2025 Dave (through 7 weeks)

4-3 (0.571), 711.61 points (101.66 average)

5th place

3.74 expected wins (0.534)

43-48 all-play record (0.473)

+13.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 85.32 118.21 Rob -32.89
2 L 78.93 112.40 Schertz -33.47
3 W 106.31 87.69 Ed 18.62
4 L 96.29 121.85 Pulley -25.56
5 W 118.22 102.91 Scott 15.31
6 W 117.55 114.40 Derrek 3.15
7 W 108.99 69.40 Matt 39.59
8 Pat
9 Mike R.
10 Rob
11 Babel
12 Richie
13 Rabbit
14 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%58.38461538461538141.2307692307692300.0%146.84615384615384141.2307692307692310.0%235.30769230769232141.2307692307692320.0%323.7692307692308141.23076923076923332.6%412.230769230769272.040.0%500.6923076923077141.2307692307692350.0%589.1538461538461141.2307692307692360.0%677.6153846153845141.2307692307692370.2%58.38461538461538140.7923311076399702.5%146.84615384615384135.9310421989257111.7%235.30769230769232116.39388003097054227.0%323.769230769230883.8309434521945330.0%412.23076923076922.7692307692307736419.9%500.692307692307798.8821009988632455.5%589.1538461538461129.4491883646059660.5%677.6153846153845140.070094907303467Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272313th305.4275.6686390532544411th403.28461538461534230.69822485207158th501.16923076923075163.2426035502958566th599.053846153846118.27218934911241710th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272211th207.5153846153846230.698224852071314th305.4298.15384615384613411th403.28461538461534230.69822485207157th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041565th599.05384615384695.7869822485207710th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272212th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272313th305.4275.6686390532544411th403.28461538461534230.69822485207157th501.16923076923075140.7573964497041566th599.053846153846118.272189349112417Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
6
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ashton Jeanty T RB
2.01 15 Justin Jefferson Kx2 WR
3.14 42 DeVonta Smith WR
4.01 43 Sam LaPorta TE
5.14 70 Quinshon Judkins RB
7.14 98 Tank Bigsby RB
8.01 99 Michael Pittman, Jr. WR
8.14 112 Jayden Daniels K T QB
9.14 126 Tyler Allgeier RB
10.01 127 Luther Burden III WR
11.14 154 Cameron Dicker K
12.01 155 Buffalo DEF
13.14 182 Dylan Sampson RB
14.01 183 Isaiah Likely TE
15.14 210 Tua Tagovailoa QB
16.01 211 Tahj Brooks RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00056.12307692307693141.2307692307692310.000143.81538461538463141.2307692307692320.605231.507692307692399.3130714743781530.000319.2141.2307692307692340.790406.8923076923076786.55866162950950.775494.584615384615487.6090119083226160.655582.27692307692395.9112839419687870.26256.12307692307693123.0798714696701710.183143.81538461538463128.5837113601293420.000231.507692307692357.39537371798705630.470319.2108.6639246973737440.000406.8923076923076731.88655402824879650.000494.584615384615433.98725458587660.000582.27692307692350.591798653168317Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567057.7054945054945141.2307692307692310147.87032967032965141.2307692307692327238.0351648351648103.9526627218934930328.19999999999993141.2307692307692348418.3648351648351498.62721893491124510508.5296703296703587.9763313609467469598.694505494505493.301775147928997457.7054945054945119.9289940828402311147.87032967032965135.9053254437869820238.035164835164866.6745562130177534328.19999999999993119.9289940828402340418.3648351648351456.0236686390532450508.5296703296703534.7218934911242560598.694505494505445.3727810650887457All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Dave 4-3 5th 101.66 0.534 14.22 7-7 7th
1 979 2024 Babel 5-2 3rd 102.84 0.535 21.47 9-5 4th 4th place
2 979 2011 Matt 4-3 5th 103.35 0.541 14.16 7-6 6th 2nd place
3 971 2012 Derrek 5-2 5th 98.50 0.538 18.24 8-5 5th 5th place
4 971 2021 Mike R. 1-6 11th 106.12 0.530 15.99 4-10 11th
5 967 2015 Mike R. 5-2 3rd 100.05 0.547 14.24 8-5 4th 6th place
6 962 2020 Mike R. 3-4 10th 103.88 0.525 8.75 6-7 11th
7 960 2016 Ed 4-3 6th 102.48 0.550 16.78 6-7 9th
8 959 2008 Rob 4-3 5th 94.70 0.540 14.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
9 958 2015 Babel 3-4 8th 102.03 0.526 25.91 5-8 10th
10 956 2016 Pulley 4-3 5th 103.00 0.549 18.74 8-5 3rd 3rd place