2023 Dave (through 3 weeks)

2-1 (0.667), 289.16 points (96.39 average)

6th place

1.31 expected wins (0.438)

16-23 all-play record (0.410)

-62.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 Rob
5 Babel
6 Rabbit
7 Pat
8 Pulley
9 Mike R.
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Schertz
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%50.0%50.0%01230.0%74.73076923076924141.2307692307692300.0%203.5769230769231141.23076923076923131.6%332.4230769230769100.1495313006584820.0%461.2692307692308141.23076923076923310.1%74.73076923076924128.04330013330463053.3%203.576923076923172.010.0%332.423076923076959.06829337054773525.0%461.2692307692308134.77442133571763Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585112th305.4253.1834319526627229th599.053846153846185.727810650887636th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th305.4163.2426035502958526th599.053846153846118.2721893491124138th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th305.4185.727810650887628th599.053846153846163.242603550295853Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001230.23278.68717948717949125.16254516655410.000219.20000000000002141.2307692307692320.821359.712820512820584.3737413335109530.00078.68717948717949109.0943211023387710.261219.20000000000002123.1866115132663920.000359.712820512820527.5167134362526723Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123681.9179487179487109.2781065088757410228.19999999999996141.2307692307692329374.4820512820512693.301775147928993081.917948717948777.3254437869822511228.19999999999996135.9053254437869820374.4820512820512645.3727810650887453All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 2-1 6th 96.39 0.438 17.00 6-8 10th
1 976 2014 Matt 1-2 10th 93.87 0.439 22.36 7-6 6th 4th place
2 970 2013 Rob 1-2 12th 95.34 0.450 16.36 8-5 2nd 2nd place
3 967 2013 Rabbit 1-2 11th 98.04 0.437 28.74 5-8 11th
4 964 2012 Pat 0-3 13th 90.99 0.443 19.11 5-8 11th
5 964 2011 Babel 1-2 9th 100.52 0.430 15.01 7-6 7th
6 962 2015 Kevin 1-2 10th 94.76 0.450 13.60 3-10 14th
7 961 2010 Derrek 3-0 2nd 91.99 0.438 6.85 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 961 2012 Richie 1-2 10th 91.11 0.429 17.30 1-12 14th
9 959 2012 Derrek 1-2 11th 90.08 0.439 24.09 8-5 5th 5th place
10 957 2016 Mike R. 0-3 14th 98.08 0.425 11.44 5-8 11th