2016 Dave (through 9 weeks)

5-4 (0.556), 973.17 points

4th place

5.47 expected wins (0.608)

72-45 all-play record (0.615)

-13.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 112.14 123.45 Derrek -11.31
2 L 91.85 106.42 Allen -14.57
3 W 135.90 69.92 Matt 65.98
4 W 137.04 71.75 Mike R. 65.29
5 W 113.30 101.55 Ed 11.75
6 W 69.91 63.16 Pat 6.75
7 L 101.29 116.71 Schertz -15.42
8 W 125.04 86.15 Richie 38.89
9 L 86.70 104.59 Babel -17.89
10 Pulley
11 Rabbit
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.2307692307692330.0%242.23076923076925141.23076923076923430.2%293.769230769230873.3167468728316450.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692390.0%36.07692307692308141.2289223963853700.0%87.61538461538464141.1522975804329610.6%139.15384615384616139.9926515116059724.1%190.6923076923077132.0694512683984315.3%242.23076923076925106.793588562167240.0%293.76923076923085.402724514894061530.8%345.307692307692372.0615.4%396.8461538461538106.5900693278717773.3%448.3846153846154133.7547998242064380.2%499.9230769230769140.782912791193049Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041519th85.15961538461536185.727810650887625th158.573076923076995.786982248520731st231.986538461538465.84615384615381141st305.45.84615384615381155th378.813461538461595.786982248520765th452.22692307692395.786982248520772nd525.640384615384528.33136094674557684th599.05384615384673.3017751479289998th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585112th85.15961538461536253.1834319526627229th158.5730769230769185.727810650887635th231.9865384615384695.786982248520744th305.473.3017751479289953rd378.813461538461550.81656804733728464th452.22692307692373.3017751479289972nd525.640384615384528.33136094674557684th599.05384615384673.3017751479289997th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041519th85.15961538461536185.727810650887624th158.573076923076973.3017751479289931st231.986538461538465.84615384615381141st305.45.84615384615381154th378.813461538461573.3017751479289964th452.22692307692373.3017751479289972nd525.640384615384528.33136094674557684th599.05384615384673.301775147928999Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
8

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 A.J. Green WR
2.14 28 Demaryius Thomas WR
3.01 29 Jarvis Landry WR
4.14 56 Frank Gore RB
5.01 57 Devonta Freeman K RB
6.14 84 Theo Riddick RB
7.01 85 Blake Bortles QB
8.14 112 Dwayne Allen TE
9.01 113 Jeremy Langford K RB
10.14 140 Phillip Dorsett WR
11.01 141 Jordan Howard RB
12.14 168 Minnesota DEF
13.01 169 Kyle Rudolph TE
14.14 196 Alex Smith QB
15.01 197 Chandler Catanzaro K
16.14 224 Leonte Carroo WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.00078.68717948717948141.2307692307692320.932125.524786324786376.7388757007929630.937172.3623931623931876.3524925501287940.736219.290.2622859740390950.086266.03760683760686135.3100156573564260.000312.8752136752136141.2307692307692370.865359.712820512820581.3300166675084680.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.71631.8495726495726591.6714480529319610.37278.68717948717948115.4681044497196820.000125.524786324786312.24698217081669330.000172.3623931623931811.47421586948834740.000219.239.2938027173089550.000266.03760683760686129.3892620839436360.532312.8752136752136104.3766351835951370.000359.712820512820521.42926410424769380.296406.5504273504273120.76382645588169Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231081.9179487179487141.23076923076923212130.6786324786324777.32544378698225312179.439316239316277.32544378698225411228.282.650887573964551276.96068376068376135.9053254437869860325.7213675213675141.23076923076923711374.482051282051282.650887573964580423.242735042735141.230769230769239733.15726495726496103.952662721893491581.9179487179487114.6035502958579920130.6786324786324713.4201183431952730179.439316239316213.4201183431952740228.224.07100591715975250276.96068376068376130.5798816568047368325.721367521367598.6272189349112470374.482051282051224.07100591715975285423.242735042735114.603550295857999All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Dave 5-4 4th 108.13 0.608 21.52 6-7 8th
1 989 2022 Scott 5-4 2nd 109.29 0.610 22.31 6-8 10th
2 989 2022 Ed 5-4 3rd 107.49 0.610 18.82 7-7 7th
3 987 2012 Ed 7-2 4th 107.43 0.606 24.16 8-5 4th 4th place
4 980 2023 Mike R. 5-4 6th 108.27 0.614 17.39 7-7 8th
5 977 2011 Allen 6-3 1st 107.88 0.613 15.26 7-6 5th 5th place
6 972 2020 Ed 2-7 13th 107.87 0.597 18.58 4-9 13th
7 968 2017 Babel 5-4 5th 104.98 0.610 29.49 6-7 6th 2nd place
8 966 2015 Dave 4-5 7th 108.67 0.619 26.08 6-7 8th
9 966 2023 Rabbit 6-3 3rd 106.38 0.599 26.04 8-6 6th 4th place
10 965 2021 Schertz 6-3 7th 111.13 0.600 25.28 9-5 7th