2018 Dave

4-9 (0.308), 1,183.31 points

13th place

3.70 expected wins (0.285)

47-122 all-play record (0.278)

-9.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.11 99.18 Schertz -14.07
2 L 76.67 123.39 Pulley -46.72
3 L 80.39 114.37 Ed -33.98
4 W 101.07 91.67 Derrek 9.40
5 W 136.04 103.24 Matt 32.80 Team Blangums
6 L 107.34 119.88 Rabbit -12.54
7 W 86.22 76.38 Rob 9.84
8 L 86.90 119.28 Babel -32.38
9 L 61.29 66.57 Richie -5.28 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 116.86 92.84 Mike R. 24.02
11 L 75.93 88.10 Pat -12.17
12 L 82.53 139.70 Scott -57.17
13 L 86.96 96.91 Kevin -9.95

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923328.3%175.9670329670329672.040.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.3%28.71428571428572140.5113618846199303.4%65.52747252747253132.96121252714298113.6%102.34065934065934107.93375143399703226.4%139.1538461538461376.6783848558847430.0%175.967032967032962.7692307692307736418.2%212.780219780219896.6564778633465257.4%249.5934065934066123.0501557856855262.0%286.4065934065934136.3939470933074270.3%323.2197802197802140.3855018725586280.0%360.032967032967141.1352810504766490.0%396.8461538461538141.22411608140322100.0%433.6593406593406141.2305117603987110.0%470.4725274725274141.2307650319363120.0%507.2857142857143141.2307692307692313Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544613th305.4275.6686390532544713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441311th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544610th305.4208.2130177514793712th354.3423076923077253.18343195266272813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544911th452.226923076923230.6982248520711013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.66863905325441311th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th60.68846153846153275.6686390532544213th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544313th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544413th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544513th256.4576923076923275.6686390532544613th305.4275.6686390532544713th354.3423076923077275.6686390532544813th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544913th452.226923076923275.66863905325441013th501.16923076923075275.66863905325441113th550.1115384615384275.66863905325441213th599.053846153846275.668639053254413Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Odell Beckham, Jr. WR
2.06 20 Doug Baldwin WR
3.09 37 Allen Robinson II WR
4.06 48 Carlos Hyde RB
5.09 65 Cooper Kupp WR
6.06 76 Sony Michel RB
7.09 93 Mike Williams WR
8.06 104 Carson Wentz K QB
9.09 121 Chris Thompson K RB
10.06 132 O.J. Howard TE
11.09 149 T.J. Yeldon RB
12.06 160 Los Angeles DEF
13.09 177 Ricky Seals-Jones TE
14.06 188 Greg Zuerlein K
15.09 205 Derrius Guice RB
16.06 216 Andy Dalton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.00024.64378698224852133.847883049427110.00057.069822485207105133.847883049427120.00089.49585798816568133.847883049427130.443121.92189349112428104.8234543751542340.849154.3479289940828278.2290331311747950.000186.7739644970414133.847883049427160.204219.2120.5089989438119970.000251.62603550295853133.847883049427180.000284.0520710059171133.847883049427190.702316.478106508875787.83616022295215100.000348.9041420118343133.8478830494271110.000381.33017751479287133.8478830494271120.000413.75621301775146133.8478830494271130.18524.64378698224852121.7031659171460210.06957.069822485207105129.3522895030964220.11389.49585798816568126.4583172884400730.000121.9218934911242875.7990257008813340.000154.3479289940828222.6101832129224850.561186.773964497041497.088264701035660.000219.2107.1701148381968770.213251.62603550295853119.917294587655498-0.056284.0520710059171137.5393261400981890.000316.478106508875741.824437396477194100.060348.9041420118343129.92247733721086110.146381.33017751479287124.25287377912949120.213413.75621301775146119.8635032825503513Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111213025.655621301775145141.230769230769231059.413017751479295141.230769230769232093.17041420118342141.2307692307692333126.92781065088758125.25443786982248413160.685207100591772.050194.44260355029584141.2307692307692364228.2119.9289940828402370261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692397329.47218934911234103.95266272189349100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313325.655621301775145125.254437869822481159.413017751479295135.905325443786982293.17041420118342130.5798816568047330126.92781065088758109.2781065088757440160.68520710059172.769230769230773654194.44260355029584119.9289940828402360228.298.6272189349112472261.9573964497041130.5798816568047380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.4721893491123466.67455621301775103363.2295857988165125.25443786982248111396.9869822485207135.90532544378698124430.74437869822486119.9289940828402313All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2018 Dave 4-9 13th 91.02 0.285 18.92
1 962 2024 Derrek 4-10 14th 84.99 0.291 18.66
2 943 2013 Allen 4-9 14th 80.89 0.290 15.65
3 941 2015 Kevin 3-10 14th 81.06 0.290 14.59
4 937 2015 Allen 4-9 13th 78.11 0.281 20.25
5 935 2024 Pulley 4-10 13th 86.93 0.305 14.80
6 933 2021 Rob 2-12 14th 85.06 0.304 16.62
7 929 2018 Pat 2-11 14th 86.91 0.260 21.13
8 924 2012 Richie 1-12 14th 81.09 0.302 18.28
9 911 2023 Kevin 4-10 14th 87.18 0.321 18.57
10 909 2018 Richie 5-8 11th 93.21 0.323 21.43