2023 Dave

6-8 (0.429), 1,298.54 points

10th place

5.32 expected wins (0.380)

64-118 all-play record (0.352)

-12.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 W 113.32 86.17 Rabbit 27.15
7 W 144.61 110.68 Pat 33.93 Team Blangums
8 L 115.48 149.12 Pulley -33.64
9 W 92.23 84.46 Mike R. 7.77
10 L 70.05 90.10 Derrek -20.05 Slapped Heartbeat
11 W 85.01 73.67 Matt 11.34
12 L 92.00 108.98 Schertz -16.98
13 L 67.39 106.11 Richie -38.72
14 L 70.04 104.05 Kevin -34.01 Slapped Heartbeat

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910111213140.0%27.48717948717949141.2307692307692300.0%61.84615384615385141.2307692307692310.0%96.2051282051282141.2307692307692320.0%130.56410256410257141.2307692307692330.0%164.92307692307696141.2307692307692340.0%199.28205128205127141.23076923076923523.9%233.641025641025780.3965212812206660.0%268.0141.2307692307692370.0%302.3589743589743141.2307692307692380.0%336.71794871794873141.2307692307692390.0%371.0769230769231141.23076923076923100.0%405.4358974358974141.23076923076923110.0%439.7948717948718141.23076923076923120.0%474.15384615384613141.23076923076923130.0%508.5128205128205141.23076923076923140.0%27.48717948717949141.2170560941128500.2%61.84615384615385140.7907716777867811.7%96.2051282051282136.900285487044327.8%130.56410256410257121.40020256595653319.1%164.9230769230769692.49831409946185427.2%199.2820512820512772.050.0%233.641025641025719.562273331672102613.6%268.0106.6412181910336675.1%302.3589743589743128.2037776506621281.3%336.71794871794873137.9643570046738790.2%371.0769230769231140.69154309386732100.0%405.4358974358974141.17376383150588110.0%439.7948717948718141.2270976657783120.0%474.15384615384613141.23063906734222130.0%508.5128205128205141.2307672951374414Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011121314Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th56.92366863905325230.69822485207129th102.10118343195265185.7278106508876311th147.27869822485206230.698224852071412th192.45621301775148253.18343195266272511th237.6337278106509230.69822485207167th282.8112426035503140.7573964497041576th327.98875739644967118.2721893491124187th373.16627218934906140.7573964497041598th418.3437869822485163.24260355029585109th463.5213017751479185.72781065088761110th508.6988165680473208.21301775147931210th553.8763313609467208.21301775147931312th599.053846153846253.18343195266272146th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th56.92366863905325163.2426035502958526th102.10118343195265118.2721893491124139th147.27869822485206185.7278106508876410th192.45621301775148208.2130177514793510th237.6337278106509208.213017751479366th282.8112426035503118.2721893491124177th327.98875739644967140.7573964497041588th373.16627218934906163.2426035502958598th418.3437869822485163.24260355029585107th463.5213017751479140.75739644970415118th508.6988165680473163.24260355029585129th553.8763313609467185.72781065088761310th599.053846153846208.2130177514793148th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th56.92366863905325185.727810650887628th102.10118343195265163.24260355029585311th147.27869822485206230.698224852071411th192.45621301775148230.698224852071511th237.6337278106509230.69822485207166th282.8112426035503118.2721893491124176th327.98875739644967118.2721893491124187th373.16627218934906140.7573964497041598th418.3437869822485163.24260355029585108th463.5213017751479163.242603550295851110th508.6988165680473208.21301775147931210th553.8763313609467208.21301775147931310th599.053846153846208.213017751479314Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7
8
11
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910111213140.23623.485714285714284124.9108935103916710.00053.5956043956044141.2307692307692320.81683.7054945054944984.7156816310038330.000113.81538461538459141.2307692307692340.000143.9252747252747141.2307692307692350.726174.0351648351648490.9432688828852360.950204.145054945054975.4652144356909470.000234.25494505494504141.2307692307692380.367264.36483516483514115.8081610491562790.000294.4747252747253141.23076923076923100.257324.58461538461535123.46763880055785110.000354.69450549450545141.23076923076923120.000384.80439560439555141.23076923076923130.000414.91428571428565141.23076923076923140.00023.485714285714284108.5910177900141210.25753.5956043956044123.4108177489895920.00083.7054945054944928.20059403123843830.092113.81538461538459134.8545775348373540.292143.9252747252747121.0356977934362750.000174.0351648351648440.6557685350012660.000204.14505494505499.69965964061265170.757234.2549450549450488.8067973439186280.000264.3648351648351490.3855528675433190.077294.4747252747253135.92281330432067100.000324.58461538461535105.70450837034647110.364354.69450549450545116.04680946574297120.055384.80439560439555137.44561748635005130.076414.91428571428565135.9682701455752714Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011121314624.449999999999996109.278106508875741055.79615384615384141.230769230769232987.1423076923076893.3017751479289930118.48846153846152141.2307692307692340149.83461538461538141.23076923076923511181.1807692307692482.6508875739645613212.5269230769230572.070243.87307692307692141.2307692307692388275.2192307692307698.6272189349112490306.56538461538463141.23076923076923103337.91153846153844125.25443786982248110369.2576923076923141.23076923076923120400.6038461538461141.23076923076923130431.95141.2307692307692314024.44999999999999677.325443786982251155.79615384615384135.905325443786982087.1423076923076845.37278106508874531118.48846153846152135.9053254437869842149.83461538461538130.5798816568047350181.1807692307692424.07100591715975260212.526923076923052.769230769230773677243.87307692307692103.9526627218934980275.2192307692307656.0236686390532490306.56538461538463141.23076923076923100337.91153846153844109.27810650887574112369.2576923076923130.57988165680473121400.6038461538461135.90532544378698130431.95141.2307692307692314All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 6-8 10th 92.75 0.380 21.93
1 982 2019 Richie 5-8 12th 92.67 0.387 20.00
2 972 2015 Derrek 7-6 7th 89.66 0.382 27.98
3 970 2016 Mike R. 5-8 11th 90.17 0.376 15.90
4 967 2023 Richie 4-10 13th 92.20 0.386 13.04
5 966 2015 Pat 6-7 9th 86.31 0.384 22.32
6 964 2013 Derrek 7-6 7th 88.08 0.374 23.77
7 964 2012 Kevin 5-8 10th 85.92 0.376 21.90
8 962 2017 Matt 5-8 11th 86.79 0.379 16.42
9 962 2010 Allen 7-6 6th 85.16 0.377 22.29 4th place
10 957 2012 Pulley 4-9 12th 88.56 0.385 13.78