dave (through 3 weeks)

1-2 (0.333), 363.41 points

5th place

2.21 expected wins (0.737)

28-11 all-play record (0.718)

+16.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 143.15 90.27 Mike R. 52.88 Team Blangums
2 L 88.95 94.00 Schertz -5.05
3 L 131.31 152.67 Pulley -21.36
4 Richie
5 Allen
6 Matt
7 Rob
8 Babel
9 Rabbit
10 Ed
11 Derrek
12 Pat
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%20.0%20.0%40.0%40.0%60.0%60.0%01230.0%74.73076923076924141.2307692307692307.9%203.5769230769231132.501903041068710.0%332.4230769230769141.2307692307692320.0%461.2692307692308141.2307692307692330.2%74.73076923076924140.998644926069300.0%203.5769230769231123.77303685136813162.5%332.423076923076972.0229.4%461.2692307692308108.668187007030473Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381113rd305.450.81656804733728422nd599.05384615384628.33136094674557631st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th305.495.786982248520725th599.05384615384695.786982248520731st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381113rd305.450.81656804733728423rd599.05384615384650.8165680473372843Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Demaryius Thomas WR
2.06 20 Aaron Rodgers K QB
3.09 37 Keenan Allen WR
4.06 48 Brandon Marshall WR
5.09 65 Giovani Bernard RB
6.06 76 Dwayne Allen TE
7.09 93 Duke Johnson, Jr. RB
8.06 104 Stevie Johnson WR
9.09 121 Jeremy Hill K RB
10.06 132 Darren Sproles RB
11.09 149 Terrance Williams WR
12.06 160 Tyler Eifert TE
13.09 177 New England DEF
14.06 188 Adam Vinatieri K
15.09 205 Marcus Mariota QB
16.06 216 Tyler Lockett WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.96478.6871794871794974.509867020700910.000219.20000000000002141.2307692307692320.000359.7128205128205141.2307692307692330.00078.687179487179497.78896481063256410.334219.20000000000002118.1029777838707620.913359.712820512820578.010043797305783Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131231381.917948717948772.010228.19999999999996141.2307692307692320374.48205128205126141.230769230769233081.91794871794872.769230769230773615228.19999999999996114.60355029585799210374.4820512820512687.976331360946743All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Dave 1-2 5th 121.14 0.737 23.27 6-7 8th
1 955 2018 Matt 3-0 1st 124.49 0.723 21.46 8-5 4th 2nd place
2 940 2016 Rob 3-0 1st 118.94 0.726 8.74 8-5 4th 5th place
3 927 2022 Ed 2-1 4th 116.60 0.759 17.41 7-7 7th
4 924 2015 Matt 3-0 2nd 121.87 0.704 27.16 8-5 3rd 5th place
5 922 2014 Dave 2-1 2nd 123.36 0.771 23.94 7-6 4th 6th place
6 920 2021 Babel 3-0 2nd 125.78 0.766 21.60 10-4 3rd 5th place
7 917 2023 Pulley 2-1 3rd 114.55 0.722 10.59 8-6 4th 6th place
8 913 2022 Matt 2-1 3rd 120.10 0.775 20.28 6-8 11th
9 912 2012 Mike R. 3-0 1st 112.13 0.748 8.04 11-2 3rd 6th place
10 910 2012 Rabbit 3-0 2nd 111.44 0.745 5.66 12-1 1st 3rd place