2010 Mike R.

4-9 (0.308), 1,175.25 points

11th place

5.56 expected wins (0.428)

60-83 all-play record (0.420)

+8.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 93.36 64.30 Allen 29.06
2 W 116.19 115.08 Babel 1.11
3 L 79.79 84.16 Pulley -4.37
4 W 102.77 50.11 Pat 52.66
5 L 106.65 138.35 Dave -31.70
6 L 69.62 104.37 Derrek -34.75 Slapped Heartbeat
7 W 94.54 93.55 Matt 0.99
8 L 64.25 143.13 Rabbit -78.88
9 L 83.07 95.16 Rob -12.09
10 L 124.36 125.13 Ed -0.77
11 L 51.81 81.85 Kevin -30.04 Slapped Heartbeat
12 L 105.49 110.75 Babel -5.26
13 L 83.35 93.67 Matt -10.32

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789101112130.0%28.71428571428572141.2307692307692300.0%65.52747252747253141.2307692307692310.0%102.34065934065934141.2307692307692320.0%139.15384615384613141.23076923076923315.8%175.9670329670329697.741832144855140.0%212.7802197802198141.2307692307692350.0%249.5934065934066141.2307692307692360.0%286.4065934065934141.2307692307692370.0%323.2197802197802141.2307692307692380.0%360.032967032967141.2307692307692390.0%396.8461538461538141.23076923076923100.0%433.6593406593406141.23076923076923110.0%470.4725274725274141.23076923076923120.0%507.2857142857143141.23076923076923130.0%28.71428571428572141.2087709770725600.2%65.52747252747253140.7495705187910711.5%102.34065934065934137.2188001594141726.3%139.15384615384613123.9730430398244730.0%175.9670329670329654.252895058940965424.9%212.780219780219872.8456303248555525.2%249.593406593406672.0616.6%286.406593406593495.5672538600506177.1%323.2197802197802121.6654760187970881.9%360.032967032967135.881733082635790.3%396.8461538461538140.33229593058618100.0%433.6593406593406141.14417248706428110.0%470.4725274725274141.22653536187582120.0%507.2857142857143141.2306912062463213Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910111213Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867513rd60.6884615384615358.99300699300701526th109.6307692307692138.7132867132867536th158.5730769230769138.7132867132867544th207.515384615384685.5664335664335756th256.4576923076923138.7132867132867567th305.4165.286713286713378th354.3423076923077191.860139860139988th403.28461538461534191.860139860139997th452.226923076923165.2867132867133109th501.16923076923075218.43356643356645118th550.1115384615384191.8601398601399129th599.053846153846218.43356643356645135th11.746153846153845112.1398601398601612nd60.6884615384615332.4195804195804325th109.6307692307692112.1398601398601634th158.573076923076985.5664335664335745th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601656th256.4576923076923138.7132867132867566th305.4138.7132867132867577th354.3423076923077165.286713286713387th403.28461538461534165.286713286713397th452.226923076923165.28671328671331010th501.16923076923075245.0069930069931110th550.1115384615384245.0069930069931211th599.053846153846271.5804195804196136th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867514th60.6884615384615385.5664335664335726th109.6307692307692138.7132867132867537th158.5730769230769165.286713286713345th207.5153846153846112.1398601398601657th256.4576923076923165.286713286713367th305.4165.286713286713378th354.3423076923077191.860139860139988th403.28461538461534191.860139860139998th452.226923076923191.8601398601399109th501.16923076923075218.43356643356645119th550.1115384615384218.43356643356645129th599.053846153846218.4335664335664513Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Steven Jackson RB
2.08 20 Knowshon Moreno RB
3.05 29 Michael Crabtree WR
4.08 44 Hakeem Nicks WR
5.05 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
6.08 68 Fred Jackson RB
7.05 77 Matt Schaub K QB
8.08 92 Malcom Floyd WR
9.05 101 Miles Austin K WR
10.08 116 John Carlson TE
11.05 125 Kyle Orton QB
12.08 140 Eddie Royal WR
13.05 149 Minnesota DEF
14.08 164 Lawrence Tynes K
15.05 173 Antonio Bryant WR
16.08 188 Marcedes Lewis TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789101112130.43824.64378698224852110.9286123619297110.82057.06982248520710584.4954591723746720.00089.49585798816568141.2307692307692330.595121.92189349112428100.018970460823640.000154.34792899408282141.2307692307692350.000186.7739644970414141.2307692307692360.461219.2109.3489871283320470.000251.62603550295853141.2307692307692380.000284.0520710059171141.2307692307692390.000316.4781065088757141.23076923076923100.000348.9041420118343141.23076923076923110.000381.33017751479287141.23076923076923120.000413.75621301775146141.23076923076923130.00024.6437869822485280.6264554930901810.00057.06982248520710527.7601491139801220.23089.49585798816568125.315702619013430.000121.9218934911242858.8071716908779540.668154.3479289940828295.0187179228166250.122186.7739644970414132.8160814260238660.000219.277.4672050258948670.082251.62603550295853135.566220321927780.277284.0520710059171122.0882668899361690.900316.478106508875778.89290348774415100.042348.9041420118343138.31635921783152110.648381.3301775147928796.37105895014122120.279413.75621301775146121.9178037352313713Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910111213625.655621301775145103.468531468531471959.41301775147929584.587412587412592093.17041420118342141.2307692307692339126.9278106508875884.5874125874125940160.6852071005917141.2307692307692350194.44260355029584141.2307692307692364228.2116.0559440559440570261.9573964497041141.2307692307692380295.7147928994083141.2307692307692390329.47218934911234141.23076923076923100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923110396.9869822485207141.23076923076923120430.74437869822486141.2307692307692313025.65562130177514565.706293706293721059.41301775147929527.9440559440559472193.17041420118342134.9370629370629330126.9278106508875827.94405594405594748160.685207100591790.8811188811188850194.44260355029584141.2307692307692360228.290.881118881118973261.9573964497041122.3496503496503582295.7147928994083128.6433566433566499329.4721893491123484.58741258741259100363.2295857988165141.23076923076923116396.9869822485207103.46853146853147123430.74437869822486122.3496503496503513All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Playoff Finish
2010 Mike R. 4-9 11th 90.40 0.428 20.21
1 992 2017 Schertz 5-8 10th 90.07 0.426 18.66
2 980 2015 Ed 4-9 12th 91.44 0.433 22.66
3 976 2008 Mike R. 5-8 8th 88.91 0.435 18.37
4 970 2019 Scott 4-9 14th 94.50 0.434 20.89
5 968 2023 Schertz 6-8 9th 95.75 0.423 20.54
6 967 2017 Rabbit 6-7 9th 90.59 0.439 14.91
7 966 2014 Pat 5-8 11th 90.91 0.413 19.26
8 963 2024 Pat 6-8 10th 97.23 0.432 20.62
9 959 2014 Kevin 4-9 14th 92.81 0.440 23.07
10 954 2013 Richie 6-7 10th 89.91 0.409 23.56