2023 Dave (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 448.41 points (89.68 average)

10th place

1.59 expected wins (0.318)

19-46 all-play record (0.292)

-33.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 83.70 63.20 Derrek 20.50
2 L 85.05 93.59 Ed -8.54
3 W 120.41 72.32 Scott 48.09
4 L 71.98 109.71 Rob -37.73
5 L 87.27 101.66 Babel -14.39
6 Rabbit
7 Pat
8 Pulley
9 Mike R.
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Schertz
13 Richie
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923136.5%225.0512820512820479.3130933795315220.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692358.2%53.25641025641026127.36362471980544040.9%139.1538461538461672.010.0%225.0512820512820417.395417528293805212.6%310.94871794871796119.9448571551143631.8%396.84615384615387138.2359151176894440.1%482.7435897435898141.102937340683585Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585112th158.5730769230769253.1834319526627229th305.4185.7278106508876311th452.226923076923230.698224852071412th599.053846153846253.1834319526627256th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124118th158.5730769230769163.2426035502958526th305.4118.2721893491124139th452.226923076923185.7278106508876410th599.053846153846208.213017751479358th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958519th158.5730769230769185.727810650887628th305.4163.24260355029585311th452.226923076923230.698224852071411th599.053846153846230.6982248520715Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Travis Kelce K TE
2.03 17 A.J. Brown K WR
3.12 40 Joe Burrow QB
4.03 45 James Conner RB
5.12 68 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
6.03 73 Javonte Williams RB
7.12 96 Zay Flowers WR
8.03 101 Darnell Mooney WR
9.12 124 Jeff Wilson, Jr. RB
10.03 129 Justin Tucker K
11.12 152 Philadelphia DEF
12.03 157 Derek Carr QB
13.12 180 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
14.03 185 Van Jefferson WR
15.12 208 Leonard Fournette RB
16.03 213 Jalin Hyatt WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.20950.58461538461538126.749077336026710.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.798219.285.9602735029836530.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.000387.8153846153846141.2307692307692350.00050.58461538461538112.2673854412841810.238134.8923076923077124.7731436827390920.000219.230.68977777519806730.069303.50769230769225136.4822241231962340.277387.8153846153846122.04765221122325Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345652.661538461538456109.2781065088757410140.43076923076922141.2307692307692329228.2000000000000293.3017751479289930315.9692307692307141.2307692307692340403.7384615384615141.230769230769235052.66153846153845677.3254437869822511140.43076923076922135.9053254437869820228.2000000000000245.37278106508874531315.9692307692307135.9053254437869842403.7384615384615130.579881656804735All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Dave 2-3 10th 89.68 0.318 16.25 6-8 10th
1 989 2013 Babel 0-5 14th 87.01 0.318 16.00 4-9 13th
2 978 2014 Allen 2-3 12th 86.14 0.319 13.48 6-7 10th
3 974 2016 Pat 2-3 11th 88.35 0.323 21.23 7-6 7th
4 974 2013 Rabbit 1-4 13th 88.91 0.321 25.02 5-8 11th
5 973 2021 Pulley 1-4 13th 91.81 0.324 13.19 5-9 10th
6 970 2023 Derrek 1-4 11th 88.97 0.332 16.65 5-9 12th
7 954 2019 Richie 2-3 12th 90.72 0.335 20.49 5-8 12th
8 949 2017 Pat 1-4 14th 79.11 0.319 12.80 6-7 7th
9 949 2012 Richie 1-4 13th 85.52 0.335 17.20 1-12 14th
10 945 2015 Allen 2-3 12th 82.15 0.310 12.09 4-9 13th